14. February 2016 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory for Western New Jersey Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-
MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...CHALFONT...
PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
312 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN BY LATE MORNING MID MORNING MONDAY AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND THEN
  CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN MONDAY EVENING. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
  FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE AN EVENTUAL CHANGEOVER TO RAIN
  BY TUESDAY MORNING.

  EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY COLD, IN THE SINGLE
  DIGITS AND TEENS IN MOST LOCATIONS. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
  INTO THE 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STEADY OR CONTINUE
  TO RISE MONDAY NIGHT.


* MAIN IMPACT...THE COMBINATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
  WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND AROUND
  0.25 INCHES OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE...POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT
HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY.

SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

&&
08. January 2016 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory Tonight For Northern Areas · Categories: winter · Tags:

WinterWeatherAdvisory

There’s a chance that some of the rain may arrive while the temperature is near freezing in some northern locations of western New Jersey. As a result the National Weather Service has issued a winter weather advisory just in case. I expect this to be primarily in northern areas around and north of interstate 80.

WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…WASHINGTON…MORRISTOWN…JIM THORPE…
BETHLEHEM…EASTON
321 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST SATURDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW…WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS…POCONOS…PORTIONS OF THE LEHIGH VALLEY…AND
NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES…FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS…A TRACE TO LESS THAN 1 TENTH INCH OF ICE AND A
DUSTING OF SNOW.

* WINDS…EAST TO NORTHEAST 10 MPH OR LESS.

* TEMPERATURES…LOWS WILL BE NEAR 30.

* IMPACTS…EVEN TRACE AMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL LEAD TO
SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVER
PASSES FROM LATE THIS EVENING CONTINUING THROUGH JUST AFTER
SUNRISE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW…SLEET…OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES…AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE…POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT
HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE…OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY.

SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

28. December 2015 · Comments Off on Wintry weather overnight · Categories: winter · Tags: , , , ,

StormTotalSnowWeb1

The National Weather Service (NWS) has continued their winter weather advisory for tonight into early Tuesday morning. I’m expecting precipitation to break out over western New Jersey this evening from 7 pm – 10 pm. It could start out as a cold rain in some areas. Then the rain will cool the atmosphere a little more and the rain should mix if and possibly change to sleet for a few hours. Further to the north and west (near and north of I-80), especially in elevated areas, there could be some wet snow mixed in as well.

Warmer air will eventually take over and we should see all rain by the Tuesday morning commute. The changeover will take a bit longer further to the north and west. Given how warm the ground has been recently I expect little of any accumulation. At most there could be a little slush on colder surfaces like cars.

The most important thing to keep an eye on tonight is the air temperature. As long as we remain above freezing the roads and walkways should be fine. Bit some areas further to the north and west, as well as sheltered valleys, may have pockets of colder temperatures. In these areas we might see a little bit of freezing rain after the switch-over until the warmer temperatures make it to those areas as well.

I’ll have additional updates as warranted.

27. December 2015 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory for Monday evening · Categories: winter · Tags: , ,

The NWS has issued a Winter Weather advisory for Monday evening for western New Jersey (northers and western sections – currently does not include Hunterdon). I’ll post my thoughts on this tomorrow morning.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
323 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015


NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-280945-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0023.151229T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...ALLENTOWN...
BETHLEHEM...EASTON
323 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE LEHIGH VALLEY INTO NORTHWEST NEW
  JERSEY NEAR INTERSTATE 80.

* HAZARD TYPES...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1
  INCH...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION BEGINS SOMETIME BETWEEN 7 PM AND
  11 PM MONDAY AND MAY BRIEFLY CHANGE TO ALL SNOW OR SLEET AROUND
  MIDNIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN AND THEN RAIN BETWEEN
  5 AM AND 7 AM TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES FOR A TIME
  MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE RISING ABOVE FREEZING AROUND DAYBREAK
  TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

&&
20. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day of Spring With Snow · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

Capture

Temperatures this morning are already above freezing slightly and we have an E-SE wind. When the snow arrives (very light snow just entered western New Jersey as of 9 am) the lower atmosphere will cool down slightly. But the March sun will penetrate the clouds and help to warm up paved surfaces.

As you can see in the above radar, precipitation initially will be very light and intermittent.

northeast

I wider view of radar show opening in the coverage in Southern PA but more moisture to the west.

