Look for periods of rain on Tuesday. Right now we are in between two areas of rain. Steadier rain is to our east and moving away from us. An upper level disturbance is bringing slightly steadier rain to our west and that is heading in our direction. Look for that to arrive later this afternoon into the evening. Right now it looks like 1/4″ to 1/2″ of rain in general – some spots a little more.
There’s still plenty (of rainfall) ahead for tonight:
Hopefully you don’t have outdoor plans. If you do, dress accordingly. Its not only raining, but its chilly! Temperatures in western New Jersey are in the upper 40’s! This is more like November than October.
Western New Jersey has it much better than southern section of the state. Here’s a summary of rain and wind so far:
********************storm total rainfall********************
Location storm total time/date comments
rainfall of
/inches/ measurement
Delaware
...Kent County...
Frederica 2.79 1256 PM 10/02 deos
Adamsville 2.74 112 PM 10/02 deos
Dover 2.67 112 PM 10/02 deos
Woodside 2.60 116 PM 10/02 deos
Harrington 2.54 116 PM 10/02 deos
Kitts Hummock 2.36 116 PM 10/02 deos
...Sussex County...
Nassau 4.45 112 PM 10/02 deos
Long Neck 4.20 1251 PM 10/02 deos
Rehoboth Beach 3.75 112 PM 10/02 deos
Bethany Beach 3.49 1251 PM 10/02 deos
Harbeson 3.47 1251 PM 10/02 deos
Lewes 3.43 1241 PM 10/02 deos
Selbyville 3.28 1241 PM 10/02 deos
Stockley 2.64 112 PM 10/02 deos
Gumboro 2.61 112 PM 10/02 deos
Bridgeville 2.48 116 PM 10/02 deos
Ellendale 2.37 245 PM 10/02 deos
Laurel 2.30 245 PM 10/02 deos
Georgetown 2.22 245 PM 10/02 deos
Maryland
...Caroline County...
Federalsburg 2.40 205 PM 10/02 co-op observer
New Jersey
...Burlington County...
Mount Holly WFO 1.66 158 PM 10/02 NWS office
...Cumberland County...
Greenwich 2.50 307 PM 10/02 mesonet
**********************24 hour rainfall**********************
Location 24 hour time/date comments
rainfall of
/inches/ measurement
Delaware
...Kent County...
2 W Milford 2.01 830 am 10/02 cocorahs
2 ENE Harrington 1.59 808 am 10/02 cocorahs
9 E Hazlettville 1.54 758 am 10/02 AWOS
...Sussex County...
7 ENE Dagsboro 3.73 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
1 NW Ocean View 3.50 1000 am 10/02 cocorahs
7 E Selbyville 2.91 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
2 SSW Lewes 2.75 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
1 S Seaford 2.55 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
4 E Delmar 2.49 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
6 W Georgetown 2.48 800 am 10/02 cocorahs
2 SSE Seaford 2.45 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
S Dewey Beach 2.45 800 am 10/02 cocorahs
1 W Millsboro 2.44 730 am 10/02 cocorahs
4 SW Lewes 2.40 615 am 10/02 cocorahs
1 SW Seaford 2.39 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
4 SSE Milton 1.97 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
Sussex County airpor 1.86 754 am 10/02 ASOS
3 S Milford 1.78 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
1 NNW Ellendale 1.61 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
Maryland
...Caroline County...
1 ENE Greensboro 1.52 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
...Talbot County...
4 NE Trappe 2.80 800 am 10/02 cocorahs
NNE Bellevue 2.07 800 am 10/02 cocorahs
2 se Easton 1.82 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
1 E Easton 1.68 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
New Jersey
...Atlantic County...
4 SW Egg Harbor City 1.78 820 am 10/02 cocorahs
3 NNE Buena Vista tw 1.56 756 am 10/02 cocorahs
1 NW Egg Harbor TWP 1.55 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
...Cape May County...
WSW Wildwood Crest 1.61 750 am 10/02 cocorahs
3 se upper TWP 1.54 800 am 10/02 cocorahs
...Cumberland County...
2 E Upper Deerfield 1.68 700 am 10/02 cocorahs
***********************peak wind gust***********************
Location Max wind time/date comments
gust of
mph measurement
Delaware
...Anz431...
Brandywine Shoal nos 48 630 am 10/02 nos platform
...Sussex County...
18 se Big Stone beac 45 136 am 10/02 nwlon
Rehoboth Beach 42 254 PM 10/02 weather flow
New Jersey
...Anz451...
Long Beach island 47 320 am 10/02 weather flow
Kite Island Barnegat 46 1230 PM 10/02 weather flow
...Atlantic County...
Atlantic City Intl a 40 1138 am 10/02 ASOS
8 S New Gretna 40 425 am 10/02 RAWS
...Cape May County...
Ocean City 47 1258 PM 10/02 weather flow
19 ESE Port Norris 45 201 am 10/02 cwop
Cape May County airp 40 655 am 10/02 AWOS
...Monmouth County...
