High wind watch up for southern and eastern locations
First off Happy Easter to everyone that observes! Please take some time today to make sure your home and surroundings are ready for an active weather day on Monday. There is a high wind watch for southern and eastern locations. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this expanded of for another type of wind advisory.
Wind gusts for Monday
Most areas should see wind gusts on Monday in the 45-55 mph range. There could be even higher gust in exposed elevated locations!
Rain forecast for Monday
While wind will be the primary threat, we should also receive 1-1.5″ of rain region wide with more to the north
Convective weather outlook for Monday
Along with the rain and wind, there will be some thunderstorms especially Monday afternoon. The SPC has placed western locations in a slight risk for severe storms. While the primary threat will be wind and heavy rain, there could also be some hail and weak tornadoes.
I will try and keep everyone updated tomorrow. Never the less, keep an eye to the sky and make sure your weather radio has batteries and working! Keep you cell phone charged too!
Most areas had wind gust in the upper 30’s or low 40’s yesterday. Stewartsville recorded a gust to 40 mph.
The winds will let up a little today but it will still be breezy. The winds combined with relatively dry conditions will continue our Red Flag warning for today. Please do not light any fires today. The swirling winds can easily make them get out of control.
Regarding the freeze warning early this morning, Stewartsville only dropped to 35 but as you can see in the map above many northern sections went into the upper 20’s.
Saturday high temperatures
Tonight shouldn’t be nearly as cold as last night but still chilly. Saturday’s high temperatures will continue about 5 degrees below normal but warmer than yesterdays.
Easter Sunday high temperature forecast
Easter Sunday is the pick of the weekend. Not only should the winds be lighter, but we will have warmer temperatures into the mid and perhaps upper 60’s. The only downside, besides not able to physically go to church, is there will be more clouds than sun. This is in response to our next weather maker which will give us a pretty good soaking Sunday night into most of Monday.
Rain forecast for Monday
Most areas late Sunday night into Monday should pick up 1-1.5″ of new rain. Luckily as most trees and vegetation is tarting to come to life, most of this should be absorbed into the ground with minimal flood threat.
Minimal severe weather threat for Sunday into Monday
As the warmer air arrives along with the precipitation, there is a chance for or rumble or two of thunder Sunday night into Monday. As you can see in the map above this will be more pronounced further to our south and west.
Looking ahead to next week and beyond, unfortunately our cool weather looks to prevail. There may be a day or two or near to above normal temperatures as weather systems move into and through our area. But overall April’s second half is trending cooler. This is unfortunate as everyone wants to get outside to avoid cabin fever.
Most of the fog has already burned off this morning. There might even be a few brightening of the skies this afternoon as we have another above normal temperature with highs in the low 50’s.
Rain will return overnight and amount to 1/2 to locally 3/4″ of additional rain. This is on top of what fell in the last 24 hours. In Stewartsville as of 7 am we received 0.18″
The change in weather could be so abrupt that it might even spark a thunderstorm or two in spots So don’t be surprised if you hear a rumble of thunder overnight.
Then the windy weather and falling temperatures arrive. I would not be surprised to see a wind advisory for our area as one has already been issued for central PA.
High temperatures will fall on Thursday into the upper 30’s. Those temperatures will persist right through the upcoming weekend. The wind should start to back off on Sunday. This weekend will feel nothing like last weekend!
Hopefully, everyone got a chance to get outside and enjoy our spring preview weather the past couple of days. I for one got outside and rode my bicycle for the first time this year.
Even though today will be cooler, it will still be above normal temperature-wise. Look for occasional rain today which should be less than 1/4″ total.
The rain will let up on Wednesday during the day but skies should remain cloudy and conditions will be damp. A second system will approach our area Wednesday overnight that will give us ore substantial rain. This will be the next step down in temperatures to several days of below normal temperatures
Strong gusty winds will accompany the colder temperatures Wednesday night into Thursday. Look for the potential of some scattered power outages along with tree damage.
Look for colder than normal temperatures with high temperatures in the 30’s for late week into the weekend. Or normal high temperatures now are in the low 40’s so we will end our warm month on a cooler note.
Not a fan of the colder windy weather? Don’t worry like most of this past winter it won’t last for more than a few days. Extended weather forecasts have us warming up quite nicely by the middle of next week!
Will there be any more snow this winter? Let’s just say nothing significant in the next 2 weeks. the graphic above shows the probabilities of receiving 3″ or more of snow now through March 11th. Ironically there could be some snow flurries or snow showers Thursday and Friday with the delivery of the colder temperatures but they shouldn’t amount to much in our area.
