26. January 2015 · Comments Off on Snowstorm Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

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I wanted to post one more update before retiring for the evening. So far western new jersey has picked up about 3” of snow. Currently it is not snowing that much in western new jersey. All of the heavy snow is east of us in NYC and Long Island. BUT it is heading this way!

The storm is having a hard time getting the snow to move west. So we may be looking at the lower end of my original forecast of 6-12” The updated NWS graphic above is closer to reality. Since we already have 3” on the ground would only need another 3” to meet the minimum range.

We have always said the heaviest part of this storm would be overnight. I have remembered several storms where it didn’t “look good” before I went to be but then woke up in the morning to witness all the snow. Not saying that will be the case this time but not willing to lower my totals at this time.

26. January 2015 · Comments Off on Winter Storm Monday into Tuesday · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , ,

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I’m back from my trip, somewhat well-rested and have looked at some weather data. I like the map above from the National Weather Service (NWS). For western new jersey these are my thought: 6-12”of snow from west to east. A little further to the east will be 12-18”. Further to the east, extreme northeastern NJ into NYC and Long Island into new england, 18”+

This will be a cold storm with gusty winds. In fact Long Island will see some near hurricane wind gusts during the storm, hence blizzard warnings.

For western New Jersey we are under a Winter Storm Warning. Look for occasional snow today of various intensities throughout the day. The snow should become heavier and steadier as the day wears on. The worse of it should be tonight and overnight.

I’ll have other updates throughout the day as new information becomes available and time permits

25. January 2015 · Comments Off on Quick Sunday Night Storm Update · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , ,

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Folks sorry for the late post. As I mentioned in my last post I was away for the past several days on business. I’ve been up since 7am and drove from Cincinnati, OH most of the day in rain and snow and just got home before.

After looking at some data BRIEFLY, my forecast at this point for western new jersey is for less snow that you’ve probably been hearing: 6-12” of snow. This is even less that the NWS map above. What less? My gut is telling me this will be a bog storm but the heaviest precipitation will be to our east. Eastern NJ, NYC and Long Island and north east will get 1-2 FEET of snow from this easy.

I will take a look at more data in the morning and of course have an update.

I also want to point out this storm will have two phases. Overnight lighter snow will move in and give us a coating to an inch or two. It will snow on Monday light for most of the day on and off. Then as the coastal storm strengthens, the snow will increase in intensity and the winds will pick up later in the day. The worse of the storm will be Monday night into Tuesday morning.

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