Daily Weather Forecast

08. March 2015 · Comments Off on Daily Weather Forecast · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

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Temperatures in the mid 40’s will make for a nice Sunday afternoon in western New Jersey. It would be nicer if the skies was 100% sunny and it wasn’t so breezy but compared to what it’s been, let’s not complain. Monday should be a near normal day as well with highs in the mid 40’s. Tuesday will feature a storm to our south that I was hoping was going to stay to our south. It looks to move far enough north to possibly impact our area on Tuesday afternoon. Wednesday may be the pick of the week as we make an attempt at 50 degrees!

Enjoy the break in the weather while it lasts and get outside and do any chores that need to be done or take a nice snow hike!

Spring Ahead Saturday

07. March 2015 · Comments Off on Spring Ahead Saturday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

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No it doesn’t yet feel very Spring like outside but we’ll make some progress this week! Don’t forget to change your clock tonight before retiring AND change your smoke alarm batteries!!

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Today western New Jersey should see partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s! Don’t be surprised if we see some flurries overnight – nothing to worry about. Sunday looks even better with highs in the low to mid 40’s. Other than a chance of some rain later Tuesday into Tuesday night we should have what we will call a mild week even though it’s really only “normal” high temperatures for us this time of year. Will we hit 50 on Wednesday? Let’s hope so!

Spring forward!

Friday Morning Weather Summary

06. March 2015 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Weather Summary · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: ,

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Above is a graphical display of snowfall reports received by the NWS for yesterday’s storm. See my previous post about more storm reports. Many locations received 6-8” with less up north.

Western New Jersey residents woke up to another very cold morning. Many temperatures were in the low single digits. Many school districts are on a delayed opening once again. And most side roads are snow covered but hopefully plowed by now.

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I’m pleased to report we should now be in a quiet period with warming! Yes today will be cold (20 degrees below normal!) as will tonight but we should have mostly sunny skies well into next week with high temperatures in the 40’s starting on Sunday!

And don’t forget to “spring” your clocks forward Saturday night.

Snow Totals Thursday March 5 2015

05. March 2015 · Comments Off on Snow Totals Thursday March 5 2015 · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: , ,

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7.2” of snow fell in Stewartsville, NJ so far.

Have a snow total to report? Please leave a comment!

Here are some additional snow reports received so far:

...WARREN COUNTY...
   STEWARTSVILLE          7.2   521 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HARMONY TWP            7.0   359 PM  3/05  SOCIAL MEDIA
   1 ENE WASHINGTON       6.9   335 PM  3/05  COCORAHS
   HACKETTSTOWN           5.5   110 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
   WHITEHOUSE STATION     7.0   333 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   LAMBERTVILLE           6.5   345 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   CLINTON                6.0   155 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   ANNANDALE              5.0   114 PM  3/05  SOCIAL MEDIA
   TEWKSBURY TWP          3.0  1219 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER

...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...
   WILLIAMS TWP           9.0   520 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EASTON                 7.8   412 PM  3/05  SOCIAL MEDIA
   HELLERTOWN             6.5   445 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BETHLEHEM TWP          5.3   415 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   FORKS TWP              4.3   420 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MARTINS CREEK          3.5   100 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BUSHKILL TWP           3.5   215 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NE FORKS TWP           3.3   328 PM  3/05  TRAINED SPOTTER

 

Mid Day Storm Update

05. March 2015 · Comments Off on Mid Day Storm Update · Categories: precipitation, snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: , ,

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5.3” of new snow in Stewartsville as of 11:30 am. We have one more heavy band of snow to push through the area then hopefully the snow should start to lighten up this afternoon. Since my initial forecast of 3-6” has busted, I’ll now go for 6-10” and hope I don’t bust again! There is a very good chance sections to the south and east will get a foot of snow. Further to the north they are not getting as much snow.

