First Day of Spring With Snow

20. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day of Spring With Snow · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

Capture

Temperatures this morning are already above freezing slightly and we have an E-SE wind. When the snow arrives (very light snow just entered western New Jersey as of 9 am) the lower atmosphere will cool down slightly. But the March sun will penetrate the clouds and help to warm up paved surfaces.

As you can see in the above radar, precipitation initially will be very light and intermittent.

northeast

I wider view of radar show opening in the coverage in Southern PA but more moisture to the west.

10478135_947853811900620_950837872726962015_n

We are still under a winter weather advisory until 8 pm tonight. The NWS is still forecasting 4-6″ for our area. My forecast still stands at 1-3.” More snow will fall but not accumulate. More will accumulate at higher elevations (generally above 750 ft). Also if it continues to snow moderately beyond 4-5 pm that snow may start sticking on untreated surfaces as well. But the storm should start winding down in our area from 6-9 pm.

If you feel like it, go out to your local Rita’s for a free water ice today!! lol

If will feel more spring like tomorrow with partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper 40’s and low 50’s.

First Day Of Spring Snow Forecast

19. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day Of Spring Snow Forecast · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

11080841_1032200683476187_5011217474921824775_o

Western New Jersey woke up to another chilly morning with temperatures in the 20’s. Partly sunny skies today with highs just over 40. Clouds will increase tonight and snow will develop across the area between 6-10 am on Friday. Wet snow should continue at various rates throughout the day ending in the early evening from 6-10 pm. If this were 1-2 months ago I would be forecasting 3-6.”  But it’s not – it’s late March and in fact the first day of Spring. Can it snow in late March and early April? Sure can and it has in the past. Does the snow stick around? Nope.

10849078_947350238617644_8611224258364120949_o

The National Weather Service has issues a winter weather advisory for tomorrow. The NWS is forecasting 3-6″ of snow as seen above. I believe most lower elevations of western New Jersey will only see 1-3″ on Friday and that will be mostly on colder surfaces like grass, car tops, untreated surfaces and shady areas. When the snow falls during the day it will only stick in the above areas. For it to stick during the day everywhere it has to be heavy snow. And we may in fact have a few heavier periods on Friday.

CAaGygIWUAAlkal

We will be getting a good 1/2″ of liquid from this storm. Elevated areas (say above 750′) will see more snow in the order of 3-6″

If I see any significant changes I will update this post. I will be busy for the next few evenings so updates may be limited.

Thursday Mid Morning Update

05. March 2015 · Comments Off on Thursday Mid Morning Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

image

4” of new snow has already fallen in Stewartsville as of 10:20 this morning. It’s been snowing moderately to occasionally heavy most of the morning. At the very least, I think we will be at the high end of my 3-6” forecast. There will be locations (perhaps many of us) that will go over 6” before all said and done. The NWS sees this trend too and raised the Winter Weather advisory that was previously in effect for Warren county NJ to a Winter Storm Warning and forecasting 4-8” of snow. Hunterdon county was already in a Winter Storm Warning.

In looking at the radar above, most of the echo’s are moving to the ENE. The back edge of the line to the north is also moving SLOWLY to the SE. There are still plenty of areas of darker blue heading our way from eastern PA. These will give us 1”/hour snow rates at time late morning into the early afternoon.

I still think the snow will lighten up this afternoon but it doesn’t appear to be in any rush to do so…

Thursday Morning Snow Update

05. March 2015 · Comments Off on Thursday Morning Snow Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

Winter wonderland in Western New Jersey Thursday morning

Western New Jersey picked up between 1.5 and 2” of snow overnight. 1.6” of new snow fell in Stewartsville. Looking out the window this morning reveals a winter wonderland. Since it was raining before the snow, the snow stuck to everything. Schools are closed once again (in some cases, especially PA, two days in a row).

