08. February 2015 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Update for Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

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Sunday will remain mostly cloudy and rather mild in western new jersey today with high temperatures around 40. There is some light scattered rain falling but is not reaching the ground since it’s still too dry outside.

I expect light scattered rain showers to move into the area this evening and overnight. I expect our temperatures to remain above freezing until at least the early morning commute on Monday. This means that any precipitation that falls should be mainly rain. Since the colder air, which is slow to arrive is coming from the north, these locations may see a wintry mix by morning rush. Then during the day Monday I see mostly light precipitation that will be either rain and rain transitioning to a wintry mix. I do not see a lot of precipitation on Monday during the day. Then as colder air continues to come in from the north, by Monday evening we should see more in the way of a light snowfall. I’m forecasting a coating to 2” with more to the north.

The NWS has our area under a winter weather advisory from tonight thru early Tuesday morning. The maps above reflect their thinking on how much ice and snow western new jersey should receive.

Regarding school on Monday, at this point its too early to call. I certainly hope its not one of those situations where they close school and then there is only light on and off precipitation during the day with temperatures near or slightly above freezing.

26. January 2015 · Comments Off on Snowstorm Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

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I wanted to post one more update before retiring for the evening. So far western new jersey has picked up about 3” of snow. Currently it is not snowing that much in western new jersey. All of the heavy snow is east of us in NYC and Long Island. BUT it is heading this way!

The storm is having a hard time getting the snow to move west. So we may be looking at the lower end of my original forecast of 6-12” The updated NWS graphic above is closer to reality. Since we already have 3” on the ground would only need another 3” to meet the minimum range.

We have always said the heaviest part of this storm would be overnight. I have remembered several storms where it didn’t “look good” before I went to be but then woke up in the morning to witness all the snow. Not saying that will be the case this time but not willing to lower my totals at this time.

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