2018 Ends On A Wet Note

31. December 2018 · Comments Off on 2018 Ends On A Wet Note · Categories: winter · Tags: , , ,
Last sunrise of 2018 with high clouds rapidly increasing

Early morning sunshine is rapidly fading away behind increasing clouds. Rain from our next system should be in our area by mid-day.

NWS rain forecast

Our area looks to receive an additional 3/4″ – 1.25″ of rain this afternoon, evening into the early morning of January 1, 2019. This rain has already made for a top 5 in precipitation for 2018 for many locations in our area. Reading, PA is the wettest ever; Allentown top 3.

7 Day NWS forecast

After this afternoon’s rain, we should see a mild day to start off 2019 but winds will pick up and become gusty in the afternoon. If you plan on enjoying the unseasonable warmth please do so in the morning if possible.

Cooler air returns for the balance of the week but it will be slightly above normal. More rain looks to return on Friday.

Happy New Year everyone!

Another Soggy Weekend

11. August 2018 · Comments Off on Another Soggy Weekend · Categories: flood watch, Summer · Tags: , , , ,

Flash Flood Watch

Most sections of western New Jersey saw and heard a good amount of rain and thunderstorms in the wee hours of this morning. Stewartsville received 1.04″ of new rain as of 7:30 am today. More rain has fallen since then. All of this rain has resulted in a Flash Flood Watch for the entire area.

NE Radar Loop

As of mid-day the good news is most of the heavier rain has moved thru extreme western New Jersey and will be out of all of northern NJ soon. As you can see in the radar loop above there appears to be a break in the precipitation. How long will it last? I suspect we will see rain returning by mid to late afternoon.

Weather Outlook this weekend

Our overall forecast from 8 am this morning until Sunday morning is more heavy rains possible with flash flooding possible.

1-2 Day Precip Total forecast

The above map shows extreme western New Jersey forecast to receive about another 1.50″ of rain from Saturday morning until Monday morning. Sections further to the east could be closer to 2″

Heat and Humidity Here To Stay

29. June 2018 · Comments Off on Heat and Humidity Here To Stay · Categories: Summer · Tags: , ,

7 Day NWS forecast

There’s no question that summer has arrived in western New Jersey. Today will mark the start of a prolonged heat way with our high temperature peeking at 90 or above.

Saturday high temperatures

And tomorrow will be just as hot as today with a little more humidity

Sunday weather outlook

Sunday’s heat and humidity will be downright uncomfortable. Time to start making sure you follow heat related safety measures

Our only relief will be scattered afternoon or evening thundershowers which will be few and far between

Potential For Thunderstorm This Afternoon

10. May 2018 · Comments Off on Potential For Thunderstorm This Afternoon · Categories: spring, thunderstorms · Tags: , ,

SPC has placed all of western New Jersey in a slight risk

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded all of western New Jersey to a slight risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon. The primary threat will be wind, rain and possibly small hail.

There is a line of storms in western PA heading in our direction now. If any storm or showers survive, they could impact our area by late morning. Otherwise look for additional storms mid to late afternoon.

Wednesday Afternoon Update on Spring Snowstorm

21. March 2018 · Comments Off on Wednesday Afternoon Update on Spring Snowstorm · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: , , ,

6.2″ in Stewartsville as of 3 pm

Everything is on track for snow in most areas in western New Jersey. There has not been as much snow in far northern locations

NWS Snow Forecast

The updated NWS snow forecast above is more in line with my thinking.

Welcome To Spring Snowstorm

20. March 2018 · Comments Off on Welcome To Spring Snowstorm · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: , ,

Experimental Storm Severity Index

All of western New Jersey is in the bulls eye of the next (fourth) major storm in the month of March. Has kismet that it starts on the official start of Spring!

In looking at the potential severity of this storm in the above experimental graphic from the NWS, you can see most of western New Jersey is in the Major category.

Snow start timing

Here is a graphic showing the start time of the precipitation. Keep in mind that today, Tuesday the precipitation will be light compared to tomorrow. There’s also a good chance the precipitation today will be a wintry mix of snow, sleet and rain. As the second storm approaches on Wednesday is when we will see predominately snow.

NWS Snow Forecast

The above graphic does a nice job of showing how much snow for western New Jersey is forecast. Note that more snow is forecast to the south and east.

This will be once again one of those storms that features:

  • heavy wet snow
  • snow accumulating on colder surfaces more than roads
  • snow may not accumulate on roads during the day until heavy snow falls

Winds will also become gusty as Wednesday progresses. Power issues are possible from either the wind, wet snow or both.

Winter Storm Warnings Posted for Wednesday

20. March 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Warnings Posted for Wednesday · Categories: snow · Tags: , , ,

Current Warnings

As expected, the Winter Storm Watch for our area has been upgraded to a Warning:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1009 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...Major Coastal Storm to Affect the Region Through Wednesday Night...

.A pair of low pressure systems today will consolidate into one major coastal storm late tonight and Wednesday. This is expected
to bring significant impacts to our region, starting with areas of mixed precipitation today and tonight followed by significant
snowfall on Wednesday. Unnecessary travel Wednesday afternoon and evening is strongly discouraged.

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-210215-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0007.180320T2200Z-180322T0600Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, and Trenton
1009 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow   accumulations of 11 to 15 inches are expected. Snow may mix with
  sleet and freezing rain in central New Jersey. In addition,   north to northeast winds will gust 25 to 40 mph at times.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Thursday. Sleet and   freezing rain are most likely this evening in central New Jersey
  before snow becomes the dominant type late tonight into   Wednesday. Snow will gradually taper off from west to east late
  Wednesday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult to   impossible, especially Wednesday afternoon and evening. Be   prepared for significant reductions in visibility at times.
  Power outages and tree damage may occur owing to the weight of   the snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. The latest
road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

11 am Storm Update

04. January 2018 · Comments Off on 11 am Storm Update · Categories: snow · Tags: , , ,

Sorry this is a dated image from 11 am. I was about to post then the phone rang. It shows the bands of snow continuing. Another band approaching western New Jersey.

Eastern New Jersey and the Jersey shore and NYC are getting pounded. These spots should easily get 1 foot of snow…

9 am Thursday Storm Update

04. January 2018 · Comments Off on 9 am Thursday Storm Update · Categories: snow · Tags: , ,

20180104_141847000_iOS

1.5″ of snow in Stewartsville as of 9 am.

Satellite View of Ocean Storm

04. January 2018 · Comments Off on Satellite View of Ocean Storm · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

Wow! Impressive storm via satellite!

Wow! Impressive storm via satellite!

You can just see the explosive growth of this ocean storm this morning!

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