Spring Like Saturday and Sunday Night Surprise

20. February 2016 · Comments Off on Spring Like Saturday and Sunday Night Surprise · Categories: spring, weather discussion, winter · Tags: , ,

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Temperatures will be well above normal in western New Jersey this weekend. Saturday will be the nicer of the two days with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures reaching into the mid to upper 50’s, especially in southern locations

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Sunday will be a little cooler with highs only in the lower 50’s with an increase in clouds. The clouds will be from a small storm system that will pass to our south. But we will be on the northern fringe and receive some rain or wet snow overnight Sunday night into Monday morning.

Then out attention turns to what will happen in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame. More seasonable weather will return. Right now the storm systems look to be slowing down a bit so nothing looks to get started until Tuesday night. At this time is looks like western New Jersey will be impacted by two separate waves of low pressure. And it looks like these will track near or even to the west of our area that will give western New Jersey more rain than frozen. Updated details on that as we get closer.

Band of Very Heavy Rain and Wind On The Way

16. February 2016 · Comments Off on Band of Very Heavy Rain and Wind On The Way · Categories: Flash Floods, winter · Tags: , , ,
Very heavy rain and wind on the way for western New Jersey early this afternoon

Very heavy rain and wind on the way for western New Jersey early this afternoon

By now everyone in western New Jersey is experiencing the moderate to heavy rain. A very intense band of heavy rain and wind is heading for our area within the next hour or two. It’s the bright red line in the radar image above. Winds could gust to 50 mph with this line!

Good news by 3:30 pm most of the heavy rain should be past our area.

Watch for street and highway flooding and downed trees and branches this afternoon!

Heavy Rain On The Way

16. February 2016 · Comments Off on Heavy Rain On The Way · Categories: precipitation, winter · Tags: , ,
Snow outside encased in icy crust this morning in western New Jersey

Snow outside encased in icy crust this morning in western New Jersey

Anyone who does not have the pleasure of garaging their car will know real fast this morning that we had some freezing rain last evening. Allow extra time to scrape off the car and let it warm up.

Stewartsville received 1.4″ of snow before changing to sleet and freezing rain yesterday.

 

Sharp temperature rise in western New Jersey around 5 am Tuesday morning

Sharp temperature rise in western New Jersey around 5 am Tuesday morning

The temperature stayed quite cold in western New Jersey until around 5 am. Believe it or not we should top out in the mid 50’s today. Considering we were at 0 a few days ago that’s nearly a 60 degree temperature swing!

Moderate to heavy rain will be moving into western New Jersey later this morning and into the afternoon.

Moderate to heavy rain will be moving into western New Jersey later this morning and into the afternoon.

We expect to see an additional 1-2″ of rain today as all that rain on the radar above needs to pass through western New Jersey. It will remain all rain as the temperatures will be quite mild in the 50’s. Be on the lookout for localized flooding. HOpefully all the rain will melt the remaining ice on sidewalks and colder surfaces.

Winter Weather Advisory for Western New Jersey Monday

14. February 2016 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory for Western New Jersey Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: 
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-
MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...CHALFONT...
PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
312 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN BY LATE MORNING MID MORNING MONDAY AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND THEN
  CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN MONDAY EVENING. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
  FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE AN EVENTUAL CHANGEOVER TO RAIN
  BY TUESDAY MORNING.

  EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY COLD, IN THE SINGLE
  DIGITS AND TEENS IN MOST LOCATIONS. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
  INTO THE 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STEADY OR CONTINUE
  TO RISE MONDAY NIGHT.


* MAIN IMPACT...THE COMBINATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
  WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND AROUND
  0.25 INCHES OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE...POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT
HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY.

SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

&&

Zero To Snow and Rain on Monday

14. February 2016 · Comments Off on Zero To Snow and Rain on Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , , , , ,
Frigid start to Valentine's Day in western new Jersey

Frigid start to Valentine’s Day 2016 in western New Jersey

The official low temperature in Stewartsville was 0 this morning. I’m sure there were several stations further north and west in western New Jersey that were -5 to -10 this morning. Brrr!

NWS "most likely" snow forecast for Monday into Monday night before changeover to ice and rain on Tuesday

NWS “most likely” snow forecast for Monday into Monday night before changeover to ice and rain on Tuesday

We will have another cold night tonight but not as bad as last night. Winds have slacked off and will go calm this evening. For the first part of tonight, look for temperatures to fall sharply. They should start to level off as high thin clouds begin to increase as the result of our next weather maker.

Look for light snow to overspread the western New Jersey area by mid day on Monday. Snow should be light to moderate at time Monday afternoon into the evening. At this time I’m forecasting 1-3″ of snow before a change over to ice and rain. Higher numbers will be to the north and west and less to the south and east.

NWS 7 day forecast for western New Jersey

NWS 7 day forecast for western New Jersey

Believe it or not, even with all this frigid air over our area now we are talking about rain on Tuesday. A storm is expected to move up the coast Monday into Tuesday and either go over us or more likely to our West. That will put western New Jersey on the warm side of the storm. Look for snow Monday evening and overnight to first mix with sleet and freezing rain then change completely over to rain before Tuesday morning. rain on Tuesday could be heavy at times with 1-2″ of rain forecast. This could result in some street and river flooding since the ground is so frozen right now.

Looking longer range we warm up a little by the weekend and that will continue into next week but colder weather looks to return the last week of the month

 

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING

13. February 2016 · Comments Off on WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING · Categories: winter · Tags: , ,

Keep in mind we are also under a wind chill advisory. So in other words it’s going to be crazy cold today!

