Update on Tuesday Snow

25. January 2021 · Comments Off on Update on Tuesday Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: , ,

Less Snow and More Ice

Updates in the past 24 hours reveal that Tuesday’s system will result in less snow for our area and more mix of sleet and even freezing rain at times.

Timing: Look for light snow to arrive early Tuesday morning. Some areas may not even see anything yet by sunrise Tuesday. Light snow will gradually overspread the area but then start mixing with sleet and freezing rain by lunchtime. This will happen first in southern locations but eventually spread north.

I’m revising my snow forecast to coating to 2″. The 2″ will be in northern locations.

We can also expect a coating of sleet and freezing rain from this system. The map above show how much ice accumulation we can expect.

Looking longer range, snow weather fans will be disappointed. The storm for Thursday appears to stay mostly to our south. The next system for Sunday into Monday may be another snow to mix or rain situation. More details on that as we get closer. For now keep the snow blower covered up…

Tuesday Morning Storm Update

12. February 2019 · Comments Off on Tuesday Morning Storm Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
Radar shows sleet approaching from the S and W

Overnight Stewartsville received a coating of snow – about 0.2″ More snow was anticipated on the front end. Further to the west in PA about 1″ of snow has fallen.

Warmer air is already making its move towards our area. Sleet is falling in many locations in PA to our S and W. The bright colored line on the radar image above show where the sleet line is. While it’s possible we may switch back to snow for a bit once the sleet start, I believe any additional snow accumulation should be minimal to a coating to 2″

Now the next threat is how long do we have sleet and/or freezing rain before we go above freezing. I would anticipate several hours of these conditions. In fact it could last most of the daylight day. The southern and eastern locations should be the first to go above freezing and then slowly creep north.

More Sleet and Freezing Rain Than Snow

08. January 2018 · Comments Off on More Sleet and Freezing Rain Than Snow · Categories: winter · Tags: ,

Sleet and freezing rain on the radar

Sleet and freezing rain on the radar

Even though its been so cold for the last 2 weeks, warmer air has worked into the air above the ground changing the snow to sleet and freezing rain as seen in the pink on the above radar.

So prepare yourself for more mixed precipitation than snow this afternoon

Tuesday Morning Blizzard Update

14. March 2017 · Comments Off on Tuesday Morning Blizzard Update · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

Heavy snow in Stewartsville, NJ

Heavy snow in Stewartsville, NJ

The Blizzard warning continues for all of western New Jersey. The powerful storm has formed and is impacting the area. Stewartsville has received 7.8″ of snow as of 10 am this morning. There has been more snow to our north and west.

The storm has formed further west than originally thought. This has allowed the upper atmosphere to be warmer than originally thought. This has resulted in sleet from time to time. Those areas that received a lot of sleet will see lower snow totals. All areas will change back to snow as the storm pulls away.

There has been several reports of thundersnow/sleet in NYC! This gives you an example of how powerful this storm is.

The areas in the blue hatch are where the heaviest snow will form from this storm going forward. Note this is further north and west as southern and eastern areas are getting sleet.

Winds will continue to be a factor.

The snow totals forecast has been adjusted due to all the sleet. Southern and eastern areas of western New Jersey will receive 8-12″ while further north will receive 12-24″ – higher totals in areas that do NOT change/mix with sleet

Arctic Cold Leaving But Not Without Issues

09. January 2017 · Comments Off on Arctic Cold Leaving But Not Without Issues · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: , , , ,

Brrr! Most locations in western New Jersey woke up to single digit temperatures. Some areas further to the north were below zero! Certainly nothing unexpected for January weather but still cold none the less.

Today will remain cold but at least there will not be as much wind as yesterday making it feel a little more comfortable.

Our next weather system will be moving to our north and west. This will put us on the eventual warm side of the storm. Eventual is the key word. There is a good amount of cold air and snow covered ground over western New Jersey right now. It will take a while for it to all be pushed out by warmer winds. This will result in Tuesday, main in the afternoon, of another snow to sleet to freezing rain day before it eventually turns to rain. Before that changeover I’m forecasting a coating to 1″ followed by some ice on untreated surfaces. To make matters worse this should still be happening by the afternoon rush.

This will be relatively light precipitation but it doesn’t take much to make things slippery. The only good news is there is a tremendous amount of salt on area roads so hopefully they will not be too bad.

