03. October 2015 · Comments Off on Saturday Morning Update · Categories: Fall · Tags: ,

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Overnight western New Jersey picked up about another 1″ of new rainfall. That brings our 4 day total to 2.5-3″ of rain in the area. The rain was much needed and thankfully didn’t all come down at once.

Looks for the unseasonably cool and damp weather to continue today. Highs will only be in the low 50’s with scattered showers. Nothing should be a wash out but there will be some drizzle and showers at times. And the cloudy skies and north east wind will make it feel cooler than it really is.

Conditions should improve Sunday as hurricane Joaquin passes out to sea. Coastal flooding will continue to be an issue near the shore into early next week.

Speaking of next week, we should see the return of party sunny skies with high temperatures in the upper 60’s and low 70’s.

02. October 2015 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Joaquin Update · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: ,

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Overnight models continue to support the idea of hurricane Joaquin heading to the north and east and not directly impacting the US coast. There of course will be indirect effects.

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Rain will move back into western New Jersey this morning and remain on and off through the night. Showers should be the rule for both Saturday and Sunday. Heavier rain now looks to remain to our south with our area receiving between 1/2″ and 1″ of rain – perhaps a bit less to the north.

And let’s not forget about the wind. I already had a gust to 19 this morning and the day just begun!

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Post Joaquin we get into some nice fall weather.

Updates as warranted.

30. September 2015 · Comments Off on Overnight Rainfall Summary. More On the Way? · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: , ,

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Western New Jersey received some very beneficial rainfall overnight. Stewartsville received 1.71″ of rain. The best park is the rainfall rate: it wasn’t a down pour that washed away. the rate of rainfall never exceeded 1/2″ per hour.

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So when will it rain again? Even though the heavy rain is past us for now we could see a shower or two today. Then the cold front will finally pass through later on and bring October like temperatures finally. Low 70’s of today will be replaced with upper 50’s tomorrow and Friday!

The cold front mentioned above will stall not too far away from us. Waves of low pressure will ride of the front and reintroduce rain back into our area. I expect this to start as early as Thursday afternoon but it should be here by Friday at the latest. This is not directly related to Joaquin yet!

Speaking of Joaquin what will happen? The above map has the tropical storm now a hurricane and remaining one. The storm has also slowed down and is not forecast  to be in our area directly until later in the weekend/early next week as seen above.

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Meteorologists have several computer models that forecast future movements of just tropical systems. The latest forecast map is above. You can see a majority of them now take Joaquin into the eastern seaboard south of us and then turn the system north. The National Hurricane Center doesn’t believe them yet and neither do I. This is a situation that will continue to be watched and monitored.

What unclear to me at the moment is when the rain resumes later Thursday or Friday from the stalled front just to our south, will we have steady rain from that point up until Joaquin get into our area? Or will there be periods of rain? And when will the heaviest rain fall and how much? I will be focusing on answers to these questions in the days ahead.

24. April 2015 · Comments Off on Freeze Watch Tonight · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , , ,

7Day

 

Western New Jersey was able to escape freezing temperatures this morning due to a wind that never died down and cloudy skies most of the night. However another cold night is forecast tonight. In fact it’s forecast to be a few degrees colder than last night. So please protect any sensitive plants if possible.

Snow showers were experienced in many areas of western New Jersey yesterday with the cold air in place. Today, while still below normal, should not see any showers but temperatures will remain below normal with windy conditions.

Next week should see temperatures closer to normal for this time of year. Still no heat waves in site at this point. If anything it will remain at or slightly below normal temperature wise into early May.

 

10. April 2015 · Comments Off on Warmer Weather On the Way · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,

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It may not feel like it yet today but warmer air is on the way to western New Jersey area. A warm front is having a very hard time making its way east today. As you can see in the above temperature map, warmer temperatures are to our west in western PA. I don’t think it will get here until later in the afternoon or early evening just before the cold front arrives. Expect some light rain showers later this afternoon. Some thunderstorm could be in extreme southern NJ and points further south.

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Take note of the high temperatures expected for the next several days. We should see high’s in the 60’s and perhaps some days near 70! So hopefully we can close the door on the cold and damp 30’s and 40’s during the day starting tomorrow.

28. March 2015 · Comments Off on Chilly Saturday With Flurries? · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

RADAR

The calendar may say Spring and late March but today will feel more like early February. It could be worse: some folks in SE PA and Long Island are waking up to some light snow this morning that is coating the ground in some places! There’s a chance some sections of western New Jersey could see some flurries today. If you are in a heavier snow shower don’t be surprised if it briefly whitens the ground.

