05. February 2020 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory Overnight For Northern Areas · Categories: winter · Tags:
This should be mostly northern locations that are elevated north of I-78.

304 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2020


NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-062-061000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.200206T0100Z-200206T1500Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Carbon-Monroe-Northampton-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Bethlehem, and Easton
304 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2020

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of one
  tenth to two tenths of an inch. Locally higher amounts up to
  three tenths of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern New Jersey and east central and
  northeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Difficult travel conditions are possible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Isolated
  to scattered power outages will be possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Freezing rain amounts will likely be
  higher in elevations above 1000 feet however small amounts
  remain possible down to valley floors.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible
power outages.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
04. February 2020 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory For Freezing Rain · Categories: winter · Tags: , , ,

A Winter Weather Advisory is up for most of western New Jersey for Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. This will primarily be at an elevation from 1000′ and above but there could also be some in the valley locations. This will eventually change over to all rain. The map above shows the potential amounts of freezing rain ending at 1 pm Thursday

19. February 2019 · Comments Off on Updated Snow Forecast for Wednesday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: ,
NWS snow forecast

Winter Weather Advisory will be in effect for Wednesday. The Winter Storm watch is no longer in effect.

Based on everything I’ve seen today, I’m lowering my snow forecast to 1-3″. There’s even a good chance we could see less than this.

Reasons for the update:

  • not as much cold air available
  • there is no real cold high pressure to the north of us. rather it will be to the east of us and that will help promote the warmup that will take place
  • the air before the storm is very dry. This will prevent any snow accumulation for the first several hours of the storm. At this time I don’t expect snow to start in our area until mid-day or slightly later
  • like so many storms of this winter, we will transition to sleet and freezing rain to rain. I expect us to start this transition wednesday evening
19. January 2019 · Comments Off on Saturday Morning Storm Update · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , , ,
NWS snow forecast

The trend in the past 12 hours has been a warmer one for the upcoming storm. Overnight temperatures did not go as low as originally thought. Current temperatures are at freezing and should rise into the mid to upper 30’s today. Even though winds are calm now, they will start blowing out of the warmer east direction. Winds above us are forecast to blow out of the warm southerly direction. All of these factory should result in us receiving less snow and more rain. The good news is this should minimize any icing risks for our area.

Another trend for less snow is short range computer models are showing the approaching snow this afternoon arriving to our north and west initially missing most of our area. The front-end of the storm is where I expected most of our accumulating snow. If this stays to our north, we will receive even less snow.

Look for light snow to move into our area later this afternoon. It could be mixing with some rain or sleet pellets at the beginning but should changeover to all snow. Then expect snow to start mixing with and then change to sleet around 9 pm. Then rain will mix in and we should be changed over to all rain before midnight with rain continuing heavy at times overnight. This timeline will be delayed further to the north.

Based on what I’m seeing now I’m going to forecast 1-3″ for southern and central locations and 3-6″ further to the north where the changeover will take longer and the snow will start earlier.

Even with this warmer forecast, we will still have a sharply colder and windy day on Sunday. Any early morning rain may change back briefly to snow and then end. Winds will pick up and the temperature will start to sharply fall as the day progresses. Look for temperatures to be in the teen by evening.

A winter weather advisory is in effect for Hunterdon county and points east. Winter storm warning for Warren and above.

07. January 2019 · Comments Off on Light Wintry Mix To Rain · Categories: winter · Tags: ,
Winter weather advisory in effect for this evening into Tuesday AM

Much colder day today compared to recent weather. The colder weather trend looks to continue this week after a roller coaster ride Tuesday into Wednesday.

Radar as of 12:20 pm

A warm front is moving towards our area that will bring warmer weather Tuesday. The leading edge of this is causing some light snow in central PA. If this hold together it will be in western NJ from 3-6 pm this evening.

The air is VERY dry and a lot of this may dry up before reaching our area. It may be one of those situation that the radar looks worse that what actually falls from the sky

NWS snow forecast

Look for some light snow/flurries this evening and then again late at night. Expect a coating to 1″. The greatest chances for 1″ is to the north. Then warmer air arrives overnight and should change over to a cold light rain by morning. Then the rain should let up for most of the day Tuesday until a cold front moves through in the evening. Expect another period of rain with the cold front.