Hopefully, everyone is enjoying President’s Day and a shortened work/school week. Today will wind up being the pick of the week with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper 40’s with light winds.
Tuesday will feature clouds and periods of light rain. Right now it doesn’t look like too much rain which is a welcome relief for our area the way things have been going lately.
After the rain, we get another cold snap Thursday into Friday but it will not be as cold as the last one. Look for morning temperatures in the teen Friday morning and low 20’s Thursday and Saturday.
The cold air retreats as quickly as it has all winter and we look to have a pleasant upcoming weekend with high temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s.
Early March temperature outlook
Looking long-range some cold air may try and sneak back into the northeast the first week of March. The big questions now are where and how cold. Right now it looks to remain to the north of us and not be terribly cold. This may be Winter’s last gasp – we’ll see…
Back to work means back to clouds and damp weather. There will be several rounds of rain this week. temperatures will start off above normal but the week will finish off with very cold temperatures – especially compared to what everyone is used to.
Wednesday evening’s precipitation could start off as a little light snow or sleet in northern sections that are normally colder but will change over to rain in all locations.
Saturday morning low-temperature forecast
Friday and Saturday our high temperature will struggle to get to the freezing mark and Saturday morning lows will be in the low teens with some single digits possible in normally colder locations. Certainly, this is noting uncommon in a typical winter but for us this year this will feel like Winter.
8-14 day temperature outlook
If you don’t enjoy the late week cold, don’t worry you won’t have to put up with it too long. The 8-14 day temperature outlook goes above normal for us taking us nearly to the end of the month. Longer-term outlooks continue the above normal temperature trend. Could the groundhog be right for once?
We’ll squeeze out one more semi-pleasant day today with high temperatures near 50. There will be increasing clouds but still a nice day by late January standards. Look for rain to arrive before sunrise tomorrow. Some areas to the far north could see a little freezing rain at the beginning of the rain. As a result, a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for northern counties.
This shouldn’t be that bad and confined mostly to higher elevations and the Poconos. We’ll warm up tomorrow and all areas will change to rain.
Speaking of rain we’ll be getting a good dose of it tomorrow. Look for 1-1.5″ of rain for the entire western New Jersey area.
We should start to dry out later in the day on Saturday. On Sunday the winds will pick up as the storm departs but we could see some scattered rain or snow showers.
Looking at the week ahead our above normal temperature pattern continues with high temperatures near or just above 40. No important precipitation threats until, wait for it, the following weekend.
Another chilly night in western New Jersey area. Despite plenty of sunshine, today’s temperatures will only be a couple of degrees higher than Monday. Winds will continue on the light side which will help a little.
When we’ve had cold weather outbreaks, Florida so far this winter has been missing most of the action. Well, not this time. So hopefully you nor anyone you know is vacationing down there this week. the OJ will be extra chilly the next couple of mornings!
Temperatures will warm up to the 40’s on Thursday and Friday. Out next weather maker will be Saturday. As it looks now it will be more wet than white.
After early morning lows in the upper teens and low 20’s, we should see plenty of sunshine today. Despite the sun, we will struggle to get near the freezing mark today and tomorrow. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings will be chilly with lows in the teens.
The second half of the week will feature warming temperatures with highs in the 40’s.
Our next storm system will arrive just in time for the upcoming weekend. With the late week warmth, you would think it will be more wet than white. That’s my initial thought as well but overnight computer models are suggesting this needs to be watched. We could once again be near a critical rain/snow line. The next system will be different from the past one in that a coastal storm looks to form and provide us with much more precipitation. Something to keep an eye on as the week progresses.
The headline above is our upcoming weather pattern. Today will be another yucky cloudy day. Unlike yesterday we should see a few showers from time to time. Nothing too much but showers none the less.
Tomorrow, Wednesday is the day to take advantage of. We should have mostly sunny skies in western New Jersey area with temperatures getting into the 50’s. Get outside and do what you can if possible. Sure it’s no 60’s that we saw over the weekend but this will be the last time we see warmth like this for a while.
Late Wednesday night a strong cold front will move through our area and that will give us windy weather on Thursday with falling temperatures. Friday will be our prepare day for the weekend storm which is still on track. While I’m still seeing this as a moderate only storm, don’t leave your grocery shopping until Friday unless you like to witness people grabbing french toast supplies haphazardously in the supermarket.
The arrival of the snow appears to be Saturday morning at this point. Friday night looks ok for now. Expect to see the snow arrive by mid-morning.
I’ll post more about potential accumulation from this storm in the days ahead. Based on the graphic above it still has the potential of 3-6″ with more to the north and west.
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