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Believe it or not our normal high temperature now should be 54 degrees! Today will be blustery and cold with high’s not getting out of the upper 30’s. This is unfortunate as I know there are some outdoor activities (i.e. Easter Egg Hunt) that begin now. After a very cold start, Sunday will be a little warmer and feature mostly sunny skies and less wind that should help a little. Then there’s a chance of some light rain or snow showers Sunday night into Monday morning as warmer more seasonable air makes it into the region. End of week looks to have high temperatures near 60 but with increased rain chances.

21. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Full Day of Spring Weather · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

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Yesterday’s storm certainly over-performed as far as I’m concerned. While I knew more snow would fall that would accumulate, I didn’t expect the longevity of the intensity that resulted in more snow accumulating than I forecasted. Stewartsville received 4″ of wet snow. Here are some additional accumulations in the western New Jersey area:

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
   FRANKLIN               5.2   730 PM  3/20  COCORAHS
   STANTON                5.0   742 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA
   WHITEHOUSE STATION     4.8   602 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   READINGTON             4.5   839 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   KINGWOOD               4.5   634 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA
   THREE BRIDGES          4.3   638 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   READINGTON TWP         1.4   100 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER

...WARREN COUNTY...
   OXFORD                 4.3  1244 AM  3/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
   STEWARTSVILLE          4.0   950 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA
   ALLAMUCHY              3.6   737 AM  3/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HACKETTSTOWN           3.5   630 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   RIEGELSVILLE           3.0   733 AM  3/21  CO-OP OBSERVER
   BLAIRSTOWN             2.0   152 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA

…NORTHAMPTON COUNTY… WILLIAMS TWP 6.5 1209 AM 3/21 TRAINED SPOTTER FORKS TWP 6.0 728 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER BETHLEHEM 5.5 559 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER EASTON 5.3 615 PM 3/20 SOCIAL MEDIA HELLERTOWN 5.2 1032 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER DANIELSVILLE 4.5 1031 PM 3/20 SOCIAL MEDIA BUSHKILL TWP 4.5 1232 AM 3/21 TRAINED SPOTTER NAZARETH 4.3 953 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER BUSHKILL CENTER 4.0 630 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER MARTINS CREEK 3.8 515 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER

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Saturday will be the better of the two this weekend weather wise. Look for partly sunny skies with temperatures near 50. There will be a breeze which combined with the temperature and sun should help to melt most if not all that fell yesterday. There could be a brief rain shower this evening as colder air arrives in the region. Sunday will be sunny but cold for this time of year. Colder than normal will continue into the new week until a nice warm-up arrives on Wednesday, albeit with a chance of rain.

14. March 2015 · Comments Off on Saturday Rain – Improving Sunday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,

7DayWestern New Jersey received about 1/3″ of rain so far as of Saturday morning. It should continue to rain steady until early afternoon. Then we should just have showers the rest of the day and start to dry out later this evening.

Happy Pi Day!

13. March 2015 · Comments Off on Friday The 13th Weather Outlook · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,

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Western New Jersey should see a sunny morning with increasing clouds this afternoon. High temperatures should be in the mid 40’s. Clouds will lower and thicken tonight and look for rain to start around midnight. It might start a little sooner in eastern PA. As the map above reflect, the area should pick up 1/2” of rain, perhaps a little more. Most of the steadier rain will be overnight into Saturday morning. Saturday afternoon should be more showers.

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Sunday looks to be the better of the two days but breezy conditions will make it feel on the cool side. Monday and Tuesday look to be nice days before a cold front comes through Tuesday night.

12. March 2015 · Comments Off on Rain Late Friday Into Saturday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

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Western New Jersey enjoyed a beautiful afternoon on Wednesday afternoon as high temperatures went into the mid to upper 50’s. A cooler air mass has settled into the region for the remainder of the week. We should be having high temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s this time of year. Today we should be in the mid 40’s with plenty of sunshine but a stiff breeze will make it feel cooler than it actually is.

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Friday will be similar to today but with increasing clouds in the afternoon. Rain should hold off to late evening then continue overnight into Saturday morning. This storm system has more moisture to work with than the last one. Western New Jersey area looks to received about 1/2” – 1” of rain. While this shouldn’t be enough to cause widespread flooding, the ground is still somewhat frozen and can’t absorb what it could if it wasn’t snow covered.

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