Well that didn’t take long. Severe thunderstorm watch up until 7 pm this evening. Thunderstorms appraoching Harrisburg right now. Some severe ones down by PA/MD border. Keep an eye to the sky!
Happy ground Hog Day everyone! Western New Jersey picked up about 3-4” of snow late last night and early this morning. Some amounts in far northern Sussex county are approaching 12” as they never changed over to sleet and freezing rain/rain like most of western NJ did.
Already at this hour temperatures are starting to fall below freezing and light rain has already changed back to sleet and some light snow. This is somewhat surprising and concerning to me that this happened already. Look for this to continue into the afternoon. This is because the coastal storm is now taking over and causing colder temperature to rush back into the region. this will cause any standing water or wet snow to freeze over fast this afternoon. In fact we may see a 10-15 degree temperature drop in 1 hour later this afternoon!
While I do not expect a lot of sleet and snow this afternoon some section may pick up a quick coating to around 1” in any heavier snow squalls that do develop. Look for temperatures to be in the single digits by sun up Tuesday morning.
Can you believe the ground hog actually saw his shadow? It must have been from all the TV lights! Six more weeks of winter!
Another very cold morning in western New Jersey this Saturday morning. Most stations were in the single digits with a stiff north west wind making it feel well below zero with wind chill.
I wanted to post this great graphic from the NWS that shows the different types of winter precipitation. Why? Because my forecast has some of them in it!
Recent computer modeling of the Sunday night-Monday morning storm continues to bring the storm closer to our area. This will result in the rain/mix/snow line coming very close to our area. In fact, at this time, I believe southern areas of western new Jersey will in fact switch over to a mix if not completely rain.
The NWS has placed western New Jersey in a Winter Storm Watch for Sunday evening into Monday. There current forecast for snow amounts is below:
At this time I’m not forecasting amounts that high in southern areas of western new jersey. In these areas I’m forecasting 3-6” of snow for now with more to the north and west, especially elevated sections. In these areas I’ll forecast 6-10” at this time.
I’ll post more details Sunday morning or as time permits.
It was a very cold night in western New Jersey this morning. Many stations were in the low single digits with some below zero to the north.
A fast moving clipper system will visit the area this evening into tomorrow morning. Look for some snow showers any time after dinner. I support the above map from the NWS with a general coating to perhaps 1” or so in some area. The storm is moving fast and passing to our north so there could be some amounts closer to 2” up north.
This clipper will also be dragging another artic front through the area early Friday morning. This may result in a few more snow showers or even a brief snow squall. Then look for temperatures to drop for the remainder of the day and be extremely cold Friday night, Saturday and Saturday night.
Out attention then turns to what will happen Sunday night into Monday. Yesterday computer guidance moved the storm further south. But then moved it back north. So we still don’t have any consistency yet. My early thoughts are the storm will have a hard time interacting with the cold air over our area so may stay to our south. We will still have an impact – just need to see how much. Details as the become available.
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