Snow Showers and Squalls Possible Today

30. December 2016 · Comments Off on Snow Showers and Squalls Possible Today · Categories: snow · Tags: ,
Snow showers to impact western New Jersey this afternoon and early evening

Snow showers to impact western New Jersey this afternoon and early evening

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Monroe-
Including the cities of...Newton...Washington...Morristown...Stroudsburg
144 PM EST Fri Dec 30 2016

...Snow showers and possible snow squalls...

A band of snow showers with embedded snow squalls may extend from the Great Lakes into parts of the Pocono Region in Pennsylvania and parts of 
northern New Jersey during the late afternoon and evening hours. The time period of concern is from about 3:00 PM until 8:00 PM.

The snow showers and squalls may quickly reduce the visibility making for hazardous travel conditions. Also, a period of moderate
to heavy snowfall could leave a quick accumulation of an inch or two with locally higher amounts. Roads and walkways may become
snow covered and slippery.

If you will be traveling in Monroe County in Pennsylvania or in the New Jersey counties of Sussex, Warren and Morris be prepared
for hazardous travel. The area includes parts of Interstate 80, Intestate 380 and Interstate 287.

Another Snow To Rain on Thursday

28. December 2016 · Comments Off on Another Snow To Rain on Thursday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

As has been the pattern with storms so far this cold season, we will get another snow to rain event on Thursday. Look for light snow to overspread western New Jersey around rush hour time – certainly by mid morning. Then, as has been the case this year, the snow will start mixing with and then change to rain. The difference this time I don’t expect much in the way of sleet or freezing rain. There is not a lot of colder air near the surface.

As far as accumulation I expect a coating to 1″ for most areas of southern Warren and Hunterdon counties with a little bit more further to the north as well as in the Poconos.

This will turn into a very big storm – for northeastern New England. Some areas will receive over a foot of snow from this storm!

Much colder air will usher in as the storm passes. Friday will be quite windy and there could be some snow squalls.

The next event to keep an eye on in New Years Eve into New Years Day. More on that as we get closer.

 

First Thoughts on Thursday Snow Potential

27. December 2016 · Comments Off on First Thoughts on Thursday Snow Potential · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

My initial thoughts a few days ago for late Wednesday into Thursday was another wet snow to rain event for western New Jersey. The interesting part this time is the computer models have been trending slightly colder with each new run. If this continues we could see a minor wet snow accumulation.

The above map is from the NWS and shows the most likely snowfall for our area for Thursday. At this point I’m in agreement with this as it shows 1-2″ in most locations of western New Jersey. There is the potential for a few more inches, especially up north.

Today’s rain showers should be over my mid day and some sunshine should return. It will be a very mild day by late December standards. It will turn colder tomorrow but nothing too severe.

After the late Wednesday night/Thursday event there is another possibility of mixed precipitation unfortunately on New Year’s Eve. More on that as we get closer.

Freezing Rain Advisory Until 11am

26. December 2016 · Comments Off on Freezing Rain Advisory Until 11am · Categories: winter · Tags: , ,

The National Weather Service has issued a freezing rain advisory for this morning until 11 am for Warren county and further to the north. Hunterdon is not in the advisory area.

We are right around freezing and some very light rain is moving east from central PA this morning. This is response to some warmer weather that will arrive overnight into Tuesday. I do not expect this to be a big issue. If you are out and about when the rain starts, just be careful if the temperature is not yet above freezing. Then we turn more seasonable the rest of the week.

SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN
340 AM EST MON DEC 26 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...FAR NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE IS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN SHOULD  DEVELOP THIS MORNING... THEN END BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS  TEMPERATURES
  SLOWLY RISE.

* IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY ON  UNTREATED SURFACES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. TEMPERATURES RISING THROUGH THE  30S THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

 

Freezing Rain Advisory Early Saturday Morning

23. December 2016 · Comments Off on Freezing Rain Advisory Early Saturday Morning · Categories: weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: ,

 

Freezing Rain Advisory early Saturday morning

Freezing Rain Advisory early Saturday morning

The National Weather Service has issued a freezing rain advisory early Saturday morning. This is basically for the wee hours of Saturday morning starting from 1 am and should be well over by 9 am.

I don’t expect most areas in the south and central section of western New Jersey to see much if any freezing rain. In colder sections and deeper valley further to the north the rain may start out as a little freezing rain.

With many people traveling and visiting for the holidays it’s better to be safe than sorry.

We can expect rain to be over around mid day and for most areas of western New Jersey to receive about 1/4″ to 1/2″ of much needed rain. Of course no one wants to see rain on Christmas Eve but it should be well over before holiday services later in the day and evening.

Here is the advisory:

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ060>062-105-241100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0004.161224T0600Z-161224T1400Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...CHALFONT...PERKASIE
315 PM EST FRI DEC 23 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN MAY BEGIN AS EARLY AS 1 OR 2 AM, BECOMING HEAVIER BY 6 OR 7 AM. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO
  PLAIN RAIN EVERYWHERE BY 9 AM.

* IMPACTS...ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE
  FREEZING EVERYWHERE BY 9 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

 

Winter Solstice

20. December 2016 · Comments Off on Winter Solstice · Categories: winter · Tags: ,

Good news is we will slowly start getting more daylight!

Calmer Pattern Ahead

19. December 2016 · Comments Off on Calmer Pattern Ahead · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,

We are entering a calmer pattern compared to recent. I expect this to last for the remainder of the year for the most part.

Look for much colder weather today with a slight moderation tomorrow. Wednesday, the first official day of Winter, will start a return to more seasonable temperatures with highs in the low 40’s.

The next chance of precipitation looks to be some rain or wet snow showers on Thursday. Then after that not until Christmas night. So travel and shopping weather looks to cooperate for the most part.

So as of right now it looks like we will have a green instead of a white Christmas this year.

Rain Then Sharply Colder

18. December 2016 · Comments Off on Rain Then Sharply Colder · Categories: precipitation, winter · Tags: ,

Rain heading east

A large area of rain is heading towards western New Jersey. I for one don’t mind as I didn’t completely shovel my driveway yesterday after receiving 1″ of snow and sleet. Hopefully the warmer temperatures of today (around 50) combined with the rain will finish the job.

And it’s important you don’t have any snow left in walkways by the end of the day. A strong cold front will cross the area this afternoon and temperatures will come crashing down by evening.

After a cold Monday. look for calmer and more average temperatures mid week.

Freezing Rain Next Several Hours

17. December 2016 · Comments Off on Freezing Rain Next Several Hours · Categories: winter · Tags: ,
What my car looks like only being out in freezing rain for 20 minutes

What my car looks like only being out in freezing rain for 20 minutes

All freezing rain now in Stewartsville and most central and southern areas of western New Jersey. Look for any areas that are still getting sleet to go over to freezing rain shortly.

It’s now a race between the precipitation ending or warmer air arriving to see which gets here first. Let’s hope noon time or before is the ending of either.

Roads are no good so stay in if possible

Back end of precipitation in Harrisburg as of 9am

Back end of precipitation in Harrisburg as of 9am

Frozen Precipitation To Taper Off By Mid Day

17. December 2016 · Comments Off on Frozen Precipitation To Taper Off By Mid Day · Categories: snow, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,
NWS forecast for ice
Snow covered streets in Stewartsville

Snow covered streets in Stewartsville

The snow has already changed over to sleet in most sections of southern western new jersey. Look for all areas to go to sleet and then even freezing rain before ending by mid day.

Stewartsville received 0.8″ of new snow/sleet so far.

NWS forecast for ice

NWS forecast for ice

Untreated roads will be icy this morning so please slow down and take your time until the temperature warms up and the roads and walkways improve

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