10478135_947853811900620_950837872726962015_n

We are still under a winter weather advisory until 8 pm tonight. The NWS is still forecasting 4-6″ for our area. My forecast still stands at 1-3.” More snow will fall but not accumulate. More will accumulate at higher elevations (generally above 750 ft). Also if it continues to snow moderately beyond 4-5 pm that snow may start sticking on untreated surfaces as well. But the storm should start winding down in our area from 6-9 pm.

If you feel like it, go out to your local Rita’s for a free water ice today!! lol

If will feel more spring like tomorrow with partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper 40’s and low 50’s.

19. March 2015 · Comments Off on First Day Of Spring Snow Forecast · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion, weather forecast · Tags: , , ,

11080841_1032200683476187_5011217474921824775_o

Western New Jersey woke up to another chilly morning with temperatures in the 20’s. Partly sunny skies today with highs just over 40. Clouds will increase tonight and snow will develop across the area between 6-10 am on Friday. Wet snow should continue at various rates throughout the day ending in the early evening from 6-10 pm. If this were 1-2 months ago I would be forecasting 3-6.”  But it’s not – it’s late March and in fact the first day of Spring. Can it snow in late March and early April? Sure can and it has in the past. Does the snow stick around? Nope.

10849078_947350238617644_8611224258364120949_o

The National Weather Service has issues a winter weather advisory for tomorrow. The NWS is forecasting 3-6″ of snow as seen above. I believe most lower elevations of western New Jersey will only see 1-3″ on Friday and that will be mostly on colder surfaces like grass, car tops, untreated surfaces and shady areas. When the snow falls during the day it will only stick in the above areas. For it to stick during the day everywhere it has to be heavy snow. And we may in fact have a few heavier periods on Friday.

CAaGygIWUAAlkal

We will be getting a good 1/2″ of liquid from this storm. Elevated areas (say above 750′) will see more snow in the order of 3-6″

If I see any significant changes I will update this post. I will be busy for the next few evenings so updates may be limited.

15. February 2015 · Comments Off on Arctic Sunday Weather Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , , ,

image

I don’t have any good snow photos to share with you yet. I hope to get some today if I can tolerate the snow. Western new jersey picked up about 3” of snow in the last 24 hours. II t came in two parts. First yesterday from mid day until just before dinner time then part 2 was when the snow squalls came around 8-10 pm.

Western new jersey continues under a winter weather advisory and a high wind warning. My weather station gusted to 33 mph around 4:46 am. Expect similar strong gusts today into this evening. The winds will lighten up a little tonight but it will remain windy/breezy overnight as we most likely go below zero Monday morning. Most area today will only see a high temperature in the low to mid teens and by Monday morning lows should be around 5 BELOW zero. Then on Washington’s birthday we are only back in the mid teens as we slowly cloud up late in the day for the next system.

Right now the computer models are not consistent with the next system. It looks to be Tuesday into Wednesday. Some models have most of the snow going to our south but one model has the snow coming up our way. Right now I’m thinking we will see plow able snow from the next storm. More details of course as we get closer.

In closing, stay warm today and check on the elderly!

08. February 2015 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Update for Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

10171244_925583107461024_6365667829035006741_n10924695_925583104127691_7670384373311748943_n

Sunday will remain mostly cloudy and rather mild in western new jersey today with high temperatures around 40. There is some light scattered rain falling but is not reaching the ground since it’s still too dry outside.

I expect light scattered rain showers to move into the area this evening and overnight. I expect our temperatures to remain above freezing until at least the early morning commute on Monday. This means that any precipitation that falls should be mainly rain. Since the colder air, which is slow to arrive is coming from the north, these locations may see a wintry mix by morning rush. Then during the day Monday I see mostly light precipitation that will be either rain and rain transitioning to a wintry mix. I do not see a lot of precipitation on Monday during the day. Then as colder air continues to come in from the north, by Monday evening we should see more in the way of a light snowfall. I’m forecasting a coating to 2” with more to the north.

The NWS has our area under a winter weather advisory from tonight thru early Tuesday morning. The maps above reflect their thinking on how much ice and snow western new jersey should receive.

Regarding school on Monday, at this point its too early to call. I certainly hope its not one of those situations where they close school and then there is only light on and off precipitation during the day with temperatures near or slightly above freezing.

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