Heavy Rain Saturday Night; Strong Winds into Monday

22. February 2019 · Comments Off on Heavy Rain Saturday Night; Strong Winds into Monday · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,

After a very nice recovery in temperatures yesterday (50f high in Stewartsville) today, Friday will be pleasant but not quite as warm. Clouds will be on the increase on Saturday with rain arriving in the late afternoon and early evening. The rain should start off on the light and showery side but will get heavier as the night progresses. This is the same system that will be giving a blizzard to the west of Chicago and also gave snow to the dessert Southwest. But we are on the warm side of this storm and will only see rain.

And we could see a good amount of rain too. At least 1” of rain is forecast at this point. The ground continues to be saturated from the cold weather and all the rain we have received lately. This could result in some minor flooding in the usual places.

As the storm passes the big weather story will be the strong winds that develop Sunday afternoon and evening into Monday. Wind gust will be over 40 mph.

Winter Storm Watch Issued for Saturday into Sunday

17. January 2019 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Watch Issued for Saturday into Sunday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington, and Somerville
339 PM EST Thu Jan 17 2019

…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY THROUGH 7 PM SUNDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch possible.

* WHERE…Portions of northern and northwest New Jersey.

* WHEN…From 1PM Saturday through 7PM Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Travel could be very difficult on icy and snow-covered roads. Power outages may also be possible due to a combination of strong winds and ice accretions

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. 

Another Soggy Weekend

11. August 2018 · Comments Off on Another Soggy Weekend · Categories: flood watch, Summer · Tags: , , , ,

Flash Flood Watch

Most sections of western New Jersey saw and heard a good amount of rain and thunderstorms in the wee hours of this morning. Stewartsville received 1.04″ of new rain as of 7:30 am today. More rain has fallen since then. All of this rain has resulted in a Flash Flood Watch for the entire area.

NE Radar Loop

As of mid-day the good news is most of the heavier rain has moved thru extreme western New Jersey and will be out of all of northern NJ soon. As you can see in the radar loop above there appears to be a break in the precipitation. How long will it last? I suspect we will see rain returning by mid to late afternoon.

Weather Outlook this weekend

Our overall forecast from 8 am this morning until Sunday morning is more heavy rains possible with flash flooding possible.

1-2 Day Precip Total forecast

The above map shows extreme western New Jersey forecast to receive about another 1.50″ of rain from Saturday morning until Monday morning. Sections further to the east could be closer to 2″

Severe Weather Potential Shifts South

12. May 2018 · Comments Off on Severe Weather Potential Shifts South · Categories: thunderstorms · Tags: , ,

SPC severe weather threat for later on this afternoon

The severe weather threat has shifted further south and west for later on today. This takes most of western New Jersey  out of the severe weather threat except for southern and western most sections. This is due to the warm front not making it as far north as originally anticipated. If you haven’t been outside yet this morning it’s not only wet but much cooler with temperatures around 50. It now looks like we will not get much higher than the 60’s today. In fact northern areas could struggle to get to 60.

Further to the south by Philly they will get to 80 with warm and muggy temperatures. This disparity in temperature will fuel the potential for severe weather closer to them later on today as seen in the above map.

After this morning’s rain passes, there could be a break in the rain with only showers at times until later this afternoon. There could even be some breaks in the overcast but mostly cloudy conditions are expected today.

Saturday Morning Update

03. October 2015 · Comments Off on Saturday Morning Update · Categories: Fall · Tags: ,

sfcmap

Overnight western New Jersey picked up about another 1″ of new rainfall. That brings our 4 day total to 2.5-3″ of rain in the area. The rain was much needed and thankfully didn’t all come down at once.

Looks for the unseasonably cool and damp weather to continue today. Highs will only be in the low 50’s with scattered showers. Nothing should be a wash out but there will be some drizzle and showers at times. And the cloudy skies and north east wind will make it feel cooler than it really is.

Conditions should improve Sunday as hurricane Joaquin passes out to sea. Coastal flooding will continue to be an issue near the shore into early next week.

Speaking of next week, we should see the return of party sunny skies with high temperatures in the upper 60’s and low 70’s.

Friday Morning Joaquin Update

02. October 2015 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Joaquin Update · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: ,

115432W_sm

Overnight models continue to support the idea of hurricane Joaquin heading to the north and east and not directly impacting the US coast. There of course will be indirect effects.

12107076_1149187978444123_7260283343702031871_n

Rain will move back into western New Jersey this morning and remain on and off through the night. Showers should be the rule for both Saturday and Sunday. Heavier rain now looks to remain to our south with our area receiving between 1/2″ and 1″ of rain – perhaps a bit less to the north.

