30. September 2015 · Comments Off on Overnight Rainfall Summary. More On the Way? · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: , ,

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Western New Jersey received some very beneficial rainfall overnight. Stewartsville received 1.71″ of rain. The best park is the rainfall rate: it wasn’t a down pour that washed away. the rate of rainfall never exceeded 1/2″ per hour.

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So when will it rain again? Even though the heavy rain is past us for now we could see a shower or two today. Then the cold front will finally pass through later on and bring October like temperatures finally. Low 70’s of today will be replaced with upper 50’s tomorrow and Friday!

The cold front mentioned above will stall not too far away from us. Waves of low pressure will ride of the front and reintroduce rain back into our area. I expect this to start as early as Thursday afternoon but it should be here by Friday at the latest. This is not directly related to Joaquin yet!

Speaking of Joaquin what will happen? The above map has the tropical storm now a hurricane and remaining one. The storm has also slowed down and is not forecast  to be in our area directly until later in the weekend/early next week as seen above.

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Meteorologists have several computer models that forecast future movements of just tropical systems. The latest forecast map is above. You can see a majority of them now take Joaquin into the eastern seaboard south of us and then turn the system north. The National Hurricane Center doesn’t believe them yet and neither do I. This is a situation that will continue to be watched and monitored.

What unclear to me at the moment is when the rain resumes later Thursday or Friday from the stalled front just to our south, will we have steady rain from that point up until Joaquin get into our area? Or will there be periods of rain? And when will the heaviest rain fall and how much? I will be focusing on answers to these questions in the days ahead.

29. September 2015 · Comments Off on Leading Edge Of Rain On The Way · Categories: Fall · Tags: ,

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Here’s a radar image taken just before 2:30 Tuesday afternoon. It shows the leading edge of some showers a little more than 1 hour away for western New Jersey.

It won’t be a continuous rain. Once this passes there should be a break then more rain later in the evening into the overnight when most of it will fall.

12. August 2015 · Comments Off on Improving Conditions On Wednesday · Categories: Summer · Tags: , , ,

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Stewartsville received a total of 1.60″ of rain in the last 24 hours ending at 7 am this morning. Most of that did come from the afternoon thunderstorm that rolled through. Not all areas of western New Jersey received that much rain but it was much needed.

Humidity is lower today but there is still room for improvement. An upper air disturbance will be moving through the area this afternoon. There will be more clouds than sun this afternoon and don’t be surprised to see a scattered shower. In one or two locations if could be a brief downpour but that will be the exception – not the rule

Overnight tonight we will have cooler temperatures and lower humidity with lows by Thursday morning in western NJ in the upper 50’s. So this will be an ideal night to view the annual Perseid’s meteor shower!

Thursday will be a great weather day. Things will start to warm up on Friday and there could be a scattered shower as the next round of warmer air approaches the region.

31. May 2015 · Comments Off on Beginning Of Much Needed Rainfall Starts Later Sunday · Categories: spring, weather discussion · Tags: , , ,

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As you can see in the above map, Most of PA and a good part of western New Jersey have the potential for severe thunderstorms later today into the evening and tonight.

 

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We are well below normal on rainfall as seen above. We need between 5-6″ of rain just to get us back to normal. Let’s just hope it all doesn’t come at once!

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So how much rain can we get? Quite a bit if you believe the map above. These amounts are for the next 1-3 days total ending Wednesday morning. We are in the brightest red which is 3-4″ of rain.

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