13. March 2016 · Comments Off on Rainy, Raw Weather Ahead. How Long Will It Last? · Categories: spring · Tags: , , , ,

7day

Hopefully everyone in western New Jersey remembered to spring forward their clocks and to also change the batteries in your smoke detectors.

The main message I want to get across today is we have been so warm and above normal, many of us are thinking this is the norm. Sadly it’s not. So when we get a normal temperature day (upper 40’s for western New Jersey) it will feel like parka weather. Combine that with clouds, wind and rain will make people remember it’s March. We should get about 1/2″ of needed rain (it’s been dry lately). The rain will not totally clear out until later Tuesday.

Luckily the cold will not last too long and we will be back above normal in the upper 50’s Tuesday and the 60’s Wednesday and Thursday!

Remember the Ides of March!

08. March 2016 · Comments Off on Spring Has Sprung! · Categories: spring · Tags: , ,
Crocus bloom in Stewartsville NJ in early March 2016

Crocus bloom in Stewartsville NJ in early March 2016

While I’m not advising anyone to put away their winter coats yet, warmer weather is on the way for western New Jersey this week. We may even have record breaking warmth on Wednesday!

One thing I did want to mention with all this warmth is people will want to head to their local nurseries and start planting things. It’s WAY TOO EARLY for that. For this area the farmer’s use MAY 10th as the last date of frost or freeze that’s safe for outdoor planting. That’s two whole months from now!

So what can you do? Clean up leaves, pick up brush, clean windows, stuff like that.

7day

Normal high temperature for this time of year is 46. Enjoy!

24. April 2015 · Comments Off on Freeze Watch Tonight · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , , ,

7Day

 

Western New Jersey was able to escape freezing temperatures this morning due to a wind that never died down and cloudy skies most of the night. However another cold night is forecast tonight. In fact it’s forecast to be a few degrees colder than last night. So please protect any sensitive plants if possible.

Snow showers were experienced in many areas of western New Jersey yesterday with the cold air in place. Today, while still below normal, should not see any showers but temperatures will remain below normal with windy conditions.

Next week should see temperatures closer to normal for this time of year. Still no heat waves in site at this point. If anything it will remain at or slightly below normal temperature wise into early May.

 

10. April 2015 · Comments Off on Warmer Weather On the Way · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,

ma-temperature720

 

It may not feel like it yet today but warmer air is on the way to western New Jersey area. A warm front is having a very hard time making its way east today. As you can see in the above temperature map, warmer temperatures are to our west in western PA. I don’t think it will get here until later in the afternoon or early evening just before the cold front arrives. Expect some light rain showers later this afternoon. Some thunderstorm could be in extreme southern NJ and points further south.

7day

Take note of the high temperatures expected for the next several days. We should see high’s in the 60’s and perhaps some days near 70! So hopefully we can close the door on the cold and damp 30’s and 40’s during the day starting tomorrow.

21. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Full Day of Spring Weather · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

20150321_085842

Yesterday’s storm certainly over-performed as far as I’m concerned. While I knew more snow would fall that would accumulate, I didn’t expect the longevity of the intensity that resulted in more snow accumulating than I forecasted. Stewartsville received 4″ of wet snow. Here are some additional accumulations in the western New Jersey area:

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
   FRANKLIN               5.2   730 PM  3/20  COCORAHS
   STANTON                5.0   742 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA
   WHITEHOUSE STATION     4.8   602 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   READINGTON             4.5   839 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   KINGWOOD               4.5   634 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA
   THREE BRIDGES          4.3   638 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   READINGTON TWP         1.4   100 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER

...WARREN COUNTY...
   OXFORD                 4.3  1244 AM  3/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
   STEWARTSVILLE          4.0   950 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA
   ALLAMUCHY              3.6   737 AM  3/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HACKETTSTOWN           3.5   630 PM  3/20  TRAINED SPOTTER
   RIEGELSVILLE           3.0   733 AM  3/21  CO-OP OBSERVER
   BLAIRSTOWN             2.0   152 PM  3/20  SOCIAL MEDIA

…NORTHAMPTON COUNTY… WILLIAMS TWP 6.5 1209 AM 3/21 TRAINED SPOTTER FORKS TWP 6.0 728 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER BETHLEHEM 5.5 559 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER EASTON 5.3 615 PM 3/20 SOCIAL MEDIA HELLERTOWN 5.2 1032 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER DANIELSVILLE 4.5 1031 PM 3/20 SOCIAL MEDIA BUSHKILL TWP 4.5 1232 AM 3/21 TRAINED SPOTTER NAZARETH 4.3 953 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER BUSHKILL CENTER 4.0 630 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER MARTINS CREEK 3.8 515 PM 3/20 TRAINED SPOTTER

Capture
Saturday will be the better of the two this weekend weather wise. Look for partly sunny skies with temperatures near 50. There will be a breeze which combined with the temperature and sun should help to melt most if not all that fell yesterday. There could be a brief rain shower this evening as colder air arrives in the region. Sunday will be sunny but cold for this time of year. Colder than normal will continue into the new week until a nice warm-up arrives on Wednesday, albeit with a chance of rain.

