Even though parts of our area received rain on August 23rd, that was nearly 2 weeks ago!
Even though our Labor Day weather is featuring filtered sunshine this morning, look for clouds to increase an lower with increasing showers as the day wears on. The rainiest period will be overnight into Tuesday morning
It certainly won’t feel like late March today – more like January! Gusty winds, cold wind chills and perhaps even some snow showers!!
And the hunt for Spring 2022 continues. If you don’t like today, you’re not going to like Monday either. Overnight lows the next two nights are going to be in the upper teens and low 20’s! If you turned on your outdoor water faucets, you might want to turn them off!
Monday temperatures will not get out of the teens. The gusty winds will make it feel even colder. Normal highs this time of year are the mid 50’s.
Temperatures will slowly start to recover on Tuesday with more seasonable temperatures on Thursday and beyond. With the warmer temperatures come increasing chances of rain.
Astronomical spring began at 11:33 AM today, Sunday, March 20, 2022. Hopefully, everyone took deep breaths of the unseasonably warm temperatures recently. Normal high temperatures this time of year are only in the low 50’s.
The CPC outlook above indicates below average temperatures to close out this month and begin next. #NJwx
Cooler and windy conditions this weekend and early this new week are not welcome compared to the warmer weather of last week. Winter will let us know the calendar does not turn to Spring until Saturday. We could see some light wintry mix on Tuesday. Early Tuesday morning, as well as late afternoon and evening, are the best times to see any wintry mix. Other times it will just be cold rain showers. If anything does accumulate, it will be on colder, shaded surfaces of a coating to less than 1″
Wet weather moves back in on Thursday afternoon. This has the potential to give our area the first decent rainfall in over two weeks.
Looking ahead to the weekend, the weather looks seasonable with warmer temperatures back in the forecast for next week this time
After a chilly morning, Sunday will feature sunshine. We should see some increase in clouds later in the day with our next weather system approaching.
The Monday morning commute should be fine but looks for snow to once again fall from the skies starting late morning. There is some good news here for folks that had enough of the cold and snow this winter. The first bit of good news is this should only last for 4 hours. The second bit of good news is that most if not all of the snow accumulation should be on colder surfaces (cars, garbage cans, tree branches, etc..) – roadways should be fine. Since this will be happening during the day and we are now in late February, the higher sun angle should help to keep most roadways only in need of some salt. Monday’s snow is the result of a cold front passing through and not from a storm.
The snow forecast graphic above shows a 1-3″ snow forecast for our area. As usual, there will be less to the south and more to the north. If every snowflake that fell accumulated, I agree with the above. However, I don’t think most of us will see that much.
After Monday, warmer weather closer to normal will prevail with Wednesday looking like the nicest day!
Another snowfall for 2021. We should all be used to this at this point. So far only a tenth of an inch at 7 am with more on the way.
The heavier snow bands appear to be setting up south of our area in the central-west area of NJ. As a result the NWS has shifted their forecast area of snow for 6-8″ to those areas. That is represented in the graphic above.
There is still a chance of some sleet getting mixed in or perhaps changing over to later today and this evening.
Most of the heavier snow will fall today during the day. the snow should lighten up later today and overnight. We should still see some periods of light snow and snow showers Friday morning. At this time I don’t see too much additional resulting from that.
The National Weather Service Mt Holly Office has issued a Winter Storm Watch for our next winter storm from late Wednesday into Friday afternoon.
WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* WHAT – Heavy mixed precipitation possible Total snow and sleet accumulations of 5 to 8 inches
* WHERE – Portions of northern and northwest New Jersey and east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania
Based on what I’m seeing at the moments I’m going with 4-8″ snow forecast. This could mix with or change to sleet at times, especially southern locations
Thankfully the ice threat never materialized in southern locations overnight. Much warmer air overtook the area as the storm system passed to our west and we were on the “warm” side of the storm.
When warmer air hits the cold snow pack, it common to make fog as is seen in many areas this morning
Ice? I did not see nay in Stewartsville area overnight as the temperature was just above freezing all night. Anyone get ice? If so please let me know in the comments
As shown on the above map, overnight low temperatures. I’m sure many of these were recorded just after midnight
And then there’s the rain. Many areas received at least 3/4″ of an inch and some more. This should put a nice dent in the snowpack. But don’t worry snow lovers – reinforcements are on the way!
Speaking of snow, our next parade of storms will arrive on Thursday. At this point this storm appears to be somewhat colder and snowier than the last storm. Look for snow to arrive Thursday morning and last a good part of the day. The snow looks to be plowable and be in the 4-8″ range – more to the north and less to the south.
Warmer air looks to arrive thursday night and change many areas (especially south) to a wintry mix of first sleet and then possibly freezing rain.
We’ll keep an eye on this and update accordingly.
Some good news? After this storm the atmosphere looks to “take a break” for a little while so expect some calmer and seasonable conditions. But remember: it’s still winter and still February!
In our rapid succession of snow threats, we have two more that will visit our area. For the most part, these will remain to the south of our area. But we may still get some accumulating snow.
The first one will arrive late Wednesday night or very early Thursday morning. The second one will be almost 24 hours later.
Both of these will impact southern locations more than northern locations.
I’m expecting a coating to 2″ of snow with less to the north and more to the south.
Looking ahead, there’s another chance of wintry weather late Saturday night into SUnday morning. If this verifies, this will be the second Sunday morning in a row of wintry weather. Right now this looks relatively light but could feature some mixed precipitation.
A cold morning in Stewartsville, NJ this Monday morning with temperatures in the lower teens.
There were some areas in the upper single digits to the north. Clear skies overnight along with fresh snow and light winds caused the cold Monday morning.
Enjoy the cold sunshine on Monday becasue another fast moving system will impact our area before sun-up on Tuesday. This will be a similar event to last Friday where we picked up a coating to 2″. My forecast is for a coating to 3″. The coating will be in southern areas and the 3″ to the north. The graphic above from the NWS shows this potential nicely.
Then another day of sunshine on Wednesday before another larger system impacts our area starting very late Wednesday or early THursday morning. This system will be multiple waves of low pressure that will move along just to our south and last until Friday morning. These waves will result in more snow than Tuesday but it should not be terrible. Early thoughts are 2-4 or 3-6.
Our parade of storms continues with another fast moving system late Saturday lasting into early Sunday morning.
Don’t put the snow shovel away yet as another system could impact our area in the timeframe of next Wednesday. Temperatures looks to remain well below normal throughout this timeframe.
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