Enjoy Today’s Sunshine – More Snow On The Way Monday

21. February 2021 · Comments Off on Enjoy Today’s Sunshine – More Snow On The Way Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
Sunshine in Stewartsville Sunday morning

After a chilly morning, Sunday will feature sunshine. We should see some increase in clouds later in the day with our next weather system approaching.

NWS snow forecast for Monday

The Monday morning commute should be fine but looks for snow to once again fall from the skies starting late morning. There is some good news here for folks that had enough of the cold and snow this winter. The first bit of good news is this should only last for 4 hours. The second bit of good news is that most if not all of the snow accumulation should be on colder surfaces (cars, garbage cans, tree branches, etc..) – roadways should be fine. Since this will be happening during the day and we are now in late February, the higher sun angle should help to keep most roadways only in need of some salt. Monday’s snow is the result of a cold front passing through and not from a storm.

The snow forecast graphic above shows a 1-3″ snow forecast for our area. As usual, there will be less to the south and more to the north. If every snowflake that fell accumulated, I agree with the above. However, I don’t think most of us will see that much.

7 Day forecast

After Monday, warmer weather closer to normal will prevail with Wednesday looking like the nicest day!

Early Thoughts On Monday Snow

29. January 2021 · Comments Off on Early Thoughts On Monday Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: , , ,

After today’s cold and wind, there’s little doubt that the net round of interesting weather will be a storm early next week. This storm will feature accumulating snow and not be a fast mover.

There are still many factors that need to become better know before a more accurate forecast can be created. The earliest onset of the snow appears to be Sunday evening. Heavier snow will fall on Monday and perhaps into Monday overnight and Tuesday morning.

The European computer model is starting to show the storm moving further south. We need to keep an eye on this guidance to see if this becomes a trend. If it does it could mean less snow for our area. Other guidance suggests more snow for our area.

The above graphic is from the NWS and is only through Monday 7 pm. Based on what we know currently, I think this is a good range. It shows more to the south.

This can and probably will change several times between now and the event so check back for updates.

Monday is the pick of the week

09. March 2020 · Comments Off on Monday is the pick of the week · Categories: spring · Tags: ,
Warmth spreads into our area

Today will be far and wide the pick of the week with plenty of sunshine and temperatures making a run for 70. the last time we were this warm was the past Halloween.

If there is anything weather wise that may hold back today is there will be a little breeze that will pick up as we warm up. But it will be a warm breeze! But it will also be a dry breeze and this will allow rapid spread of any fires that do form so today might not be the best day for any open burns. If you do have one take precautions.

We cool down slightly tomorrow but high temperatures will still be in the low 60’s. Showers return as well but not too much will register in the rain bucket.

Sunny, Cold Start To The Week

20. January 2020 · Comments Off on Sunny, Cold Start To The Week · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags:

After early morning lows in the upper teens and low 20’s, we should see plenty of sunshine today. Despite the sun, we will struggle to get near the freezing mark today and tomorrow. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings will be chilly with lows in the teens.

The second half of the week will feature warming temperatures with highs in the 40’s.

Our next storm system will arrive just in time for the upcoming weekend. With the late week warmth, you would think it will be more wet than white. That’s my initial thought as well but overnight computer models are suggesting this needs to be watched. We could once again be near a critical rain/snow line. The next system will be different from the past one in that a coastal storm looks to form and provide us with much more precipitation. Something to keep an eye on as the week progresses.

Arctic Cold Leaving But Not Without Issues

09. January 2017 · Comments Off on Arctic Cold Leaving But Not Without Issues · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: , , , ,

Brrr! Most locations in western New Jersey woke up to single digit temperatures. Some areas further to the north were below zero! Certainly nothing unexpected for January weather but still cold none the less.

Today will remain cold but at least there will not be as much wind as yesterday making it feel a little more comfortable.

Our next weather system will be moving to our north and west. This will put us on the eventual warm side of the storm. Eventual is the key word. There is a good amount of cold air and snow covered ground over western New Jersey right now. It will take a while for it to all be pushed out by warmer winds. This will result in Tuesday, main in the afternoon, of another snow to sleet to freezing rain day before it eventually turns to rain. Before that changeover I’m forecasting a coating to 1″ followed by some ice on untreated surfaces. To make matters worse this should still be happening by the afternoon rush.

This will be relatively light precipitation but it doesn’t take much to make things slippery. The only good news is there is a tremendous amount of salt on area roads so hopefully they will not be too bad.