341 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT THIS
  MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...A POSSIBILITY OF A FEW BROKEN TREE LIMBS AND
  ASSOCIATED POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES...
  ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE
SECURED.

WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY

12. February 2016 · Comments Off on WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , ,

Last warning: It’s going to be a FRIGID weekend – especially Saturday. Bundle up!

236 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM
EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY, A LARGE
  PORTION OF MARYLAND`S EASTERN SHORE AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND
  CENTRAL PORTION OF DELAWARE.

* WIND CHILL...10 TO 18 BELOW ZERO...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20
  MPH GUSTING TO NEARLY 40 MPH.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN TO DROP TO DANGEROUS LEVELS LATE
  SATURDAY WITH THE COLDEST VALUES BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE
  SUNDAY. WIND CHILLS WILL SLOWLY EASE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WIND CHILL VALUES POTENTIALLY REACHING DANGEROUS
  LEVELS. THE VERY LOW WIND CHILLS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT
  IN HYPOTHERMIA IF CARE IS NOT TAKEN TO STAY WARM AND SHELTERED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

Major Outbreak of Arctic Air This Weekend

11. February 2016 · Comments Off on Major Outbreak of Arctic Air This Weekend · Categories: winter · Tags: , , , ,

Today is just a preview of what Saturday will be like…

202 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

…MAJOR OUTBREAK OF ARCTIC AIR THIS WEEKEND…

BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.

* TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL FALL TO
BETWEEN ZERO AND 5 ABOVE IN AND AROUND PHILADELPHIA AND AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST, ZERO TO 5 BELOW IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, AND AS LOW AS 12 BELOW IN THE POCONOS. WIND
CHILL VALUES DURING THIS TIME COULD REACH LIFE THREATENING LEVELS
AS COLD AS 15 TO 30 BELOW ZERO, WITH THE COLDEST IN THE POCONOS.

* HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE TEENS, EXCEPT
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE POCONOS.

* COLD SPELLS OF THIS MAGNITUDE BRING A RISK OF FROSTBITE AND
HYPOTHERMIA FOR ANYONE WHO DOES NOT TAKE PROPER PRECAUTIONS. IN
ADDITION, FROZEN PIPES AND OVERWORKED FURNACES COULD LEAVE YOUR
HOUSE WITHOUT HEAT OR RUNNING WATER, AND CAR BATTERIES RUN THE
RISK OF DYING. IN ADDITION, MAKE SURE YOUR HOME AND CAR HAVE
PLENTY OF FUEL.

* NEVER VENTURE OUTDOORS WITHOUT WEARING GLOVES, A HAT AND SEVERAL
LAYERS OF CLOTHING. WIND CHILL VALUES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING COULD LEAD TO FROSTBITE IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES
IF PROPER PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. CHECK ON YOUR ELDERLY
NEIGHBORS TO BE SURE THEY ARE OKAY.

* RUN WATER AT A TRICKLE AND KEEP CABINET DOORS OPEN TO PREVENT
PIPES FROM FREEZING, ESPECIALLY FOR EXPOSED PIPES AND THOSE ALONG
EXTERIOR WALLS.

* NEVER USE A STOVE OR OVEN TO HEAT YOUR HOME OR USE AN OPEN FLAME
TO MELT FROZEN PIPES. MANY HOUSE FIRES RESULT FROM THESE PRACTICES.

* CHECK TIRE PRESSURE AND YOUR CAR BATTERY. BE SURE YOUR CAR HAS A
WINTER SAFETY KIT THAT INCLUDES A BLANKET, WARM CLOTHES AND GLOVES
IN CASE YOUR CAR BREAKS DOWN OR BECOMES STRANDED.

* TAKE EXTRA STEPS TO KEEP YOUR PETS WARM AND KNOW THEIR LIMITS TO
THE COLD.

Coldest Air Of the Winter This Weekend

10. February 2016 · Comments Off on Coldest Air Of the Winter This Weekend · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

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Stewartsville received 2″ of new snow from both yesterday morning and overnight last night. Other areas in western New Jersey received about the same. More to the south and less to the north.

7day

The next weather headline is that very cold air is on the way for this weekend. We have a good chance of going to zero or below Sunday morning. Saturday will be very blustery. All this will start with the arrival of another arctic cold front Friday during the day. This may be accompanied by some snow showers or snow squalls.

Bundle up and plan accordingly!

Updated Snow Forecast For Tuesday

09. February 2016 · Comments Off on Updated Snow Forecast For Tuesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

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The latest snowfall forecast map from the NWS is included above. I’m in agreement with their forecast for western New Jersey of 1-3″ with the higher numbers to the south and less to the north. A winter weather advisory is issued by the NWS for Hunterdon county.

Light snow fell overnight in portions of western New Jersey. Stewartsville received 0.3″. An area of light snow is now moving into western New Jersey. This will last for an hour or two and provide a coating of snow on colder surfaces.

The snow today will be on an off – it will not be snowing all day. There will be some breaks. During these breaks the temperature should go into the mid 30’s which should allow for what falls to start melting.

The biggest change for today’s forecast is the periods of snow look to continue into the evening hours and could last till near midnight. This is when we might pick up the most accumulating snow from the event. Once the sun sets and the temperature drops, whatever falls then will stick.

Updates as warranted and time permits.

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