01. April 2015 · Comments Off on Snow Foolin’ · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,
Snow falls late on March 31, 2015

Snow falls late on March 31, 2015

In what continues to be an overproducing winter season in western New Jersey, yesterday evening’s changeover to wet snow over produced. Stewartsville received 0.8″ of wet snow (only on colder surfaces – roads were fine). Further to the north they received a little more. I heard reports up north of nearly 2″ and some secondary roads became snow covered.

7Day

Today will be a much nicer day but on the chilly side. We should have high temperatures in the upper 40’s with a good amount of sunshine. Thursday will be much warmer but also breezy. High temperatures look to climb into the low 60’s which will be welcome in the area. Showers will move into the area on Good Friday and continue into early Saturday morning. As of right now Easter Sunday looks like a cool start in the low 30’s.

31. March 2015 · Comments Off on Mid day Update – March 31 · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

RADAR

Wet snow is now being reported in the Pocono’s. No rain showers have made it to the ground yet in western New Jersey but should in the next hour or two. Look for showers or periods of light rain for the remainder of the afternoon. There could be a few heavier showers mixed in. This should only be 1-2/10″

For location above 1000′ look for wet snow that could leave a slushy accumulation.

Any precipitation that continues into the late afternoon or early evening could mix with wet snow even in the lower valleys.

Temperatures are currently in the mid 40’s in western New Jersey and holding steady

31. March 2015 · Comments Off on Last Day of March Weather · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

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Early morning risers in western New Jersey are seeing a very nice morning with partly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s. Unfortunately this will not continue as clouds will arrive quickly and bring light rain by mid day or early afternoon. For elevations above 1000′ this will be wet snow.

 

 

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By late afternoon or early evening, and light rain falling could start mixing with snow even at the lower elevations. I expect little if any accumulations mostly on colder surfaces. The exception will be elevated areas above 750′ – they might see a coating to 1″ in spots.

 

 

 

 

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Wednesday will be sunny but on the cooler side with highs in the 40’s. Thursday and Friday will be mild days with highs in the 60’s. But showers will be on the increase starting Thursday evening continuing into Friday.

30. March 2015 · Comments Off on End of March Weather Outlook · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

7Day

Early risers in western New Jersey saw some light snow this morning that coated the ground in a few areas. This was the result of a cold front that moved through. Winds have increased and will stay breezy today but high temperatures will make it to the low 50’s but feel cooler in the wind.

On Tuesday a small fast moving clipper type system will approach the area and give us some rain or wet snow shower in the afternoon ending by early evening. Then we start off April on a sunny but chilly note on Wednesday. Warmer air arrives for the end of the week but so does the chance of showers by Thursday night and Friday.

28. March 2015 · Comments Off on Chilly Saturday With Flurries? · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

RADAR

The calendar may say Spring and late March but today will feel more like early February. It could be worse: some folks in SE PA and Long Island are waking up to some light snow this morning that is coating the ground in some places! There’s a chance some sections of western New Jersey could see some flurries today. If you are in a heavier snow shower don’t be surprised if it briefly whitens the ground.

7Day

Believe it or not our normal high temperature now should be 54 degrees! Today will be blustery and cold with high’s not getting out of the upper 30’s. This is unfortunate as I know there are some outdoor activities (i.e. Easter Egg Hunt) that begin now. After a very cold start, Sunday will be a little warmer and feature mostly sunny skies and less wind that should help a little. Then there’s a chance of some light rain or snow showers Sunday night into Monday morning as warmer more seasonable air makes it into the region. End of week looks to have high temperatures near 60 but with increased rain chances.

20. March 2015 · Comments Off on Mid Day Storm Update · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

Capture

Wet snow continues across western New Jersey on Friday afternoon, the first day of Spring. The back edge of the snow is now visible on radar near Harrisburg and moving in this direction. Furthermore in the last 15 minutes I’m starting to notice some gaps in the radar to our west so the steady snow should become more intermittent as the afternoon wears on.

