Nor’Easter Friday into Friday Night

01. March 2018 · Comments Off on Nor’Easter Friday into Friday Night · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , , , ,

NWS Watches and Warnings

Whenever you see the watches and warnings map above lit up like a Christmas tree, you know something is going on. The Nor’easter that will move into western New Jersey later tonight into Friday looks to be a formidable storm. There is a Flood Watch and a High Wind Watch for western New Jersey. There is a Winter Storm Watch for Sussex county further to the north.

NWS Snow Forecast

the biggest change I want to pass along at this time is the *potential* for more wet snow on Friday. I’m increasing my forecast for 1-3″ of heavy, wet snow that will accumulate mostly on colder surfaces.

Friday is a day where rain will change to wet snow and come down heavy at times as the wind increases. But the temperature will remain above freezing and all of this will occur during the day. There are some computer models suggesting we get closer to 6″ but I don’t see that happening at this point.

Further to the north and in elevated areas, more snow will accumulate – perhaps 3-6″ or more.

Timing: rain will start after 3 pm today. Rain should be light to moderate later this afternoon and the first part of this evening. Rain will then become heavy at times later tonight. Winds will pick up after midnight as well. Rain will gradually change to a wet snow Friday morning and continue off an on all day as winds increase.

What: Heavy rain, wind and wet snow on Friday. 1-2″ of rain. Winds gusting to 50-60 mph on Friday

I’ll continue to monitor and update as things change

Nor’Easter Underway

23. January 2017 · Comments Off on Nor’Easter Underway · Categories: winter · Tags: , , ,

Rain has made its way to western New Jersey as of mid day

As you can see on the radar above, the far norther and western locations are seeing some sleet or wet snow mixed in. This is mostly at the higher elevations.

Conditions will continue to deteriorate this rest of the day into the evening. Rain will continue to become steadier and heavier and winds will pick up. Stewartsville has recorded a wind gust to 31 at 11:46. There have been wind gusts in the 50’s closer to the shore.

Wind, Rain On The Way

23. January 2017 · Comments Off on Wind, Rain On The Way · Categories: winter · Tags: , , ,

A large complex storm system in the eastern half of the nation is going to evolve into a wind and rain maker for western new jersey area. This is part of the same storm system that brought deadly severe weather to the southeast yesterday.

Look for rain to develop today and become heavier and steadier as the day continues. Look for 3/4″ – 1.5″ of rain in western New Jersey.

Winds will also be a big factor for this storm. We are already seeing wind gusts to near 30 this morning. Look for wind gust to 45 later today into tomorrow. There is a Wind Advisory from the NWS until at least 7 pm tonight.

Since this is late January, we typical think snow when we have strong storms like this. There will be some snow from this system but will be far north and west of western New Jersey. I do expect some sleet to mix in a times especially tonight.

The extended January thaw looks to end before we start a new month.

Day 2 Of Nor’Easter

10. December 2014 · Comments Off on Day 2 Of Nor’Easter · Categories: weather discussion · Tags:

We received just over 4/10” of rain in the last 24 hours. So far the storm total is around 1”. Heavier precipitation has moved out of the area. We are now left with rain showers that will occasionally mix with and change to snow showers especially overnight Wednesday in Thursday as colder air gets pulled down. Look for a coating in a few locations. Winds will continue brisk today and temperatures will stay in the 30’s.

The storm will finally move out of the area on Friday and tranquil conditions are forecast into the weekend.

Nor’Easter Week

08. December 2014 · Comments Off on Nor’Easter Week · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , ,

A powerful Nor’easter is expected to move into western NJ beginning late tonight on through Thursday morning with heavy rain, strong winds, coastal flooding, and even some wet snow as the storm departs.

Clouds will lower and thicken today as high pressure departs.   Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 30’s after a chilly start in the teens this morning.

Rain will develop late tonight, after midnight.  While all rain is expected of much of the region, a mix of snow, sleet, and rain can be expected for northern and western sections.

The low pressure system will move northward tomorrow towards the New Jersey coastal waters.  Heavy rainfall can be expected in our region as the low pressure system moves slowly northward.  The rain will mix with and change over to snow over northeastern Pennsylvania and far northwestern New Jersey with accumulating snowfall by Tuesday afternoon and evening.  The heavy rainfall will lead to some stream flooding as over 2″ of rain can be expected.   Winds will be from the northeast to north at 15 to 25 mph.   Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 30’s.

The low pressure system will slowly lift northward through Long Island and into southern New England on Wednesday.  Bands of rain will continue to rotate through the region. As colder air builds in behind the storm, the rain will mix over to snow through the day.   Snow showers will linger on through Thursday morning with windy conditions expected.  Winds will be from the northwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday will range from the mid to upper 20’s for lows and upper 30’s to lower 40’s for highs.

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