And let’s not forget about the wind. I already had a gust to 19 this morning and the day just begun!

7day

Post Joaquin we get into some nice fall weather.

Updates as warranted.

Overnight Rainfall Summary. More On the Way?

30. September 2015 · Comments Off on Overnight Rainfall Summary. More On the Way? · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: , ,

20150930_074235

Western New Jersey received some very beneficial rainfall overnight. Stewartsville received 1.71″ of rain. The best park is the rainfall rate: it wasn’t a down pour that washed away. the rate of rainfall never exceeded 1/2″ per hour.

12096617_870889472959379_43292508732321962_n

So when will it rain again? Even though the heavy rain is past us for now we could see a shower or two today. Then the cold front will finally pass through later on and bring October like temperatures finally. Low 70’s of today will be replaced with upper 50’s tomorrow and Friday!

The cold front mentioned above will stall not too far away from us. Waves of low pressure will ride of the front and reintroduce rain back into our area. I expect this to start as early as Thursday afternoon but it should be here by Friday at the latest. This is not directly related to Joaquin yet!

Speaking of Joaquin what will happen? The above map has the tropical storm now a hurricane and remaining one. The storm has also slowed down and is not forecast  to be in our area directly until later in the weekend/early next week as seen above.

12027689_974892995887620_1616493059270570068_n

Meteorologists have several computer models that forecast future movements of just tropical systems. The latest forecast map is above. You can see a majority of them now take Joaquin into the eastern seaboard south of us and then turn the system north. The National Hurricane Center doesn’t believe them yet and neither do I. This is a situation that will continue to be watched and monitored.

What unclear to me at the moment is when the rain resumes later Thursday or Friday from the stalled front just to our south, will we have steady rain from that point up until Joaquin get into our area? Or will there be periods of rain? And when will the heaviest rain fall and how much? I will be focusing on answers to these questions in the days ahead.

Freeze Watch Tonight

24. April 2015 · Comments Off on Freeze Watch Tonight · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , , ,

7Day

 

Western New Jersey was able to escape freezing temperatures this morning due to a wind that never died down and cloudy skies most of the night. However another cold night is forecast tonight. In fact it’s forecast to be a few degrees colder than last night. So please protect any sensitive plants if possible.

Snow showers were experienced in many areas of western New Jersey yesterday with the cold air in place. Today, while still below normal, should not see any showers but temperatures will remain below normal with windy conditions.

Next week should see temperatures closer to normal for this time of year. Still no heat waves in site at this point. If anything it will remain at or slightly below normal temperature wise into early May.

 

Warmer Weather On the Way

10. April 2015 · Comments Off on Warmer Weather On the Way · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,

ma-temperature720

 

It may not feel like it yet today but warmer air is on the way to western New Jersey area. A warm front is having a very hard time making its way east today. As you can see in the above temperature map, warmer temperatures are to our west in western PA. I don’t think it will get here until later in the afternoon or early evening just before the cold front arrives. Expect some light rain showers later this afternoon. Some thunderstorm could be in extreme southern NJ and points further south.

7day

Take note of the high temperatures expected for the next several days. We should see high’s in the 60’s and perhaps some days near 70! So hopefully we can close the door on the cold and damp 30’s and 40’s during the day starting tomorrow.

Chilly Saturday With Flurries?

28. March 2015 · Comments Off on Chilly Saturday With Flurries? · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

RADAR

The calendar may say Spring and late March but today will feel more like early February. It could be worse: some folks in SE PA and Long Island are waking up to some light snow this morning that is coating the ground in some places! There’s a chance some sections of western New Jersey could see some flurries today. If you are in a heavier snow shower don’t be surprised if it briefly whitens the ground.

7Day

Believe it or not our normal high temperature now should be 54 degrees! Today will be blustery and cold with high’s not getting out of the upper 30’s. This is unfortunate as I know there are some outdoor activities (i.e. Easter Egg Hunt) that begin now. After a very cold start, Sunday will be a little warmer and feature mostly sunny skies and less wind that should help a little. Then there’s a chance of some light rain or snow showers Sunday night into Monday morning as warmer more seasonable air makes it into the region. End of week looks to have high temperatures near 60 but with increased rain chances.

« Older articles
Social Network Widget by Acurax Small Business Website Designers
Visit Us On TwitterVisit Us On FacebookVisit Us On PinterestVisit Us On YoutubeVisit Us On Instagram