05. July 2018 · Comments Off on Flash Flood Watch · Categories: Flash Floods · Tags: ,

Flash Flood Watch Friday morning

259 PM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON…

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of northern Delaware, northeast
Maryland, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania, including the
following areas, in northern Delaware, New Castle. In
northeast Maryland, Cecil. In New Jersey, Camden, Eastern
Monmouth, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris,
Northwestern Burlington, Salem, Somerset, Warren, and Western
Monmouth. In Pennsylvania, Berks, Delaware, Eastern Chester,
Eastern Montgomery, Lehigh, Lower Bucks, Northampton,
Philadelphia, Upper Bucks, Western Chester, and Western
Montgomery.

* From 2 AM EDT Friday through Friday afternoon

* A period of heavy rain and thunderstorms could result in
flooding issues early Friday morning through Friday afternoon.
Generally, 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected, with localized
amounts of 3 to 4 inches possible.

* The heaviest rain is expected to fall during the morning hours,
impacting the morning commute across the area. Excessive
rainfall within a short period of time can lead to rapidly
rising water and flash flooding, particularly in urban areas and
along small creeks and streams.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Flash Flood Watch means that there is the potential for flash
flooding which can be life-threatening. Heavy rain is expected to
occur over a short period of time. Rapidly rising flood waters
may quickly inundate roadways and areas of poor drainage. Streams
and creeks could leave their banks, flooding nearby properties.

Please monitor the forecast, especially if you live in a location
that is prone to flooding. Be prepared to take action if a flash
flood warning is issued for your area.

16. May 2018 · Comments Off on Flood Watch Friday · Categories: flood watch · Tags: ,

Flood Watch

335 PM EDT Wed May 16 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of Delaware, northeast Maryland, New
  Jersey, and Pennsylvania, including the following areas, in
  Delaware, Delaware Beaches, Inland Sussex, Kent, and New
  Castle. In northeast Maryland, Caroline, Cecil, Kent MD, Queen
  Annes, and Talbot. In New Jersey, Atlantic, Atlantic Coastal
  Cape May, Camden, Cape May, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean,
  Cumberland, Eastern Monmouth, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer,
  Middlesex, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, Salem, Somerset,
  Southeastern Burlington, Warren, and Western Monmouth. In
  Pennsylvania, Berks, Delaware, Eastern Chester, Eastern
  Montgomery, Lehigh, Lower Bucks, Northampton, Philadelphia,
  Upper Bucks, Western Chester, and Western Montgomery.

* From Thursday evening through late Friday night

* Periods of light to moderate rain will continue this afternoon
  through tomorrow. A brief break in the rain is expected early
  tomorrow evening before it once again intensifies and becomes more
  widespread tomorrow night. Periods of moderate to heavy rain are
  then expected to persist into at least Friday, possibly into the
  weekend. General rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected
  the next 72 hours with the highest totals along and south of the
  Interstate 78 corridor. Locally higher amounts are possible across
  the same area as thunderstorms are expected to periodically
  develop.

* A variety of flooding types are all possible within the Flood
  Watch area. First, low-lying and poor drainage flooding is the
  most likely type of flooding to develop. Second, flash flooding
  will be possible under the stronger thunderstorms. Flash
  flooding occurs quicker than other types flooding due to the
  torrential rain thunderstorms can produce in a short amount of
  time. Flash flooding is most likely to occur across urban areas
  where rainfall runoff is maximized and where small creeks and
  streams respond quickly. The rain has to go somewhere and
  eventually leads to larger streams and rivers. This is where the
  third type of flooding is possible. If you live across the
  Passaic, Raritan, and Rancocas basins in New Jersey or the
  Neshaminy, Schuylkill, and Brandywine basins across Pennsylvania
  and Delaware, keep an eye on later forecasts. These forecasts,
  as well as all of our hydrologic forecasts, can be accessed via
  our Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service website.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.
04. May 2018 · Comments Off on More Thundershowers Likely This Afternoon · Categories: thunderstorms · Tags: , , , ,

SPC thunderstorm outlook for today

Scattered showers and thundershowers moved through western New Jersey later yesterday afternoon and evening. Stewartsville recorded 0.03″ of rain.

While today’s high temperature may not hit 90 like yesterday, the increased humidity will make it feel more uncomfortable.

As you can see in the map above, there is an increased chance over yesterday of some thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening. After 4 pm looks to be the starting time.

If you’re not a fan of extreme heat so early in the warm weather season good news is the weekend will feature closer to seasonable temperatures. 70’s for Saturday and 60’s for Sunday.

06. April 2018 · Comments Off on Friday April 6 2018 Weather Roundup · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: , , ,

Still not feeling like spring!

NWS 5 day forecast

Everyone in western New Jersey woke up to some light snow falling. It’s only accumulating on colder surfaces and thankfully not the roads. This is a sight folks in western New Jersey have become too familiar with this Spring!

Ironically today will be one of the warmer days for a while. Today’s light snow is a result of a warm front moving through the area. Later this afternoon we should have high temperatures in the upper 50’s.

