29. January 2021 · Comments Off on Early Thoughts On Monday Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: , , ,

After today’s cold and wind, there’s little doubt that the net round of interesting weather will be a storm early next week. This storm will feature accumulating snow and not be a fast mover.

There are still many factors that need to become better know before a more accurate forecast can be created. The earliest onset of the snow appears to be Sunday evening. Heavier snow will fall on Monday and perhaps into Monday overnight and Tuesday morning.

The European computer model is starting to show the storm moving further south. We need to keep an eye on this guidance to see if this becomes a trend. If it does it could mean less snow for our area. Other guidance suggests more snow for our area.

The above graphic is from the NWS and is only through Monday 7 pm. Based on what we know currently, I think this is a good range. It shows more to the south.

This can and probably will change several times between now and the event so check back for updates.

21. January 2020 · Comments Off on Cold And Sunny Continues · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags:

Another chilly night in western New Jersey area. Despite plenty of sunshine, today’s temperatures will only be a couple of degrees higher than Monday. Winds will continue on the light side which will help a little.

When we’ve had cold weather outbreaks, Florida so far this winter has been missing most of the action. Well, not this time. So hopefully you nor anyone you know is vacationing down there this week. the OJ will be extra chilly the next couple of mornings!

Temperatures will warm up to the 40’s on Thursday and Friday. Out next weather maker will be Saturday. As it looks now it will be more wet than white.

03. January 2019 · Comments Off on Mild Weather Continues · Categories: winter · Tags:
Hi temperature forecast for Thursday

Luckily the overnight frozen precipitation threat was minimal and mostly to the far north. A trace of rain was noted in Stewartsville with temperatures remaining above normal.

Once the clouds start thinning look for a breeze to kick in and result in afternoon high temperatures in the low to mid 40’s. There could be some wind gusts to the low 20’s

Rain forecast for Saturday

Slightly above normal temperatures look to continue for at least the next week or so.

The rain for Saturday looks to be slightly less that what appeared yesterday. Right now it looks like we should get about 1/2″. The morning looks like the rainy period with improving conditions later in the afternoon. Sunday should be a nice day but breezy with high temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s.

02. January 2019 · Comments Off on Cooler Weather Return In New Year · Categories: winter · Tags:
NWS snow forecast late tonight into Thursday morning

Yesterday turned out to be a very nice first day of the year with high temperatures in the upper 50’s. And we picked up more rain – 0.90″ in Stewartsville. Took advantage of the warmer weather and did some bicycle riding yesterday.

A weak upper level system will move into our area tonight into early Thursday morning. Southern areas look to get some light rain mixed with wet snow. Further to the north the west snow could result to a coating to 1″ on colder surfaces. This should be confined to elevated areas for the most part.

Good news is we won’t have our 3rd straight Friday in a row of rain. Bad news is it will be Saturday instead. Look for another 1/2 – 1″ of rain. 2019 looks to start the same way as 2018 ended for now.

No big changes in temperature for the next 7-10 days. There are some signs that colder weather will return around mid month if not sooner.

03. January 2018 · Comments Off on Wednesday Midday Update for Thursday Snow · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , ,

NWS Snow Forecast for Thursday

NWS Snow Forecast for Thursday

This is a brief Wednesday midday update on the Thursday snow. So far everything looks on track. As seen above the NWS has increased their snow forecast for 2-4″ of snow for western New Jersey from west to east. I think that’s a good forecast at this point.

The snow should start after midnight but before sunrise. The heaviest part should be from about 6 am until noon. Then just flurries and turning windy with some strong wind gusts in the afternoon!

Then bitter, bitter cold air and wind into Sunday morning with near or slightly below zero temperatures Saturday and Sunday mornings.

