19. February 2019 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Watch Wednesday · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: ,
NWS snow forecast

Will this be another repeat of the November 2018 storm? A recap in case you don’t remember. Most of the area was under a winter storm warning or winter weather advisory. Schools got closed even though no snow arrive until early afternoon. It then snow on an off, moderate at times, until it changed over to sleet and eventually freezing rain and then all rain.

History looks to repeat itself.

There are a couple of differences with tomorrows system compared to November:

  • More snow will fall to the south and west than the north. It’s usually just the opposite.
  • Our cold air supply is not in a good position and shouldn’t last as long as other storms have in the past
  • After the storm we should have high temperatures in the 50’s on Thursday after the storm!
Current watches in our area

Anticipate the the current winter storm watch will be transitioned to either a winter storm warning or a winter weather advisory.

Initially I wasn’t overly impressed with the system and the lack of cold air. My forecast is for 204″ of snow with more to the south and west and less to the north.

As always we need to keep an eye on the changeover to sleet and freezing rain and how long that part of the storm will be. The storm will eventually changeover to plain rain before ending.

08. February 2015 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Update for Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

10171244_925583107461024_6365667829035006741_n10924695_925583104127691_7670384373311748943_n

Sunday will remain mostly cloudy and rather mild in western new jersey today with high temperatures around 40. There is some light scattered rain falling but is not reaching the ground since it’s still too dry outside.

I expect light scattered rain showers to move into the area this evening and overnight. I expect our temperatures to remain above freezing until at least the early morning commute on Monday. This means that any precipitation that falls should be mainly rain. Since the colder air, which is slow to arrive is coming from the north, these locations may see a wintry mix by morning rush. Then during the day Monday I see mostly light precipitation that will be either rain and rain transitioning to a wintry mix. I do not see a lot of precipitation on Monday during the day. Then as colder air continues to come in from the north, by Monday evening we should see more in the way of a light snowfall. I’m forecasting a coating to 2” with more to the north.

The NWS has our area under a winter weather advisory from tonight thru early Tuesday morning. The maps above reflect their thinking on how much ice and snow western new jersey should receive.

Regarding school on Monday, at this point its too early to call. I certainly hope its not one of those situations where they close school and then there is only light on and off precipitation during the day with temperatures near or slightly above freezing.

26. January 2015 · Comments Off on Snowstorm Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

10945776_10152727842127903_853741765687196386_n

I wanted to post one more update before retiring for the evening. So far western new jersey has picked up about 3” of snow. Currently it is not snowing that much in western new jersey. All of the heavy snow is east of us in NYC and Long Island. BUT it is heading this way!

The storm is having a hard time getting the snow to move west. So we may be looking at the lower end of my original forecast of 6-12” The updated NWS graphic above is closer to reality. Since we already have 3” on the ground would only need another 3” to meet the minimum range.

We have always said the heaviest part of this storm would be overnight. I have remembered several storms where it didn’t “look good” before I went to be but then woke up in the morning to witness all the snow. Not saying that will be the case this time but not willing to lower my totals at this time.

Social Network Integration by Acurax Social Media Branding Company
Visit Us On TwitterVisit Us On FacebookVisit Us On PinterestVisit Us On YoutubeVisit Us On Instagram