10460315_938259326193402_3003692837733900639_n

Today we will see snow of various intensities. At times it will just be flurries then other times it will come down moderate to heavy. It will be during these heavier periods where we will pick up additional amounts of snow. My forecast for western New Jersey is still 3.6.” Less to the north and more to the south. I expect the snow to start tapering off just after lunch with flurries and snow showers the remained of the afternoon. The wind will pick up today and it will turn record breaking cold tonight (low single digits) so it will be important to clear the driveway and walks today.

image

What’s ahead? After a cold Friday and Saturday morning, a break! It looks nice with temperatures APPROACHING normal! There may be a snow shower late Saturday night and early Sunday morning. It looks dry thru Wednesday with 40’s as high temperatures! Perhaps this is the light at the end of the winter tunnel!

Initial Thoughts on Thursday Snow

04. March 2015 · Comments Off on Initial Thoughts on Thursday Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

imageNWS Snow Forecast for Thursday A quick update this morning as I have a busy day planned. Yesterday afternoon and evening western New Jersey received 0.5″ snow followed by 0.4″ of sleet. We slowly transitioned to freezing rain then rain. We also have some fog.

We will continue to have light rain on and off most of the day into this evening. Mid to late evening tonight the rain will start mixing with sleet then snow then changeover completely by midnight. I still believe most of the heavier snow will fall to our south. At this time I’m forecasting 3-6″ of snow overnight and Thursday. There will be more in southern sections and less in the far north.

 

Winter Precipitation Graphic

03. March 2015 · Comments Off on Winter Precipitation Graphic · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , , ,

10930992_856846761025578_3255655532733196150_n

Figured tonight would be a good time to repost this graphic that explains the difference between snow, sleet and freezing rain.

And you can only get hail in thunderstorms which are typically in warmer weather. Hail and sleet are different.

So right now, even though we are well below freezing at the surface in western New Jersey (mid 20’s), there is a warmer layer above us that is melting the snow. But there is still enough cold air near the surface to re-freeze the rain and turn it into snow. Once a snow flake melts, it can’t go back to being a snow flake Sad smile

We will most likely have a period of freezing rain until all of the warmer air makes it down to the surface and gives us rain. We want that to be a short as possible. I’d rather have sleet over freezing rain…

Light Snow Started

03. March 2015 · Comments Off on Light Snow Started · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,

20150303_133711

In what has become a very familiar site in western New Jersey this winter, light snow has begun to fall in the area again. The light snow started around 1:15 pm.

The snow may pick up in intensity as the afternoon wears on. Now that we are in a stronger March sun angle, snow may not stick to untreated surfaces until later in the afternoon or early evening.

But that is the time we should start transitioning to sleet and freezing rain. The hopefully plain rain later tonight as we slowly climb above freezing.

Be safe on the roads this afternoon and evening!

Busy Three Days of Weather!

03. March 2015 · Comments Off on Busy Three Days of Weather! · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , , , ,

988943_937185942967407_1730589493636681513_n

Skies are now mostly cloudy in western New Jersey this Tuesday morning. We will see the clouds thicken up and lower as the day moves on. High temperatures will be in the upper 20’s to around 30. Look for snow to move into our area between 3-5 pm. Most locations will receive a coating to 2” of snow this evening before it changes over to sleet then freezing rain. Speaking of changeover, I believe this will happen quickly this evening. We could start seeing sleet mixing in as early as 7pm. Then it will become a complete wintry mix including freezing rain. Then we start the waiting game: how fast will the surface temperature rise so we can switch from freezing rain to plain rain. This could happen as early as 10 pm or as late as after midnight.

We will have periods of rain late night into the day on Wednesday. Wednesday will be warmer with a high in the low 40’s.

Then round two starts. Colder air will start working into our area Wednesday evening and night. This will eventually mix the rain with sleet. Then we will transition to snow and it looks to continue into Thursday. This will be a battle between how fast the cold air arrives while the precipitation stays around. Right now computer models are suggesting we have the potential for an additional 3-6” late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. I’ll focus more on this once we get tonight’s weather out of the way.

Then colder Thursday night (single digits) then we have what looks like a nice stretch of dry weather Friday into Monday!