Hot Monday Thunderstorms Later?

18. July 2016 · Comments Off on Hot Monday Thunderstorms Later? · Categories: Summer, thunderstorms · Tags: ,

SPC has upgraded the slight risk to include all of northern NJ and even some of central NJ.

SPC-20160718=1105

 

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

Western New Jersey is in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms later today

 

We’ll have another hot and humid mid July weather day on Monday. Look for showers and possibly some thunderstorms arriving from the north and west after 3 pm today.

Hoe Much Rain?

Precipitation forecast for western New Jersey thru Thursday

Any areas lucky enough to see rain today should not pick up more that 1/2″ Most areas will only see 1/4″ or less. Northern and western New Jersey is under a moderate drought to we need all that we get!

Best Weather Of the Week

16. November 2015 · Comments Off on Best Weather Of the Week · Categories: Fall, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

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Most of the leaves are off the trees now in western New Jersey. Today, Monday should be the pick of the week weather-wise. A great day to go outside and finish any last minute outdoor chores (like me). Look for mostly sunny and highs in the low to mid 60’s.

Thursday looks to be our rainy day this week and we could receive a good amount as shown on the map above. Right now it looks like afternoon into evening.

7day

Cooler air arrives on Tuesday then increasing clouds on Wednesday for the system that will bring us rain on Thursday. Fair and cooler weather looks accurate for next weekends as of right now.

51 Days Of Snow Cover In 2015

16. March 2015 · Comments Off on 51 Days Of Snow Cover In 2015 · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , , ,

51 Days of snow cover in Stewartsville NJ in 2015

51 Days of snow cover in Stewartsville NJ in 2015

Today was the first time in 51 days that I’m only recording a trace of snow on the ground. Yes there’s still snow on the ground as you can see but when 50% or more of the ground is exposed, you record a trace. For the winter of 2014-2015 we have 51 consecutive days of 1″ or great of snow cover on the ground. That’s pretty impressive!

Western New Jersey 7 day forecast

Western New Jersey 7 day forecast

Monday is not too bad outside today. We should have high temperatures in the low 50’s. If it were not for the clouds we would get even warmer. These clouds will continue to increase and give us some scattered showers tonight into Tuesday. It shouldn’t be too much rain. The showers will come to an end on Tuesday as a cold front passes through western New Jersey area. After the front passes our temperatures will start falling the rest of the day as we experience some below normal temperatures for a few days. Wednesday we will stay in the 30’s for highs – that’s 10 degrees below normal! Thursday will improve but still be on the chilly side. Then we turn our attention to end of week. A storm system will be passing to our south and may come up the coast. If it does there could be some rain or wet snow Friday into Saturday. Details as we get closer.

Freezing Rain, Sleet For Monday

09. February 2015 · Comments Off on Freezing Rain, Sleet For Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

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Monday morning update for western new jersey has most area schools closed today. Light rain started over night and transitioned to freezing rain and sleet as the temperature slowly dropped. Most untreated surfaces are slipper as seen in the above photo.

image

I was impressed with the steady rain of temperature decline since midnight. In researching this further and looking at overnight observation the colder air actually came in from the east and north. Portions of long island were colder than NJ. And now NJ is colder than portions of PA. This will all even out as the coastal storm strengthens.

As this trend continues today, we will see more sleet than freezing rain. Then some light snow will transition in this afternoon. I still expect only a coating to perhaps 2” in most areas. Northern sections of western new jersey will experience slightly more snow as they will have cold longer.

image

After today conditions improve. Tuesday we should see temperatures back up above freezing. Then another artic front will pass through the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning with a little light snow but also the return of very cold air – perhaps the coldest of the season. Hopefully I’ll be able to stop saying that soon…

Sunday Night Update on Monday Storm

01. February 2015 · Comments Off on Sunday Night Update on Monday Storm · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

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Update on the storm. It has been snowing lightly in western New Jersey since about 5:30 pm this evening. As of 10:45 pm there is approximately 1” of new snow on the ground.

Based on observations and radar, my forecast is adjusted downward for 1-3” of snow before we start to mix with sleet and freezing rain (by 3am) and then change over to rain by 6-8am. The above map, a revised snowfall forecast by NWS, is supported by me. More snow will fall to the north and west and less to the south and east. As you go north, you will see 3-8” of snow before mixing.

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