It certainly won’t feel like late March today – more like January! Gusty winds, cold wind chills and perhaps even some snow showers!!
Low temperature forecast Monday morning
And the hunt for Spring 2022 continues. If you don’t like today, you’re not going to like Monday either. Overnight lows the next two nights are going to be in the upper teens and low 20’s! If you turned on your outdoor water faucets, you might want to turn them off!
Monday high temperature forecast
Monday temperatures will not get out of the teens. The gusty winds will make it feel even colder. Normal highs this time of year are the mid 50’s.
Temperatures will slowly start to recover on Tuesday with more seasonable temperatures on Thursday and beyond. With the warmer temperatures come increasing chances of rain.
A cold morning in Stewartsville, NJ this Monday morning with temperatures in the lower teens.
Monday morning low temperatures
There were some areas in the upper single digits to the north. Clear skies overnight along with fresh snow and light winds caused the cold Monday morning.
NWS snow forecast for Tuesday
Enjoy the cold sunshine on Monday becasue another fast moving system will impact our area before sun-up on Tuesday. This will be a similar event to last Friday where we picked up a coating to 2″. My forecast is for a coating to 3″. The coating will be in southern areas and the 3″ to the north. The graphic above from the NWS shows this potential nicely.
Thursday forecast
Then another day of sunshine on Wednesday before another larger system impacts our area starting very late Wednesday or early THursday morning. This system will be multiple waves of low pressure that will move along just to our south and last until Friday morning. These waves will result in more snow than Tuesday but it should not be terrible. Early thoughts are 2-4 or 3-6.
Sat-Sun forecast
Our parade of storms continues with another fast moving system late Saturday lasting into early Sunday morning.
Don’t put the snow shovel away yet as another system could impact our area in the timeframe of next Wednesday. Temperatures looks to remain well below normal throughout this timeframe.
Stewartsville recorded 0.2″ of sleet and a tiny bit of snow in the past 24 hours. The storm is moving away today and we should start to see periods of sunshine this afternoon.
Another storm system will pass to our south later today and on Thursday. This will result in the winds picking up and gusting to 30-40 mph at time. This will usher down very cold air from eastern Canada.
The cold winds will result in below-normal temperatures for the next several days. After today, we may not see temperatures above the freezing mark until early next week. Friday and Saturday high temperatures will be in the 20’s. Overnight lows will be in the upper single digits to low teens.
Looking long range, our next storm signal is later Sunday into early next week. Right now it has the potential to be a bigger storm than the last one. It might also be a snow to mix situation for our area as well (especially southern locations). It could be a long duration event as well lasting from late Sunday into Tuesday morning perhaps. We’ll keep an eye on it and update accordingly.
You’ll want to be like Bernie and bundle up this weekend, especially Saturday as temperatures will likely struggle to get to 30. Winds will keep the wind chill in the teens.
Confidence is increasing that our area will see some wintry weather late Monday into Tuesday.
At this time the precipitation type looks to be mainly snow for our area but I can’t yet rule out a changeover or mix with some sleet or freezing rain, especially in southern locations. As it looks now if that happens it will be minor.
Timing wise looks to be later Monday into Tuesday. There’s a good chance the wintry weather will be in two parts. There appears to be a lull in the snow perhaps mid-day Tuesday with perhaps another, lighter round of snow before the day ends.
How much? Still too early to say. I’m thinking this will NOT be as much as the December event. At this time I’m expecting 3-6″ range.
Despite what the calendar says, our weather will feel more March like for the next week. Another freeze warning is posted for tonight into Saturday morning.
Before the March chill arrives, we will receive more rain today and tonight. Our area should expect 1/2 to perhaps 3/4″ of rain.
Speaking of March-like weather, don’t be surprised to see some wet snow mixed in at the end of our rainfall later tonight and in showers on Saturday. Gusty winds will make most of Saturday feel like temperatures are in the 30’s instead of the mid to upper 40’s. Normal for this time of year? Sadly it’s 70 degrees. We should come close to that late next week and next weekend.
1″ of new snow was recorded in Stewartsville overnight. This resulted in many schools having a delayed opening this Friday morning.
The snow has moved to our east. Except for some flurries, skies should remain mostly cloudy today and continued below normal temperatures with highs in the 30’s.
