19. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day Of Spring Snow Forecast · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

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Western New Jersey woke up to another chilly morning with temperatures in the 20’s. Partly sunny skies today with highs just over 40. Clouds will increase tonight and snow will develop across the area between 6-10 am on Friday. Wet snow should continue at various rates throughout the day ending in the early evening from 6-10 pm. If this were 1-2 months ago I would be forecasting 3-6.”  But it’s not – it’s late March and in fact the first day of Spring. Can it snow in late March and early April? Sure can and it has in the past. Does the snow stick around? Nope.

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The National Weather Service has issues a winter weather advisory for tomorrow. The NWS is forecasting 3-6″ of snow as seen above. I believe most lower elevations of western New Jersey will only see 1-3″ on Friday and that will be mostly on colder surfaces like grass, car tops, untreated surfaces and shady areas. When the snow falls during the day it will only stick in the above areas. For it to stick during the day everywhere it has to be heavy snow. And we may in fact have a few heavier periods on Friday.

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We will be getting a good 1/2″ of liquid from this storm. Elevated areas (say above 750′) will see more snow in the order of 3-6″

If I see any significant changes I will update this post. I will be busy for the next few evenings so updates may be limited.

18. March 2015 · Comments Off on End Of Winter Weather Outlook · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: ,
NWS Snowfall Forecast

NWS Snowfall Forecast

Western New Jersey did have a nice afternoon yesterday even thought it was quite windy. Stewartsville recorded a gust to 38 MPH. All locations dipped into the mid 20’s this morning and today we will struggle and most likely stay in the upper 30’s to near 40. Tonight will be another chilly night but the winds should let up. Thursday will be a nice sunny day for the last full day of Winter but we will remain below normal temperature wise with highs only in the low 40’s.

Then our next weather maker approaches on Friday. Any wet snow that does fall in the early morning or at night has the potential to accumulate on colder untreated surfaces. However any snow that falls during the day will most likely melt unless in the shade or the intensity is very heavy. The NWS on the above map is forecasting 2-4″ for western New Jersey at this time. I’m going to go lower for now with 1-3″. Most of this will be on colder surfaces. If this were 1-2 months ago this would be another 3-6″ snowfall for us.

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The Saturday bounces back nicely with partly sunny skies and temperatures near 50.

17. March 2015 · Comments Off on Windy And Turning Colder · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

Surface

Now that the cold front has passed through Western New Jersey, temperatures will start to tumble this afternoon as the winds increase. So far I recorded a high wind gust of 33. I’m sure there are higher readings in open elevated areas.

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Tonight and tomorrow will make us remember that the season is still Winter. We will have overnight lows in the mid 20’s with breezy conditions. Tomorrow will continue on that same note with highs in the mid perhaps upper 30’s. This is over 10 degrees below normal. Another cold night Wednesday night but the winds should let up by Thursday morning. Thursday will feature sunny skies and a little warmer in the mid 40’s.

Then our attention turns to Friday. A storm will approach the east coast south of us. The worse of the storm looks to stay to our south but its looking more and more like this storm will impact us. We may be cold enough for snow in the beginning of the storm on Friday. But now that it’s mid March and the snow will be falling during the day, I do not anticipate any accumulations at this time. Later in the day it may warm up enough to change to rain.

As it looks now we should remain below normal temperature wise through the end of the month so even though Spring is near, it’s not here yet temperature wise…

16. March 2015 · Comments Off on 51 Days Of Snow Cover In 2015 · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , , ,
51 Days of snow cover in Stewartsville NJ in 2015

51 Days of snow cover in Stewartsville NJ in 2015

Today was the first time in 51 days that I’m only recording a trace of snow on the ground. Yes there’s still snow on the ground as you can see but when 50% or more of the ground is exposed, you record a trace. For the winter of 2014-2015 we have 51 consecutive days of 1″ or great of snow cover on the ground. That’s pretty impressive!

