Radar showing another area of rain to move into western New Jersey

Radar showing another area of rain to move into western New Jersey

Just about 1″ of rain has fallen in Stewartsville so far today. As seen in the radar image above another area of rain is about to move into western New Jersey. This should be somewhat lighter than what we received before.

Look to the far left on that map and you see pink and blue representing mixed precipitation and snow. Yes that’s right while it’s in the low 60’s here, it’s snowing in the far NW part of PA.

NWS Ice Forecast for Saturday AM

NWS Ice Forecast for Saturday AM

Th cold air should arrive in western New Jersey very fast between 1 am and 5 am tomorrow morning. If it’s still raining we could see that change over to some sleet or freezing rain. As such the NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for Warren county and further N&W. The threat should be over by mid morning tomorrow then sharply colder temperatures over the weekend into next week.

Next change of some wintry weather will be on Tuesday and Wednesday. More on that as it approaches.

14. July 2017 · Comments Off on More Rain Today · Categories: Summer, thunderstorms · Tags: , ,

Parts of western New Jersey picked up a good amount of rain yesterday. Stewartsville received 0.83 from the late afternoon thunderstorms and an additional 0.10″ overnight.

Severe weather threat stays south of western New Jersey on Friday

Severe weather threat stays south of western New Jersey on Friday

While Friday will be cooler than the last few days, the humidity will still be very uncomfortable. The best chances for any severe weather look to be to the south of western New Jersey – but not that far away. So keep an eye to the sky.

More moderate rain heading to western New Jersey

More moderate rain heading to western New Jersey

Good news is nicer weather returns for the weekend. Then look for another warm/hot/humid spell next week. It is summer after all!

10. March 2017 · Comments Off on Friday Mid Day Snow Update · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: , , ,

This snow today has certainly over-performed. As of 11 am 4.3″ of snow in Stewartsville. The heavy snow band that came through about an hour ago really over-produced. I picked up over 1″ of snow per hour for 2 hours in a row! That’s impressive for this type of system in March.

The radar above shows the darker band of heavy snow moving away from western New Jersey. I anticipate the snow ending by early afternoon. Then we need to be on the lookout for snow squalls this afternoon and early evening as much colder air moves into the region.

10. March 2017 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Snow Update · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , ,
Early morning snow falling in western New Jersey

Early morning snow falling in western New Jersey

As of 7:15 am 1.0″ of snow has fallen in Stewartsville so far. The forecast is still on track for 1-3″ with more to the north, 3-6″ near and north of I-80.

Radar above as of 8 am shows more snow to our west. Look for the steady snow to continue until about lunch time. It will fall at various rates. After that it will be more showery with the potential for some snow squalls later in the day.

Snow is not sticking to roads in the southern area of western New Jersey for the most part unless they are in the shade.

09. March 2017 · Comments Off on Snow Amounts For Friday · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

My thoughts haven’t changed too much for Friday’s late season snow. My forecast is still a 1-3″ for western New Jersey. Less to the south and more to the north. I will add a 3-6″ band closer to I-80 and north of there. Reason being this is all starting as rain. The change to snow will occur faster up north and slower to the south.

Another factor for tomorrow is the chance for snow squalls at the end of the storm and in the afternoon. Another cold front will be following tomorrow’s storm and it looks to be accompanied by some snow squalls. Not sure if this will be a repeat of last Friday but if they materialize it could add to the snow totals some what.

What’s not changing is the well below normal temperatures for the weekend. Not getting above freezing most likely!

Then we need to continue to watch late Monday night into Tuesday. This is looking more and more like it will happen and the cold air will still be around so you know what that means…

 

09. March 2017 · Comments Off on Winter Returns In March · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: ,

The windy weather of yesterday and today tell us a change is a coming. Today’s relatively balmy conditions will not be experienced again for a while. The NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for all of western New Jersey as seen in the purple in the map above.

Look for clouds to increase later today and tonight. It will be warm enough to have the precipitation start off as rain late tonight and early tomorrow morning. As colder air continues to move into our area the rain should change to a mix and then all snow.

My forecast is for 1-3″ of snow in southern sections of western New Jersey with perhaps a little more up to the north and in any elevated areas. There will be more accumulation on colder, grassy surfaces than on roads. I do expect the roads to get covered a little since it will be snowing before sun up and could come down moderate at times. My snow forecast is a little lower than what is seen on the NWS map above.

The snow should taper off to snow showers in the afternoon and then the chill sets in. We will not get above freezing all weekend! Keep in mind our normal daytime high is now approaching 47 degrees. We will most likely not see high temperatures in the 40’s for at least a week!

06. January 2017 · Comments Off on Next Storm A Close Call · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , ,

Stewartsville, NJ received just under 1″ of snow on January 6, 2017

Most areas received a dusting overnight in western New Jersey. Friday will remain a cold day with temperatures just barely climbing to near freezing.

The next storm will come up from the south and try to turn north and go up the coast. But it will have this cold dome of high pressure that doesn’t want to move. So it will be a squeeze play. I expect some snow showers over most of western New Jersey that could result in a coating to perhaps 1″ further to the east and south. As you you can see from the NWS snowfall forecast map above, most of the snow will fall to our south and east. Further south some areas of Virginia and NC will receive 6-12″ of snow.

04. January 2017 · Comments Off on Light Snow Friday Morning · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

After today’s milder weather it’s back to reality. A storm system moving to our south should come north enough to give western New Jersey some light snow late Thursday into Friday morning. The timing doesn’t look good for the morning rush. the roads are pre-treated well.

I agree with the NWS map above and believe western New Jersey will receive a coating to 1″ with more to the south and east for a change.

Then the big story is we are back to winter temperatures until Tuesday of next week so bundle up!

02. March 2016 · Comments Off on Winter’s Last Gasp On Friday? · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

StormTotalSnowWeb (1)

Winter appears to have one more show for us. Today’s gusty winds are bringing back colder more seasonable weather to western New Jersey. In fact it will be quite chilly tonight and tomorrow. Look for light snow to develop Thursday night and last into Friday. Initially temperatures will be cold enough for all snow but on Friday we will go above freezing so if it continues it should mix with some rain, especially in southern locations. Plus the March sun will go to work on surfaces and prevent any additional accumulation.

For western New Jersey I like the idea of a coating to an inch or two. This will mostly be on colder, grassy surfaces. I don’t anticipate any additional accumulation once sunup is reached on Friday.

For those ready for Spring, we should get a real nice preview of it next week!

09. October 2015 · Comments Off on Showers On the Way: Update · Categories: Fall · Tags: , , ,

 

 

Radar20151009-1525

As of 3:30, rain and some thundershowers is moving in from the NW. Keep an eye to the sky for the next few hours.

Radar20151009-1048

A cold front will be approaching the area later today. Some pre-frontal showers have already popped up and should be entering western New Jersey within the next hour.

After that we should have a little break then more activity later this afternoon. Don’t be surprised if you even hear a rumble of thunder! Yes it’s October but it does happen occasionally. Look for the afternoon showers to start as early as 2 pm but hopefully should be clear of the area in time for Friday night HS football!

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