Initial Forecast for Sunday Snow

28. February 2015 · Comments Off on Initial Forecast for Sunday Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

11037330_614593235342874_6496604234091007653_n

After Saturday morning lows in the single digits, western New Jersey weather will be sunny with relatively light winds and a high temperature in the mid to upper 20’s today. Today might be a good day to run any errands or do outdoor chores. This evening will start off clear and temperatures will drop fast initially under clear skies and light winds. Then clouds will increase the second half of the night. We should have an overnight low in the single digits again.

Sunday will be mostly cloudy with periods of light snow starting as early as mid day. I do think the snow will be spotty and intermittent until later in the day. There could be periods when it’s coming down pretty good followed by little or no snow – similar to the last event like this. Then the snow will become more steady and regular late in the afternoon into the evening. Then we start the race of warm air moving in above us that will change us to a wintry mix. I do think we will remain below freezing for most of the time precipitation is falling. This time, unlike the last storm, I think we will mix with sleet and freezing rain at the end of the storm. This will lead to less snow in southern sections of western New Jersey.

Right now I’m forecasting a general 1-3” of snow on Sunday and Sunday night. There will be a little more in northern sections where the mix or changeover does not occur. I do anticipate all precipitation ending BEFORE sunup on Monday morning. So hopefully any school impacts will be delays only at best.

image

Monday will turn out to be a nice day with temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s. Our next storm will be later on Tuesday into Wednesday. Right now this looks to be a warmer snow. We may briefly start off with snow that will go to a wintry mix rather quickly and then to rain.

Sunday Shovel & Scrape

22. February 2015 · Comments Off on Sunday Shovel & Scrape · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

image

Western New Jersey received about 4” of snow from the system that started around mid day on Saturday. The snow started off with a vengeance but then tapered to only light snow and flurries for several hours yesterday afternoon. If you lived further to the north and west the snow may have stopped completely. The snow “winner” of sorts were further to the south. The heaviest snow axis was from around Washington, DC to Philly to Trenton to just west of NYC. I put winner in quotes because these locations also saw sleet and freezing rain after the snow.

Stewartsville never switched over to mixed precipitation which very much surprised me. We came VERY close to doing so. Hunterdon county did switch over last evening as did points to the south and east. I believe Lehigh Valley also stayed all snow as did areas of new jersey to the north.

I picked this blog title not to be cute (well a little) but to also emphasize today is the day to get stuff done outside. For a change we will break freezing today and the sun should make an appearance as well. Winds should not be too bad either. So get outside and shovel, scrape, shop and do what needs to be done. Why? Another arctic front will be moving through later that will drop the temperature again. Monday will start off with a low in the low teens and not really recover at all during the day. We may “climb” up to the mid teens. But then the bottom drops out again Monday night and Tuesday morning will find us below zero overnight lows. Tuesday will be another cold day then we recover a little on Wednesday.

Keeping an eye on an Alberta clipper system for mid week which may give us a quick snot of light snow. Then attention turns to next weekend.

I hope to get out myself today and take some snow photos. If I do I’ll share these later. Enjoy the Sunday warmth!!

Here are some additional snow reports from western new jersey area:

...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
   WHITEHOUSE STATION     4.0  1000 PM  2/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
...WARREN COUNTY...
   HARMONY TWP            4.5   851 PM  2/21  SOCIAL MEDIA
   STEWARTSVILLE          3.2  1130 PM  2/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HACKETTSTOWN           3.0  1205 AM  2/22  TRAINED SPOTTER
   OXFORD                 2.5  1115 PM  2/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BLAIRSTOWN             1.8  1100 PM  2/21  SOCIAL MEDIA
...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...
   BETHLEHEM              4.1   150 AM  2/22  BROADCAST MEDIA
   FORKS TWP              3.8  1010 PM  2/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BUSHKILL TWP           2.4  1230 AM  2/22  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MARTINS CREEK          2.0   926 PM  2/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
« Older articles
Newer articles »
Animated Social Media Icons by Acurax Responsive Web Designing Company
Visit Us On TwitterVisit Us On FacebookVisit Us On PinterestVisit Us On YoutubeVisit Us On Instagram