04. January 2018 · Comments Off on Snow Tapering Off West to East · Categories: snow · Tags: ,
Surface map showing strong coastal storm

Surface map showing strong coastal storm

Snow is tapering off from west to east across western new Jersey. Stewartsville received 2.5″ of new snow.

Now the winds are picking up and the temperatures will start to fall. the next concern is wind chills and low temperatures. Please take precautions and make sure your pipes are OK!

04. January 2018 · Comments Off on 11 am Storm Update · Categories: snow · Tags: , , ,

Sorry this is a dated image from 11 am. I was about to post then the phone rang. It shows the bands of snow continuing. Another band approaching western New Jersey.

Eastern New Jersey and the Jersey shore and NYC are getting pounded. These spots should easily get 1 foot of snow…

04. January 2018 · Comments Off on 9 am Thursday Storm Update · Categories: snow · Tags: , ,

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1.5″ of snow in Stewartsville as of 9 am.

03. January 2018 · Comments Off on Wednesday Midday Update for Thursday Snow · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , ,
NWS Snow Forecast for Thursday

NWS Snow Forecast for Thursday

This is a brief Wednesday midday update on the Thursday snow. So far everything looks on track. As seen above the NWS has increased their snow forecast for 2-4″ of snow for western New Jersey from west to east. I think that’s a good forecast at this point.

The snow should start after midnight but before sunrise. The heaviest part should be from about 6 am until noon. Then just flurries and turning windy with some strong wind gusts in the afternoon!

Then bitter, bitter cold air and wind into Sunday morning with near or slightly below zero temperatures Saturday and Sunday mornings.

30. December 2017 · Comments Off on Light Snow Saturday Morning · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , ,
Radar at 7:30 am

Radar at 7:30 am

As you wake up this Saturday morning you will find light snow falling in western New Jersey with temperatures in the mid teens.

NWS Snow forecast

NWS Snow forecast

As seen in the radar above, the heaviest bands of snow appear to be setting up to our south. As a result those locations could see up to 3″ of snow. The rest of the area should see up to 2″ of light snow.

The NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for areas to our south.

The light snow should let up by early afternoon. Then we should see some flurries or perhaps some snow showers this afternoon. Then more bitter cold air returns after our “balmy” day today…

10. March 2017 · Comments Off on Friday Mid Day Snow Update · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: , , ,

This snow today has certainly over-performed. As of 11 am 4.3″ of snow in Stewartsville. The heavy snow band that came through about an hour ago really over-produced. I picked up over 1″ of snow per hour for 2 hours in a row! That’s impressive for this type of system in March.

The radar above shows the darker band of heavy snow moving away from western New Jersey. I anticipate the snow ending by early afternoon. Then we need to be on the lookout for snow squalls this afternoon and early evening as much colder air moves into the region.

10. March 2017 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Snow Update · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , ,
Early morning snow falling in western New Jersey

Early morning snow falling in western New Jersey

As of 7:15 am 1.0″ of snow has fallen in Stewartsville so far. The forecast is still on track for 1-3″ with more to the north, 3-6″ near and north of I-80.

Radar above as of 8 am shows more snow to our west. Look for the steady snow to continue until about lunch time. It will fall at various rates. After that it will be more showery with the potential for some snow squalls later in the day.

Snow is not sticking to roads in the southern area of western New Jersey for the most part unless they are in the shade.

09. March 2017 · Comments Off on Snow Amounts For Friday · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

My thoughts haven’t changed too much for Friday’s late season snow. My forecast is still a 1-3″ for western New Jersey. Less to the south and more to the north. I will add a 3-6″ band closer to I-80 and north of there. Reason being this is all starting as rain. The change to snow will occur faster up north and slower to the south.

Another factor for tomorrow is the chance for snow squalls at the end of the storm and in the afternoon. Another cold front will be following tomorrow’s storm and it looks to be accompanied by some snow squalls. Not sure if this will be a repeat of last Friday but if they materialize it could add to the snow totals some what.

What’s not changing is the well below normal temperatures for the weekend. Not getting above freezing most likely!

Then we need to continue to watch late Monday night into Tuesday. This is looking more and more like it will happen and the cold air will still be around so you know what that means…

 

07. February 2017 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Details · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,
Winter Storm Watch in effect from late Wednesday into Thursday

Winter Storm Watch in effect from late Wednesday into Thursday

Confidence has increased today that a storm will form on the arctic cold front that is forecast to pass through western New Jersey later tomorrow afternoon. It’s hard to talk about snow after how warm it is forecast to be tomorrow. High temperatures on Wednesday will get in the upper 50’s to around 60! High temperatures on Thursday will be near 30!

The above map is a forecast from one of the European computer weather models that you hear talked about in the news a great deal. As you can see it is forecasting a nice swath of accumulating snow from WV to Maine.

NWS Snowfall Forecast

NWS Snowfall Forecast

The NWS has issued a winter storm watch for late Wednesday into Thursday as previously communicated.

At this point I’m forecasting 4-8″ of snow for western New Jersey. Sadly this will be the biggest snow storm of our winter (so far?). There is potential for more in higher elevations to the north where up to 10″ may fall.

This will be a quick moving storm and most of the snow will be done by mid day on Thursday. There could be some snow showers Thursday afternoon but it will be cold and windy as the storm departs.

07. January 2017 · Comments Off on Updated Snow Forecast · Categories: snow · Tags: , ,

Updated snow forecast from the NWS

I agree with the above. Since I have nearly 1″ in Stewartsville already (0.9″) I think a 1-3″ forecast is safe – again the higher numbers will be the the south and east and lower numbers to the north and west.

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