 

Snow starts to stick to roads in western New Jersey on first day of Spring 2015

Snow starts to stick to roads in western New Jersey on first day of Spring 2015

As of noon, Stewartsville received 1.2″ of snow. At this point I suspect we will receive around the top end of my 1-3″ forecast.

20. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day of Spring With Snow · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

Capture

Temperatures this morning are already above freezing slightly and we have an E-SE wind. When the snow arrives (very light snow just entered western New Jersey as of 9 am) the lower atmosphere will cool down slightly. But the March sun will penetrate the clouds and help to warm up paved surfaces.

As you can see in the above radar, precipitation initially will be very light and intermittent.

northeast

I wider view of radar show opening in the coverage in Southern PA but more moisture to the west.

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We are still under a winter weather advisory until 8 pm tonight. The NWS is still forecasting 4-6″ for our area. My forecast still stands at 1-3.” More snow will fall but not accumulate. More will accumulate at higher elevations (generally above 750 ft). Also if it continues to snow moderately beyond 4-5 pm that snow may start sticking on untreated surfaces as well. But the storm should start winding down in our area from 6-9 pm.

If you feel like it, go out to your local Rita’s for a free water ice today!! lol

If will feel more spring like tomorrow with partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper 40’s and low 50’s.

19. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day Of Spring Snow Forecast · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

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Western New Jersey woke up to another chilly morning with temperatures in the 20’s. Partly sunny skies today with highs just over 40. Clouds will increase tonight and snow will develop across the area between 6-10 am on Friday. Wet snow should continue at various rates throughout the day ending in the early evening from 6-10 pm. If this were 1-2 months ago I would be forecasting 3-6.”  But it’s not – it’s late March and in fact the first day of Spring. Can it snow in late March and early April? Sure can and it has in the past. Does the snow stick around? Nope.

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The National Weather Service has issues a winter weather advisory for tomorrow. The NWS is forecasting 3-6″ of snow as seen above. I believe most lower elevations of western New Jersey will only see 1-3″ on Friday and that will be mostly on colder surfaces like grass, car tops, untreated surfaces and shady areas. When the snow falls during the day it will only stick in the above areas. For it to stick during the day everywhere it has to be heavy snow. And we may in fact have a few heavier periods on Friday.

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We will be getting a good 1/2″ of liquid from this storm. Elevated areas (say above 750′) will see more snow in the order of 3-6″

If I see any significant changes I will update this post. I will be busy for the next few evenings so updates may be limited.

17. March 2015 · Comments Off on Windy And Turning Colder · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

Surface

Now that the cold front has passed through Western New Jersey, temperatures will start to tumble this afternoon as the winds increase. So far I recorded a high wind gust of 33. I’m sure there are higher readings in open elevated areas.

7day

Tonight and tomorrow will make us remember that the season is still Winter. We will have overnight lows in the mid 20’s with breezy conditions. Tomorrow will continue on that same note with highs in the mid perhaps upper 30’s. This is over 10 degrees below normal. Another cold night Wednesday night but the winds should let up by Thursday morning. Thursday will feature sunny skies and a little warmer in the mid 40’s.

Then our attention turns to Friday. A storm will approach the east coast south of us. The worse of the storm looks to stay to our south but its looking more and more like this storm will impact us. We may be cold enough for snow in the beginning of the storm on Friday. But now that it’s mid March and the snow will be falling during the day, I do not anticipate any accumulations at this time. Later in the day it may warm up enough to change to rain.

As it looks now we should remain below normal temperature wise through the end of the month so even though Spring is near, it’s not here yet temperature wise…

06. March 2015 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Weather Summary · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: ,

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Above is a graphical display of snowfall reports received by the NWS for yesterday’s storm. See my previous post about more storm reports. Many locations received 6-8” with less up north.

Western New Jersey residents woke up to another very cold morning. Many temperatures were in the low single digits. Many school districts are on a delayed opening once again. And most side roads are snow covered but hopefully plowed by now.

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I’m pleased to report we should now be in a quiet period with warming! Yes today will be cold (20 degrees below normal!) as will tonight but we should have mostly sunny skies well into next week with high temperatures in the 40’s starting on Sunday!

And don’t forget to “spring” your clocks forward Saturday night.

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