20. March 2015 · Comments Off on Mid Day Storm Update · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

Capture

Wet snow continues across western New Jersey on Friday afternoon, the first day of Spring. The back edge of the snow is now visible on radar near Harrisburg and moving in this direction. Furthermore in the last 15 minutes I’m starting to notice some gaps in the radar to our west so the steady snow should become more intermittent as the afternoon wears on.

 

Snow starts to stick to roads in western New Jersey on first day of Spring 2015

Snow starts to stick to roads in western New Jersey on first day of Spring 2015

As of noon, Stewartsville received 1.2″ of snow. At this point I suspect we will receive around the top end of my 1-3″ forecast.

20. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day of Spring With Snow · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

Capture

Temperatures this morning are already above freezing slightly and we have an E-SE wind. When the snow arrives (very light snow just entered western New Jersey as of 9 am) the lower atmosphere will cool down slightly. But the March sun will penetrate the clouds and help to warm up paved surfaces.

As you can see in the above radar, precipitation initially will be very light and intermittent.

northeast

I wider view of radar show opening in the coverage in Southern PA but more moisture to the west.

10478135_947853811900620_950837872726962015_n

We are still under a winter weather advisory until 8 pm tonight. The NWS is still forecasting 4-6″ for our area. My forecast still stands at 1-3.” More snow will fall but not accumulate. More will accumulate at higher elevations (generally above 750 ft). Also if it continues to snow moderately beyond 4-5 pm that snow may start sticking on untreated surfaces as well. But the storm should start winding down in our area from 6-9 pm.

If you feel like it, go out to your local Rita’s for a free water ice today!! lol

If will feel more spring like tomorrow with partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper 40’s and low 50’s.

17. March 2015 · Comments Off on Windy And Turning Colder · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

Surface

Now that the cold front has passed through Western New Jersey, temperatures will start to tumble this afternoon as the winds increase. So far I recorded a high wind gust of 33. I’m sure there are higher readings in open elevated areas.

7day

Tonight and tomorrow will make us remember that the season is still Winter. We will have overnight lows in the mid 20’s with breezy conditions. Tomorrow will continue on that same note with highs in the mid perhaps upper 30’s. This is over 10 degrees below normal. Another cold night Wednesday night but the winds should let up by Thursday morning. Thursday will feature sunny skies and a little warmer in the mid 40’s.

Then our attention turns to Friday. A storm will approach the east coast south of us. The worse of the storm looks to stay to our south but its looking more and more like this storm will impact us. We may be cold enough for snow in the beginning of the storm on Friday. But now that it’s mid March and the snow will be falling during the day, I do not anticipate any accumulations at this time. Later in the day it may warm up enough to change to rain.

As it looks now we should remain below normal temperature wise through the end of the month so even though Spring is near, it’s not here yet temperature wise…

16. March 2015 · Comments Off on 51 Days Of Snow Cover In 2015 · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , , ,
51 Days of snow cover in Stewartsville NJ in 2015

51 Days of snow cover in Stewartsville NJ in 2015

Today was the first time in 51 days that I’m only recording a trace of snow on the ground. Yes there’s still snow on the ground as you can see but when 50% or more of the ground is exposed, you record a trace. For the winter of 2014-2015 we have 51 consecutive days of 1″ or great of snow cover on the ground. That’s pretty impressive!

Western New Jersey 7 day forecast

Western New Jersey 7 day forecast

Monday is not too bad outside today. We should have high temperatures in the low 50’s. If it were not for the clouds we would get even warmer. These clouds will continue to increase and give us some scattered showers tonight into Tuesday. It shouldn’t be too much rain. The showers will come to an end on Tuesday as a cold front passes through western New Jersey area. After the front passes our temperatures will start falling the rest of the day as we experience some below normal temperatures for a few days. Wednesday we will stay in the 30’s for highs – that’s 10 degrees below normal! Thursday will improve but still be on the chilly side. Then we turn our attention to end of week. A storm system will be passing to our south and may come up the coast. If it does there could be some rain or wet snow Friday into Saturday. Details as we get closer.

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