Frozen Precipitation To Taper Off By Mid Day

17. December 2016 · Comments Off on Frozen Precipitation To Taper Off By Mid Day · Categories: snow, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,
NWS forecast for ice

Snow covered streets in Stewartsville

Snow covered streets in Stewartsville

The snow has already changed over to sleet in most sections of southern western new jersey. Look for all areas to go to sleet and then even freezing rain before ending by mid day.

Stewartsville received 0.8″ of new snow/sleet so far.

NWS forecast for ice

NWS forecast for ice

Untreated roads will be icy this morning so please slow down and take your time until the temperature warms up and the roads and walkways improve

Zero To Snow and Rain on Monday

14. February 2016 · Comments Off on Zero To Snow and Rain on Monday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , , , , ,

Frigid start to Valentine's Day in western new Jersey

Frigid start to Valentine’s Day 2016 in western New Jersey

The official low temperature in Stewartsville was 0 this morning. I’m sure there were several stations further north and west in western New Jersey that were -5 to -10 this morning. Brrr!

NWS "most likely" snow forecast for Monday into Monday night before changeover to ice and rain on Tuesday

NWS “most likely” snow forecast for Monday into Monday night before changeover to ice and rain on Tuesday

We will have another cold night tonight but not as bad as last night. Winds have slacked off and will go calm this evening. For the first part of tonight, look for temperatures to fall sharply. They should start to level off as high thin clouds begin to increase as the result of our next weather maker.

Look for light snow to overspread the western New Jersey area by mid day on Monday. Snow should be light to moderate at time Monday afternoon into the evening. At this time I’m forecasting 1-3″ of snow before a change over to ice and rain. Higher numbers will be to the north and west and less to the south and east.

NWS 7 day forecast for western New Jersey

NWS 7 day forecast for western New Jersey

Believe it or not, even with all this frigid air over our area now we are talking about rain on Tuesday. A storm is expected to move up the coast Monday into Tuesday and either go over us or more likely to our West. That will put western New Jersey on the warm side of the storm. Look for snow Monday evening and overnight to first mix with sleet and freezing rain then change completely over to rain before Tuesday morning. rain on Tuesday could be heavy at times with 1-2″ of rain forecast. This could result in some street and river flooding since the ground is so frozen right now.

Looking longer range we warm up a little by the weekend and that will continue into next week but colder weather looks to return the last week of the month

 

Sleet Summary

29. December 2015 · Comments Off on Sleet Summary · Categories: winter · Tags: , ,

20151229_082025

Many a backyard deck in western New Jersey probably looked like this early this morning. Sleet from last evening and overnight did accumulate on some colder surfaces. In extreme northern New Jersey there was some snow mixed in as well. Wantage reported 1.0″ and Rockaway reported 1/2″

Here are some additional reports:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
542 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 7
HOURS FOR THE WEATHER SYSTEM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION.
APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS
AND THE GENERAL PUBLIC FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO
AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/PHI

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW JERSEY

...MORRIS COUNTY...
   MARCELLA               0.3  1210 AM 12/29  TRAINED SPOTTER
   GREEN POND             0.3  1130 PM 12/28  SLEET AND SNOW.

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
   WANTAGE                1.2   515 AM 12/29  SNOW AND SLEET.
   4 SW WANTAGE           0.6   450 AM 12/29  SNOW AND SLEET.

PENNSYLVANIA

...CARBON COUNTY...
   LEHIGHTON              1.1   535 AM 12/29  SNOW AND SLEET.

Temperatures are now above freezing in most of western New Jersey. rain will finish by mid day.

And here are some more. Stewartsville received 1/10″ of sleet:

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 11
hours for the weather system that has been affecting our region.
Appreciation is extended to Highway departments...cooperative
observers...Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This
summary is also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/phi

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location          storm total     time/date   comments                   
                     snowfall           of 
                     /inches/   measurement

New Jersey

...Burlington County...
   Burlington               T   245 PM 12/28  rain and sleet mix      

...Hunterdon County...
   Tewksbury TWP          0.9   726 am 12/29  1000 foot elevation     
   2 ENE Clinton          0.1   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   Flemington               T   356 PM 12/28  rain and sleet mix      

...Mercer County...
   Princeton                T   320 PM 12/28  rain and sleet mix      

...Middlesex County...
   Monroe TWP               T   319 PM 12/28  rain and sleet mix      

...Morris County...
   1 W Randolph TWP       0.5   713 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   NNW Rockaway           0.4   800 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   2 SW Randolph TWP      0.4   800 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   Green Pond             0.3  1130 PM 12/28  sleet and snow.         
   Marcella               0.3  1210 am 12/29  trained spotter         

...Somerset County...
   1 NNW Bernards TWP     0.2   730 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   1 ENE Bernards TWP     0.1   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                