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Another thing I want to point out is the temperature is much colder than it was this morning so please keep that in mind when removing the snow this afternoon – as well as breezy conditions. We are now in the upper teens in western New Jersey!

red=air temperature green=dew point

Updated Radar of Heavy Snow

05. March 2015 · Comments Off on Updated Radar of Heavy Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,

Heavy snow rates approaching 2"/hr in southern PA

Just after I published my last post I noticed this green echo on the weather radar. That is snow approaching 2”/hr! Lucky for us that will stay to our South.

You can also see here the dark blues to the west of western NJ that are moving in our direction. We finally get to use all the bread, milk, eggs and cans of soup we’ve been stockpiling all season! Smile

Thursday Mid Morning Update

05. March 2015 · Comments Off on Thursday Mid Morning Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

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4” of new snow has already fallen in Stewartsville as of 10:20 this morning. It’s been snowing moderately to occasionally heavy most of the morning. At the very least, I think we will be at the high end of my 3-6” forecast. There will be locations (perhaps many of us) that will go over 6” before all said and done. The NWS sees this trend too and raised the Winter Weather advisory that was previously in effect for Warren county NJ to a Winter Storm Warning and forecasting 4-8” of snow. Hunterdon county was already in a Winter Storm Warning.

In looking at the radar above, most of the echo’s are moving to the ENE. The back edge of the line to the north is also moving SLOWLY to the SE. There are still plenty of areas of darker blue heading our way from eastern PA. These will give us 1”/hour snow rates at time late morning into the early afternoon.

I still think the snow will lighten up this afternoon but it doesn’t appear to be in any rush to do so…

Thursday Morning Snow Update

05. March 2015 · Comments Off on Thursday Morning Snow Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

Winter wonderland in Western New Jersey Thursday morning

Western New Jersey picked up between 1.5 and 2” of snow overnight. 1.6” of new snow fell in Stewartsville. Looking out the window this morning reveals a winter wonderland. Since it was raining before the snow, the snow stuck to everything. Schools are closed once again (in some cases, especially PA, two days in a row).

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Today we will see snow of various intensities. At times it will just be flurries then other times it will come down moderate to heavy. It will be during these heavier periods where we will pick up additional amounts of snow. My forecast for western New Jersey is still 3.6.” Less to the north and more to the south. I expect the snow to start tapering off just after lunch with flurries and snow showers the remained of the afternoon. The wind will pick up today and it will turn record breaking cold tonight (low single digits) so it will be important to clear the driveway and walks today.

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What’s ahead? After a cold Friday and Saturday morning, a break! It looks nice with temperatures APPROACHING normal! There may be a snow shower late Saturday night and early Sunday morning. It looks dry thru Wednesday with 40’s as high temperatures! Perhaps this is the light at the end of the winter tunnel!

Wednesday Evening Update on Thursday Snow

04. March 2015 · Comments Off on Wednesday Evening Update on Thursday Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,

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I just finished looking at the latest weather data for our next snow maker. Some of it is pointing to less snow, and some of it says more. So I’m going to hold course and continue my 3-6” forecast for western New Jersey. It looks like heavier amounts of snow will fall from southern Hunterdon county on south. Specifically I-195 on south except right near the coast.

The NWS map above shows the minimum and maximum they are forecasting. There is potential for us to go over the 6” I’m forecasting. If we do it will be the single largest snowfall we’ve had this season!

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Rain has resumed  as of 8pm. Temperatures are starting to fall from the daytime high of 44. We are now down to 38 degrees and falling:

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I expect sleet and wet snow to start mixing in before midnight and to change over completely not to far after that.

I’ll update again in the morning.

Initial Thoughts on Thursday Snow

04. March 2015 · Comments Off on Initial Thoughts on Thursday Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

imageNWS Snow Forecast for Thursday A quick update this morning as I have a busy day planned. Yesterday afternoon and evening western New Jersey received 0.5″ snow followed by 0.4″ of sleet. We slowly transitioned to freezing rain then rain. We also have some fog.

We will continue to have light rain on and off most of the day into this evening. Mid to late evening tonight the rain will start mixing with sleet then snow then changeover completely by midnight. I still believe most of the heavier snow will fall to our south. At this time I’m forecasting 3-6″ of snow overnight and Thursday. There will be more in southern sections and less in the far north.

 

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