March Ending Like a Lion

27. March 2022 · Comments Off on March Ending Like a Lion · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , ,

It certainly won’t feel like late March today – more like January! Gusty winds, cold wind chills and perhaps even some snow showers!!

Low temperature forecast Monday morning

And the hunt for Spring 2022 continues. If you don’t like today, you’re not going to like Monday either. Overnight lows the next two nights are going to be in the upper teens and low 20’s! If you turned on your outdoor water faucets, you might want to turn them off!

Monday high temperature forecast

Monday temperatures will not get out of the teens. The gusty winds will make it feel even colder. Normal highs this time of year are the mid 50’s.

Temperatures will slowly start to recover on Tuesday with more seasonable temperatures on Thursday and beyond. With the warmer temperatures come increasing chances of rain.

First Weekend of Spring Weather

18. March 2022 · Comments Off on First Weekend of Spring Weather · Categories: spring · Tags: , ,
Dense fog advisory Friday morning until 10 am

Dense fog has developed over most of our area this morning. We are under a dense fog advisory through 10 am.

What does fog look like from up above? Here you go. The white areas are the fog, and the dark areas are the ground. Some areas are seeing peaks of sun.

Once the fog burns off, the temperature on Friday will rise nicely and reach the low to mid 70’s!

Our sunny weather on Friday will be short lived as clouds will increase later today and tonight as a low-pressure system moves through our area. Early Saturday morning some rain showers will move into our area as a warm front approaches. Then we could see a break in the precipitation until a cold front moves through later in the afternoon into the early evening. Some areas may even hear some rumbles of thunder! The strongest risk of severe weather seen on the map above is to our west on Saturday.

Sunday looks to be cooler but still seasonable for this time of year with clouds and breezy conditions with highs in the 50’s. If you have any outdoor work this weekend by recommendation would be Saturday late morning once the morning rain showers end and before they return later in the day,

Saturday Snow Update

12. March 2022 · Comments Off on Saturday Snow Update · Categories: snow · Tags: , ,

If it’s not snowing where you are it will very soon. The front went through Stewartsville around 7:30 am and we had rain change over to sleet within 15 minutes. 15 minutes later, wet snow with temperatures falling into the low 30’s.

Everything remains on track with the storm and forecast. I’m expecting 3-6″ in our area. Snow should start to taper off in midafternoon but snow showers could remain into the evening.

Don’t forget the winds will be quite gusty. And change your clocks tonight!

Tonight and Sunday will be winter-like but don’t fear – warmer weather will return Monday and stay the entire week with temperatures in the 50’s and low 60’s!

Snow’s Back as we Spring Forward

11. March 2022 · Comments Off on Snow’s Back as we Spring Forward · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: ,

Saturday will be another interesting weather day with lots of changes. Look for rain to arrive overnight. Then Saturday morning the rain will start to mix with sleet and snow and then changeover to all snow by mid to late morning. Then wet snow, heavy at times until mid to late afternoon. Expect about 3-6″ of wet snow. With rapidly falling temperatures on Saturday, we will see more snow accumulate on roadways than the other day.

The wind will be another factor along with the falling temperatures. Looks for strong SW winds in the morning shifting into the NW and gusting to 40+mph at times. A wind advisory is in effect for the entire area on Saturday into the overnight.

March Madness: Weather Edition

08. March 2022 · Comments Off on March Madness: Weather Edition · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: ,

So, we had high temperatures in the 70’s on Sunday and Monday and snow is in the forecast for Wednesday? Why yes, it is. Welcome to March weather in NJ!

Wide swings of temperatures are common in Spring and Fall. This year will be no exception.

Wednesday will be a wet and raw day in comparison with the slightly humid weather of Monday. We could even see a coating of wet snow on colder surfaces. There could be upwards of 2″ up north in elevated normally colder locations.

Slow Warm Up On The Way

07. March 2019 · Comments Off on Slow Warm Up On The Way · Categories: spring, weather discussion · Tags:
Temperature forecast next 10 days

After another frigid morning a slow warm up will begin today. It will be slow at first but anything is better than the 20 degree below normal temperatures we have experienced this week. High temperatures today and tomorrow should get into the mid 30’s. Friday morning will be another cold morning but relief is on the way.

NWS snow forecast

As is often the case, when warmer air arrives the cold air is slow to depart at times. A weak system will be passing to our south on Friday late afternoon/evening. This could give our area some very light snow or snow showers. Right now it looks like a coating to perhaps 1″ in spots. This should be mostly on colder non-paved surfaces.

After that warmer on Saturday with a high near 40. CLouds will be on the increase Saturday late afternoon as some rain moves into the area Sunday morning. In some areas to the far north and west this could start as a little mixed precipitation but this should be mainly a rain event. Sunday’s high temperatures will be in the upper 40’s.

Next week looks to feature high temperatures in the 40’s with perhaps some 50’s by weeks end!