But don’t get too used to it. A cold front will come thru early Saturday morning which will bring cooler air for the weekend. Believe it or not this is a good thing. This push of colder air is going to steer another snow storm to our south. Only southern New Jersey and point south should see any significant accumulations from this next system. We could all see some light snow or rain showers, primarily in the morning. Remainder of the weekend will be on the cool side.

More cold air for Monday and Tuesday along with our next, dare I say last chance of snow or mixed precipitation for Tuesday. Then after that the pattern finally looks to relax and allow some warmer and more seasonable weather to arrive in our area by late week or next weekend!

12. January 2018 · Comments Off on More Rain Tonight Then Crashing Down Temperatures · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags: , ,
Radar showing another area of rain to move into western New Jersey

Radar showing another area of rain to move into western New Jersey

Just about 1″ of rain has fallen in Stewartsville so far today. As seen in the radar image above another area of rain is about to move into western New Jersey. This should be somewhat lighter than what we received before.

Look to the far left on that map and you see pink and blue representing mixed precipitation and snow. Yes that’s right while it’s in the low 60’s here, it’s snowing in the far NW part of PA.

NWS Ice Forecast for Saturday AM

NWS Ice Forecast for Saturday AM

Th cold air should arrive in western New Jersey very fast between 1 am and 5 am tomorrow morning. If it’s still raining we could see that change over to some sleet or freezing rain. As such the NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for Warren county and further N&W. The threat should be over by mid morning tomorrow then sharply colder temperatures over the weekend into next week.

Next change of some wintry weather will be on Tuesday and Wednesday. More on that as it approaches.

14. July 2017 · Comments Off on More Rain Today · Categories: Summer, thunderstorms · Tags: , ,

Parts of western New Jersey picked up a good amount of rain yesterday. Stewartsville received 0.83 from the late afternoon thunderstorms and an additional 0.10″ overnight.

Severe weather threat stays south of western New Jersey on Friday

Severe weather threat stays south of western New Jersey on Friday

While Friday will be cooler than the last few days, the humidity will still be very uncomfortable. The best chances for any severe weather look to be to the south of western New Jersey – but not that far away. So keep an eye to the sky.

More moderate rain heading to western New Jersey

More moderate rain heading to western New Jersey

Good news is nicer weather returns for the weekend. Then look for another warm/hot/humid spell next week. It is summer after all!

10. March 2017 · Comments Off on Friday Mid Day Snow Update · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: , , ,

This snow today has certainly over-performed. As of 11 am 4.3″ of snow in Stewartsville. The heavy snow band that came through about an hour ago really over-produced. I picked up over 1″ of snow per hour for 2 hours in a row! That’s impressive for this type of system in March.

The radar above shows the darker band of heavy snow moving away from western New Jersey. I anticipate the snow ending by early afternoon. Then we need to be on the lookout for snow squalls this afternoon and early evening as much colder air moves into the region.

10. March 2017 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Snow Update · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , ,
Early morning snow falling in western New Jersey

Early morning snow falling in western New Jersey

As of 7:15 am 1.0″ of snow has fallen in Stewartsville so far. The forecast is still on track for 1-3″ with more to the north, 3-6″ near and north of I-80.

Radar above as of 8 am shows more snow to our west. Look for the steady snow to continue until about lunch time. It will fall at various rates. After that it will be more showery with the potential for some snow squalls later in the day.

Snow is not sticking to roads in the southern area of western New Jersey for the most part unless they are in the shade.

09. March 2017 · Comments Off on Snow Amounts For Friday · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

My thoughts haven’t changed too much for Friday’s late season snow. My forecast is still a 1-3″ for western New Jersey. Less to the south and more to the north. I will add a 3-6″ band closer to I-80 and north of there. Reason being this is all starting as rain. The change to snow will occur faster up north and slower to the south.

Another factor for tomorrow is the chance for snow squalls at the end of the storm and in the afternoon. Another cold front will be following tomorrow’s storm and it looks to be accompanied by some snow squalls. Not sure if this will be a repeat of last Friday but if they materialize it could add to the snow totals some what.

What’s not changing is the well below normal temperatures for the weekend. Not getting above freezing most likely!

Then we need to continue to watch late Monday night into Tuesday. This is looking more and more like it will happen and the cold air will still be around so you know what that means…

 

09. March 2017 · Comments Off on Winter Returns In March · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: ,

The windy weather of yesterday and today tell us a change is a coming. Today’s relatively balmy conditions will not be experienced again for a while. The NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for all of western New Jersey as seen in the purple in the map above.

Look for clouds to increase later today and tonight. It will be warm enough to have the precipitation start off as rain late tonight and early tomorrow morning. As colder air continues to move into our area the rain should change to a mix and then all snow.

My forecast is for 1-3″ of snow in southern sections of western New Jersey with perhaps a little more up to the north and in any elevated areas. There will be more accumulation on colder, grassy surfaces than on roads. I do expect the roads to get covered a little since it will be snowing before sun up and could come down moderate at times. My snow forecast is a little lower than what is seen on the NWS map above.

The snow should taper off to snow showers in the afternoon and then the chill sets in. We will not get above freezing all weekend! Keep in mind our normal daytime high is now approaching 47 degrees. We will most likely not see high temperatures in the 40’s for at least a week!

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