Spring and fall can feature variables in the weather. So far this month is showing signs of not disappointing. After a very cold weekend, we are starting to rebound to warmer weather today. We should get into the 50’s today and tomorrow. Remember the average high this time of year is about 46 and climbing.

With warmer weather brings rain as is evident this morning. Western New Jersey is receiving light rain this morning. Look for this to taper to showers this afternoon. This is the warm front passing through our area. A cold front will pass through later tonight and be accompanied by some additional rain and perhaps even a rumble of thunder.

And then what?

Well some unseasonable cold weather is heading to western New Jersey. Thursday will be a transition day with temperatures mostly in the 40’s as cold air filters into our area. A weak system will be approaching from the west that can give is some light precipitation Thursday night into Friday morning. At this time is looks like it could be cold enough for a wintry mix and snow (especially to the north).

This will clear our Friday afternoon and more cold air comes into our region. Saturday looks similar to last Saturday with temperatures struggling to get above the freezing mark. We all knew we were going to have pay back for all that unusual warmth last month!

And then what?

Another more potent storm system looks to be approaching our area from the south and west. As of right now it appears we will be on the colder side of the storm. The big question is how far north does it get. Will we be on the northern fringe or will we feel the full impacts? Traditionally this winter when computer models show a system impacting areas to our south in advance, tend to migrate to the north as the event nears. Let’s see if that happens with this one. As a result Sunday has the potential to be a wintry day. How wintry? It could be enough to remind us it’s still winter. If everything comes together it could be a plow-able event. Keep in mind it can snow in March. Ironically this Sunday, March 13 is the anniversary of a famous super storm that impacted the east coast in 1993. No this will not be that but it could be notable. For snow to happen in late winter you need to have close to perfect conditions.

Beyond that the cold air looks to stay around into the new week with another storm potential around mid week.