Then back to typically January cold the rest of the week. All eyes will be on the potential of a coastal storm late Saturday into Sunday

01. April 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory Overnight Into Monday Morning · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: ,

NWS snow forecast for April 2, 2018

This ain’t no April Fools joke unfortunately. Thankfully many school and closed for Spring Break tomorrow so the morning commute should be light.

Since a lot of this will be falling at night, it should stick on colder surfaces like grass and car roof tops, etc.

...Early Spring Snow Expected Tonight through Monday Morning...

408 AM EDT Sun Apr 1 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches   are expected. Up to 6 inches possible in a few spots.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey   and east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 1 PM EDT Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions,   including during the morning commute on Monday. Expect reduced
  visibilities at times. High temperatures in the 40s will lead to   rapid melt during the afternoon and early evening hours on
  Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be
obtained by calling 5 1 1. Highest accumulations expected on grassy surfaces.
12. March 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory Tonight into Tuesday Morning · Categories: snow · Tags:

Winter weather advisory for western NJ

Winter weather advisory for western NJ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
950 AM EDT Mon Mar 12 2018

NJZ001-007-PAZ055-062-130200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0014.180312T2100Z-180313T1400Z/
Sussex-Warren-Monroe-Northampton-Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Stroudsburg,
Bethlehem, and Easton
950 AM EDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4   inches are expected.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Sussex and Warren counties. In  Pennsylvania, Monroe and Northampton counties.

* WHEN...Light snow develops this afternoon, then becomes heavier  later this evening and overnight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions,  especially untreated surfaces, including during the Tuesday
  morning commute. Be prepared for reduced visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibility, and use caution while driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
17. February 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:
902 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>106-172300-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.180217T2100Z-180218T0900Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Mercer-Carbon-
Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Trenton, Jim Thorpe,
Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Honey Brook,
Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown,
Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville,
and Doylestown
902 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches
  are expected.

* WHERE...Most of eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey.

* WHEN...Snow quickly overspreads the area from the southwest
  between around mid afternoon, becoming moderate to potentially
  heavy at times this evening. The snow should quickly by 4 AM.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Be
  prepared for reduced visibilities at times. The snow may fall at
  up to an inch per hour at times in parts of the region, which
  would result in rapid deteriorating road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. The
latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be
obtained by calling 5 1 1.
16. January 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory Tuesday Into Wednesday AM · Categories: snow · Tags:

Winter weather advisory for western NJ

Winter weather advisory for western NJ

Sussex-Warren-
Including the cities of Newton and Washington
338 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING
TO 9 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
  inches.

* WHERE...Northwestern New Jersey.

* WHEN...From 8:00 AM this morning until 9:00 AM Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periods of light snow are expected today
  with only a light accumulation. Most of the accumulating snow
  will fall from late today into early Wednesday morning. The snow
  will create hazardous weather conditions, especially for
  tonight and Wednesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This Winter Weather Advisory means that snow will cause travel
difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered roads and limited
visibility, and use extra caution if driving. The latest road
conditions for your state can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
12. January 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory Saturday Morning · Categories: Ice, winter · Tags:

Winter weather advisory for Warren County & N & W

Winter weather advisory for Warren County & N & W

Rain will continue off an on overnight. Computer models are suggesting another very heavy period of rain around 3 am or so. Then the temperatures will fall sharply and be below freezing by sunrise!

Sussex-Warren-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Reading, Allentown,
Bethlehem, and Easton
925 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. The ice will result in very
  slippery conditions on sidewalks, roads and bridges. Total ice
  accumulations are expected to be under a tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of northern New Jersey and east central
  Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will fall sharply from the 50s
  at midnight to around 30 at 7 am Saturday with icing developing
  rapidly toward daybreak Saturday on gusty north to northwest
  winds.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of freezing rain
will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads.
Slow down and use caution while driving. The latest road
conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by
calling 5 1 1.
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