10. March 2018 · Comments Off on First Thoughts On Monday Night Into Tuesday Storm · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

Initial NWS snow forecast for Tuesday

Let me start off by saying the next storm, which is now a Monday night into Tuesday time frame, has always been forecast to occur. For the past couple of days it’s influence looks to stay to our south and east. The past couple of computer runs are now suggesting it may travel a little closer to our area.

Even if this didn’t happen, there were indications there was going to be a little light snow with this event from an upper level low pressure system that was going to pass overhead Tuesday into Wednesday.

Right now the above map is a good starting point for any snow accumulations in our area. If we truly only get a few inches, it will primarily only accumulate on colder surfaces and not roads. Unfortunately trees are colder surfaces and many of them are weak from the last 2 storms and could result in some power outages but let’s hope that is at a minimum and some people are STILL without power from the FIRST storm.

The things to keep an eye on now is the trend. If the computer model keep the trend closer to us then we can plan accordingly.

Also note the more snow will fall further to the east and south of western New Jersey as it looks at this time.

Regardless this will be another nor’easter storm that will have big impacts to eastern New England. The pattern of strong storms does look to end with this one for now.

09. March 2017 · Comments Off on Winter Returns In March · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: ,

The windy weather of yesterday and today tell us a change is a coming. Today’s relatively balmy conditions will not be experienced again for a while. The NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for all of western New Jersey as seen in the purple in the map above.

Look for clouds to increase later today and tonight. It will be warm enough to have the precipitation start off as rain late tonight and early tomorrow morning. As colder air continues to move into our area the rain should change to a mix and then all snow.

My forecast is for 1-3″ of snow in southern sections of western New Jersey with perhaps a little more up to the north and in any elevated areas. There will be more accumulation on colder, grassy surfaces than on roads. I do expect the roads to get covered a little since it will be snowing before sun up and could come down moderate at times. My snow forecast is a little lower than what is seen on the NWS map above.

The snow should taper off to snow showers in the afternoon and then the chill sets in. We will not get above freezing all weekend! Keep in mind our normal daytime high is now approaching 47 degrees. We will most likely not see high temperatures in the 40’s for at least a week!

04. March 2016 · Comments Off on Light Snow Over For Western New Jersey · Categories: snow, spring, weather discussion · Tags:

About 1/2

Light snow in Stewartsville March 4, 2016

About 1/2″ of new snow was reported in Stewartsville Friday morning. The snow has just about moved out of the area and we will see some sunshine later today. The winds will pick up as the storm intensifies as it heads out to sea.

Western New Jersey could see a similar light dusting late Saturday night and Sunday morning as another fast moving clipper system passes through the area. Then we turn on the warmers and will see temperatures at 60 or above Monday!

02. March 2016 · Comments Off on Winter’s Last Gasp On Friday? · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

StormTotalSnowWeb (1)

Winter appears to have one more show for us. Today’s gusty winds are bringing back colder more seasonable weather to western New Jersey. In fact it will be quite chilly tonight and tomorrow. Look for light snow to develop Thursday night and last into Friday. Initially temperatures will be cold enough for all snow but on Friday we will go above freezing so if it continues it should mix with some rain, especially in southern locations. Plus the March sun will go to work on surfaces and prevent any additional accumulation.

For western New Jersey I like the idea of a coating to an inch or two. This will mostly be on colder, grassy surfaces. I don’t anticipate any additional accumulation once sunup is reached on Friday.

For those ready for Spring, we should get a real nice preview of it next week!

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