Western New Jersey 7 day forecast

Western New Jersey 7 day forecast

Monday is not too bad outside today. We should have high temperatures in the low 50’s. If it were not for the clouds we would get even warmer. These clouds will continue to increase and give us some scattered showers tonight into Tuesday. It shouldn’t be too much rain. The showers will come to an end on Tuesday as a cold front passes through western New Jersey area. After the front passes our temperatures will start falling the rest of the day as we experience some below normal temperatures for a few days. Wednesday we will stay in the 30’s for highs – that’s 10 degrees below normal! Thursday will improve but still be on the chilly side. Then we turn our attention to end of week. A storm system will be passing to our south and may come up the coast. If it does there could be some rain or wet snow Friday into Saturday. Details as we get closer.

15. March 2015 · Comments Off on Not So Springlike Sunday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

7day

 

Western New Jersey received about 1/2″ of rain since this time Saturday morning. Combined with the Friday night rainfall give us between 3/4″ and 1″ of ran. Thank goodness it didn’t all come at once!

Today we will see temperature in the mid to upper 40’s which is seasonable for this time of year. Unfortunately it will be accompanied by winds that will make it feel much cooler today.

Monday will be a nice day with high temperatures in the mid 50’s. But then a cold front will approach the area on Tuesday and bring below normal temperatures on Wednesday.

14. March 2015 · Comments Off on Saturday Rain – Improving Sunday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,

7DayWestern New Jersey received about 1/3″ of rain so far as of Saturday morning. It should continue to rain steady until early afternoon. Then we should just have showers the rest of the day and start to dry out later this evening.

Happy Pi Day!

13. March 2015 · Comments Off on Friday The 13th Weather Outlook · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , ,

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Western New Jersey should see a sunny morning with increasing clouds this afternoon. High temperatures should be in the mid 40’s. Clouds will lower and thicken tonight and look for rain to start around midnight. It might start a little sooner in eastern PA. As the map above reflect, the area should pick up 1/2” of rain, perhaps a little more. Most of the steadier rain will be overnight into Saturday morning. Saturday afternoon should be more showers.

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Sunday looks to be the better of the two days but breezy conditions will make it feel on the cool side. Monday and Tuesday look to be nice days before a cold front comes through Tuesday night.

12. March 2015 · Comments Off on Rain Late Friday Into Saturday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

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Western New Jersey enjoyed a beautiful afternoon on Wednesday afternoon as high temperatures went into the mid to upper 50’s. A cooler air mass has settled into the region for the remainder of the week. We should be having high temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s this time of year. Today we should be in the mid 40’s with plenty of sunshine but a stiff breeze will make it feel cooler than it actually is.

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Friday will be similar to today but with increasing clouds in the afternoon. Rain should hold off to late evening then continue overnight into Saturday morning. This storm system has more moisture to work with than the last one. Western New Jersey area looks to received about 1/2” – 1” of rain. While this shouldn’t be enough to cause widespread flooding, the ground is still somewhat frozen and can’t absorb what it could if it wasn’t snow covered.

10. March 2015 · Comments Off on Daily Outlook: Tuesday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: ,

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Everyone in western New Jersey enjoyed a beautiful day yesterday with high temperatures in and around 50! We also had quite a bit of snow melt. Stewartsville is down to 10” average on the ground.

Today we will see an increase in clouds with periods of rain arriving from 2-4 pm. Rain should end overnight. Look for 1/4 – 1/2” rain.

Wednesday looks to be even nicer than Monday with highs in the mid to upper 50’s!

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Rest of the week looks good with some rain on Saturday.

09. March 2015 · Comments Off on Light Rain Tuesday; Mid 50’s Wednesday · Categories: spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags:

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After some light precipitation this morning western New Jersey is experiencing an exceptional Monday afternoon with temperatures currently approaching 50 degrees!

Clouds will be on the increase as a storm system to our south will bring periods of light rain Tuesday afternoon and night. At this time it looks to give us around 1/4” of rain. We certainly don’t want too much rain at this point that would could flooding with all the snow still on the ground.

Once this system passes Wednesday will shape up to be a great day with high temperatures into the 50’s!

Looking longer range we’ll keep an eye on a storm for later Friday into Saturday. At this time it looks to be mostly rain.

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