Sands Point 42 1205 am 10/02 weather flow
29 SSE Tottenville 42 1000 am 10/02 NJ-mesonet
Sandy Hook 41 210 PM 10/02 weather flow
...Ocean County...
little Sheepshead CR 54 124 PM 10/02 weather flow
Tuckerton 52 257 PM 10/02 weather flow
Seaside Heights 48 555 am 10/02 weather flow
10 ESE Bass River St 48 210 am 10/02 cwop
15 ENE Bass River St 47 1255 PM 10/02 safetynet
18 ENE Bass River St 45 1230 PM 10/02 USGS
South Seaside Park 45 1207 PM 10/02 weather flow
North Beach Haven 44 1012 am 10/02 weather flow
15 ENE Penn state fo 42 608 am 10/02 cwop
brick TWP 40 805 am 10/02 weather flow
Surf City 40 511 am 10/02 weather flow
Radar show an area of moderate rain (green) moving north towards western New Jersey. Look for rain to start picking up in the next hour or two.
As you can see in the wide radar above, the moderate rain right now is in western New Jersey mostly above I-78 and right over I-80.
Look for mostly shower this evening until later on when all the precipitation you see to our south and west starts to move into our area. the heaviest rain will be overnight.
So far only 0.10″ has fallen but have the potential for 1″+ overnight.
Western New Jersey has already seen a few light rain showers this morning. We should remain partly to mostly cloudy today with the showers becoming more numerous as the day wears on. It will be very humid outside, especially for this time of year. Look for the heaviest rain to be tonight into Wednesday morning. Right now the Wednesday morning commute looks wet. I’m still thinking about 1″ of rain in general for the area. there could be isolated areas, especially to the north, that receive more rain.
Then our focus will turn to Tropical Storm Joaquin. As you can see in the above map the National Hurricane Center is forecasting the storm to move up the Atlantic coast. If this course holds, it has the potential to pull in Atlantic moisture and give the area more heavy rain over the weekend. Timing is still tricky. Rains associated with this along with the cold front that will pass through early Wednesday morning will stall to our south and allow moisture to come in ahead of Joaquin. Yesterday it looked like Saturday would be the heaviest rain but now it may linger into Sunday. Of course there’s a chance this system will miss us to the east. The precipitation map on top doesn’t think so yet and has our area getting another good soaking but the bulls eye will by NYC on east. Updates as warranted.
But like we’ve been seeing a lot lately, we have extremes
We have a drought watch for central and eastern sections of western New Jersey. For all practical purposes it applies for all of the area as it has been bone dry. Last measurable rain was back on the 12th!
As it stands now we have 2 solid chances of rain this week. The first will be Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. This will be from a cold front approaching from the west that will push out the unseasonable warm and humid weather we now have. This will also pull up some of the remaining moisture from the system that’s been to our south for a while. I’m thinking 1″ from this system.
The second chance will be later in the week into Saturday. The cold front that will pass above will stall to our south. Current thinking is tropical depression 11 which is over the SW Atlantic ocean, will get pulled up into this along with some other moisture to our SW. If this all plays out perfectly, we could see a high amount of rain and even gusty winds. Of course this remains to be seen. But we certainly need the rain. The second system has the potential to deposit several inches of rain.
Heavy rain falling again in extreme western New Jersey in particular southern Warren county. So far in Stewartsville I’ve received 0.83″ and its still pouring!
The rain bands are moving slowly north from the south. As of right now not too much is happening to the east but that will change as the night wears on – the entire area will move slowly to the east.
Extreme western areas of New Jersey (as seen in the above map) picked up about 1″ of rain late yesterday afternoon as slow moving line of showers and some thundershowers moved south to north over the area. Stewartsville recorded 0.81″ in two separate rain incidents. This was the first significant rainfall for Stewartsville in a week. If you traveled a little more to the east, some places received nothing. My one daughter was in Clinton at the time and said the sun was shining.
But much further to the east and north, some sections of NE New Jersey received several inches of rain as seen in the purple shading.
A slow moving cold front will be approaching the area today but probably not clear the area entirely until sometime Friday. We could receive showers nearly anytime today but the best chances will be after 3 pm today. Hopefully the heaviest rain will fall later on or over night.
Stewartsville NJ received 0.67″ of new rainfall as of 7 am this morning. As you can see in the radar above, we still have a few more heavier showers that will pass through western New Jersey this morning.
Then the next question is how much, if any additional rain will we receive this afternoon? It all depends on how much sunshine and how warm it gets. The early morning rain was cue largely to a warm front. If you haven’t stepped outside yet our friend humidity is back for a big visit. But a cold front will pass though later today and will probably result in some additonal showers.
Folks in western New Jersey were treated to a light show last evening from the approaching thunderstorms that slowly moved into the area from eastern PA. They took there time but did arrive and gave part of the area over 1″ of rain. Stewartsville received 1.10″ of new needed rainfall. Parts of eastern PA receive 3″ of rain while other areas of western NJ didn’t receive quite as much.
Summertime heat and humidity are here this week. Tuesday-Thursday will be the hottest weather so far with summer with highs in the mid 90’s we humidity to boot. There could be some scattered thunderstorms around today with a greater chance Thursday as another front approaches.
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