Winter’s Cold Returns

05. March 2019 · Comments Off on Winter’s Cold Returns · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags:
Tuesday morning low temperatures

Happy Shrove Tuesday – Fat Tuesday! Certainly doesn’t feel like pre-Lent celebrating even though Easter is almost as late as it can be this year.

Overnight lows were around 10 with some single digits further to the north. Look for a repeat performance tomorrow morning.

Warmer pattern next week

To give everyone something to look forward to we should see back to normal temperatures this weekend. Next week may actually have some mild days!

Welcome To Spring Snowstorm

20. March 2018 · Comments Off on Welcome To Spring Snowstorm · Categories: snow, spring · Tags: , ,

Experimental Storm Severity Index

All of western New Jersey is in the bulls eye of the next (fourth) major storm in the month of March. Has kismet that it starts on the official start of Spring!

In looking at the potential severity of this storm in the above experimental graphic from the NWS, you can see most of western New Jersey is in the Major category.

Snow start timing

Here is a graphic showing the start time of the precipitation. Keep in mind that today, Tuesday the precipitation will be light compared to tomorrow. There’s also a good chance the precipitation today will be a wintry mix of snow, sleet and rain. As the second storm approaches on Wednesday is when we will see predominately snow.

NWS Snow Forecast

The above graphic does a nice job of showing how much snow for western New Jersey is forecast. Note that more snow is forecast to the south and east.

This will be once again one of those storms that features:

  • heavy wet snow
  • snow accumulating on colder surfaces more than roads
  • snow may not accumulate on roads during the day until heavy snow falls

Winds will also become gusty as Wednesday progresses. Power issues are possible from either the wind, wet snow or both.

Nor’Easter Friday into Friday Night

01. March 2018 · Comments Off on Nor’Easter Friday into Friday Night · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , , , ,

NWS Watches and Warnings

Whenever you see the watches and warnings map above lit up like a Christmas tree, you know something is going on. The Nor’easter that will move into western New Jersey later tonight into Friday looks to be a formidable storm. There is a Flood Watch and a High Wind Watch for western New Jersey. There is a Winter Storm Watch for Sussex county further to the north.

NWS Snow Forecast

the biggest change I want to pass along at this time is the *potential* for more wet snow on Friday. I’m increasing my forecast for 1-3″ of heavy, wet snow that will accumulate mostly on colder surfaces.

Friday is a day where rain will change to wet snow and come down heavy at times as the wind increases. But the temperature will remain above freezing and all of this will occur during the day. There are some computer models suggesting we get closer to 6″ but I don’t see that happening at this point.

Further to the north and in elevated areas, more snow will accumulate – perhaps 3-6″ or more.

Timing: rain will start after 3 pm today. Rain should be light to moderate later this afternoon and the first part of this evening. Rain will then become heavy at times later tonight. Winds will pick up after midnight as well. Rain will gradually change to a wet snow Friday morning and continue off an on all day as winds increase.

What: Heavy rain, wind and wet snow on Friday. 1-2″ of rain. Winds gusting to 50-60 mph on Friday

I’ll continue to monitor and update as things change

March Roller Coaster Weather Continues

07. March 2017 · Comments Off on March Roller Coaster Weather Continues · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

Spring and fall can feature variables in the weather. So far this month is showing signs of not disappointing. After a very cold weekend, we are starting to rebound to warmer weather today. We should get into the 50’s today and tomorrow. Remember the average high this time of year is about 46 and climbing.

With warmer weather brings rain as is evident this morning. Western New Jersey is receiving light rain this morning. Look for this to taper to showers this afternoon. This is the warm front passing through our area. A cold front will pass through later tonight and be accompanied by some additional rain and perhaps even a rumble of thunder.

And then what?

Well some unseasonable cold weather is heading to western New Jersey. Thursday will be a transition day with temperatures mostly in the 40’s as cold air filters into our area. A weak system will be approaching from the west that can give is some light precipitation Thursday night into Friday morning. At this time is looks like it could be cold enough for a wintry mix and snow (especially to the north).

This will clear our Friday afternoon and more cold air comes into our region. Saturday looks similar to last Saturday with temperatures struggling to get above the freezing mark. We all knew we were going to have pay back for all that unusual warmth last month!

And then what?

Another more potent storm system looks to be approaching our area from the south and west. As of right now it appears we will be on the colder side of the storm. The big question is how far north does it get. Will we be on the northern fringe or will we feel the full impacts? Traditionally this winter when computer models show a system impacting areas to our south in advance, tend to migrate to the north as the event nears. Let’s see if that happens with this one. As a result Sunday has the potential to be a wintry day. How wintry? It could be enough to remind us it’s still winter. If everything comes together it could be a plow-able event. Keep in mind it can snow in March. Ironically this Sunday, March 13 is the anniversary of a famous super storm that impacted the east coast in 1993. No this will not be that but it could be notable. For snow to happen in late winter you need to have close to perfect conditions.

Beyond that the cold air looks to stay around into the new week with another storm potential around mid week.

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