NWS snow forecast for Friday overnight
The next fast moving system will waste no time moving into our area. We could see some light snow or snow showers move into western New Jersey this evening. This system will have more snow accumulations to the north. In fact south of our area, should change over to rain at some point. The snow looks to end Saturday morning. My snow forecast for this system is 1-3″ at this time. More to the north and less to the south. I’ll be keeping an eye today on the potential that we could receive more snow from this system. Some of the guidance has been suggesting we could see a little more.
AccuWeather snow forecast for Monday
The other thing I will be keeping an eye on today is the *next* storm system in our parade of systems. This one looks to arrive as early as Sunday afternoon and last into Monday morning. This one looks to be the strongest of the series and has the potential of delivering plowable snow to our area.
Regardless of what happens with this system next week looks COLD! HOpefully it will be winter’s last gasp…
Hopefully everyone survived the wind and still have power. We actually lost power here in Stewartsville/Bloomsbury area for about an hour yesterday afternoon but thankfully came back on. I know many are still without power.
Today and tomorrow will be chilly days with high temperatures below our normal of 43f for this time of year. Look for high temperatures in the 30’s most of this week. Winds still be brisk but nothing like yesterday. We will still see some gusts to near 30 mph.
A weak system will approach our area from the north later on Wednesday. We should be cold enough to have all light snow arrive at night. The snow should be over before Thursday morning. Right now it looks like a light event that will have more snow to the north where most of the storm is passing.
My forecast is for a coating to 1″ with more to the north.
We look to have two more weak systems later this week into the weekend. They look weak and temperatures look to remain below normal for the next 10 days. But after that, can that be spring around the corner??!!
Welcome to February! After another frigid night, temperatures will rebound a little today. Stewartsville went down to -2, a whole degree warmer than the night before. But with no wind, at least it didn’t feel as terrible.
The leading edge of the warmer air is bringing a weak disturbance to our south. The clouds that increased overnight actually helped keep our temperature from falling even lower. Usually with clear skies, calm wind and snow on the ground, air temperatures can drop quite low.
So don’t be surprised if you see some flurries today, especially in southern portions of western New Jersey, or if you are traveling south today. As you can see in the forecast snow map above, not much will be falling, even to our south.
Radar Friday morning showing very light snow over southern New Jersey
Today we should see high temperatures in the 20’s. That’s a whole 10 degrees warmer than Thursday. Saturday we can tack on another 10 degrees and have high temperatures in the 30’s, which is seasonable for this time of year. We keep the trend going on Sunday with highs in the 40’s.
Even warmer next week but with that will be the chance for some rain, especially later in the week
An arctic front was responsible for bringing us the batch of frigid temperatures. It was accompanied by snow squalls which blasted through the region.
7 Day NWS forecast
So how long will the cold last? Thankfully not that long. Tonight will be another near zero night but we should recover to near 20 on Friday, the 30’s on Saturday and low 40’s on Sunday. Believe it or not we may see some 50’s on Tuesday!
Let’s hope the groundhog sees his shadow and we get an early Spring!
I wanted to post an update based on trends and data from the past 12 hours or so. I will continue to monitor for changes today and if anything significant will past later on.
The computer weather models have trended slightly colder for our area. At the same time they are also trending more warmer air above us for a longer period of time.
So what does this all mean? I think a changeover to plain rain is reduced except for possible extreme SE locations. The NWS has extended the WInter Storm Watches to also include Upper Bucks in PA and Somerset in NJ
NWS ice forecast
But warm air above us for an extended period of time will give us a lot of sleet and possibly freezing rain.
At this time I’m still predicting 4-8″ but seriously thinking of lowering to 3-6.” Most of the snow we will fall at the beginning of the storm – from when it starts until about 1 am Sunday. The snow start time looks to be late afternoon Saturday.
I’m still looking for sharply falling temperatures Sunday afternoon and night. Precipitation could end a little sooner than originally thought on Sunday. That will be something I will be looking at along with does it change back to snow. Traditionally when storms do go from snow to rain/mix back to snow very little snow falls on the backend.
Sunday night and Monday will be brutal temperature wise with well below zero wind chills and just above zero temperature. It is January after all…
Recent Comments