01. February 2017 · Comments Off on Stewartsville January 2017 Monthly Summary · Categories: Monthly Summary · Tags: , ,
Stewartsville Monthly Weather Observation Summary
Jan-17
DAY MAX MIN MEAN PRECIP SNOW SOG COMMENTS
1 49 29 39.0 0.00
2 41 28 34.5 0.26 T
3 44 37 40.5 0.52
4 52 29 40.5 0.00
5 33 23 28.0 0.07 0.9
6 32 19 25.5 0.02 T
7 24 17 20.5 0.00 1.1 T
8 25 13 19.0 0.00 T 1
9 25 8 16.5 0.00 T
10 40 10 25.0 0.00 T
11 47 35 41.0 0.51 T
12 64 46 55.0 0.06
13 57 29 43.0 0.00
14 34 26 30.0 0.12 1.5
15 38 21 29.5 0.00 1.5
16 42 14 28.0 0.00
17 40 34 37.0 0.22
18 44 35 39.5 0.07
19 46 35 40.5 0.00
20 42 28 35.0 0.29
21 49 39 44.0 0.01
22 51 42 46.5 0.01
23 47 35 41.0 0.93
24 43 34 38.5 0.29 T T sleet
25 52 37 44.5 0.00
26 54 38 46.0 0.01
27 43 33 38.0 0.00 T
28 39 31 35.0 0.00 T T
29 42 29 35.5 0.00 T
30 38 24 31.0 0.00
31 32 21 26.5 0.02 0.3
3.41 3.80
6.70 Season Total
Extreme High 64.0 Date: 12-Jan
Extreme Low 8.0 Date: 9-Jan
Mean Max: 42.2
Mean Low: 28.4
Mean: 35.3
dabour@att.net
SOG = Snow On Ground measured at 7 AM EST
Elevation = 395′
23. January 2017 · Comments Off on Nor’Easter Underway · Categories: winter · Tags: , , ,

Rain has made its way to western New Jersey as of mid day

As you can see on the radar above, the far norther and western locations are seeing some sleet or wet snow mixed in. This is mostly at the higher elevations.

Conditions will continue to deteriorate this rest of the day into the evening. Rain will continue to become steadier and heavier and winds will pick up. Stewartsville has recorded a wind gust to 31 at 11:46. There have been wind gusts in the 50’s closer to the shore.

23. January 2017 · Comments Off on Wind, Rain On The Way · Categories: winter · Tags: , , ,

A large complex storm system in the eastern half of the nation is going to evolve into a wind and rain maker for western new jersey area. This is part of the same storm system that brought deadly severe weather to the southeast yesterday.

Look for rain to develop today and become heavier and steadier as the day continues. Look for 3/4″ – 1.5″ of rain in western New Jersey.

Winds will also be a big factor for this storm. We are already seeing wind gusts to near 30 this morning. Look for wind gust to 45 later today into tomorrow. There is a Wind Advisory from the NWS until at least 7 pm tonight.

Since this is late January, we typical think snow when we have strong storms like this. There will be some snow from this system but will be far north and west of western New Jersey. I do expect some sleet to mix in a times especially tonight.

The extended January thaw looks to end before we start a new month.

09. January 2017 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory for Tuesday · Categories: winter · Tags: , ,
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
255 PM EST MON JAN 9 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS... MOST OF THE LEHIGH VALLEY, SOUTHERN POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY

* HAZARD TYPES... SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1 INCH...WITH ICE  ACCUMULATION UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH.

* TIMING... A PERIOD OF SNOW IS LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING TO  EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL MIXED PRECIPITATION   WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON
  TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD  CONDITIONS.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 BUT RISING SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING TUESDAY  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT
HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE OR USING TWITTER.

SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

&&
07. January 2017 · Comments Off on Fringe Flakes · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

Living on the edge. Most locations of western New Jersey will be on the outer edge of snow courtesy of a coastal storm to our south and east on Saturday. Flurries have just started falling in Stewartsville and will continue on and off today. I sill like the idea of a coasting to 1″ with the potential of more to the south and east. Some locations in southern Hunterdon county could see closer to 2″.

One thing is certain today and tomorrow” it will be cold. Temperatures will remain in the 20’s today and the wind will come back Sunday making it feel even colder!

NWS snow forecast map for our area. Note how much more will fall from this storm to our south and east!

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