...Sussex County...
   Wantage                1.2   515 am 12/29  snow and sleet.         
   2 SW Wantage TWP       0.8   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   3 WNW Montague TWP     0.8   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   4 SW Wantage           0.6   450 am 12/29  snow and sleet.         
   3 se Hardyston TWP     0.5   800 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   2 se Wantage TWP       0.5   610 am 12/29  cocorahs                

...Warren County...
   Delaware               0.5   800 am 12/29  social media            
   1 W Hackettstown       0.1   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                

Pennsylvania

...Berks County...
   Wyomissing               T   105 PM 12/28  social media            

...Bucks County...
   Doylestown               T   249 PM 12/28  rain and sleet mix      

...Carbon County...
   Lehighton              1.1   535 am 12/29  snow and sleet.         

...Lehigh County...
   Lehigh Valley Intl a     T   100 am 12/29  ASOS                    
   Heidelberg TWP           T   300 PM 12/28  rain and sleet mix      
   Vera Cruz                T   321 PM 12/28  trained spotter         

...Monroe County...
   5 W Stroudsburg        0.8   800 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   Mount Pocono           0.8   807 am 12/29  trained spotter         
   Canadensis             0.8   910 am 12/29  snow and sleet          
   Pocono Summit          0.6   910 am 12/29  snow and sleet          
   7 NE east stroudsbur   0.5   900 am 12/29  cocorahs                

...Northampton County...
   Bangor                 0.6   910 am 12/29  sleet                   
   Martins Creek          0.3   910 am 12/29  sleet                   
   E Martins Creek        0.2   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                

...Philadelphia County...
   Philadelphia             T   214 PM 12/28  rain and sleet mix      


***********************storm total ice***********************

Location          storm total     time/date   comments                   
                          ice           of 
                     /inches/   measurement

New Jersey

...Morris County...
   2 ESE Denville TWP    0.01   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                

...Sussex County...
   Sussex Airport        0.05   800 am 12/29  kfwn ASOS               
   2 SW Wantage TWP         T   700 am 12/29  cocorahs                
   High Point               T   705 PM 12/28  trained spotter         

Pennsylvania

...Monroe County...
   Pocono Mountains air  0.13   753 am 12/29  ASOS                    
   5 W Stroudsburg          T   800 am 12/29  cocorahs

Wintry weather overnight

28. December 2015 · Comments Off on Wintry weather overnight · Categories: winter · Tags: , , , ,

StormTotalSnowWeb1

The National Weather Service (NWS) has continued their winter weather advisory for tonight into early Tuesday morning. I’m expecting precipitation to break out over western New Jersey this evening from 7 pm – 10 pm. It could start out as a cold rain in some areas. Then the rain will cool the atmosphere a little more and the rain should mix if and possibly change to sleet for a few hours. Further to the north and west (near and north of I-80), especially in elevated areas, there could be some wet snow mixed in as well.

Warmer air will eventually take over and we should see all rain by the Tuesday morning commute. The changeover will take a bit longer further to the north and west. Given how warm the ground has been recently I expect little of any accumulation. At most there could be a little slush on colder surfaces like cars.

The most important thing to keep an eye on tonight is the air temperature. As long as we remain above freezing the roads and walkways should be fine. Bit some areas further to the north and west, as well as sheltered valleys, may have pockets of colder temperatures. In these areas we might see a little bit of freezing rain after the switch-over until the warmer temperatures make it to those areas as well.

I’ll have additional updates as warranted.

Winter Weather Advisory for Monday evening

27. December 2015 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory for Monday evening · Categories: winter · Tags: , ,

The NWS has issued a Winter Weather advisory for Monday evening for western New Jersey (northers and western sections – currently does not include Hunterdon). I’ll post my thoughts on this tomorrow morning.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
323 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015


NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-280945-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0023.151229T0000Z-151229T1200Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...ALLENTOWN...
BETHLEHEM...EASTON
323 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE LEHIGH VALLEY INTO NORTHWEST NEW
  JERSEY NEAR INTERSTATE 80.

* HAZARD TYPES...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1
  INCH...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION BEGINS SOMETIME BETWEEN 7 PM AND
  11 PM MONDAY AND MAY BRIEFLY CHANGE TO ALL SNOW OR SLEET AROUND
  MIDNIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN AND THEN RAIN BETWEEN
  5 AM AND 7 AM TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES FOR A TIME
  MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE RISING ABOVE FREEZING AROUND DAYBREAK
  TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

&&
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