Regardless of what happens this weekend with the storm potential it does look to turn colder than normal before the end of the month. This looks to continue into February.
SO keep your cold weather gear and clothing handy 😉 It is January after all.
Happy New Year
Hope everyone had a safe and Happy New Year! The morning low temperature in Stewartsville was 2.9 degrees. It was 7 at midnight for anyone festive enough to venture outside!
NWS Snow forecast for Thursday
As we return to our regular schedules after the holiday break, besides dealing with the continued cold this week we need to keep our attention on the potential for some snow late Wednesday into Thursday. Right now the majority of the storm looks to stay off shore to our east. But some computer models have western New Jersey brushed with a little bit of snow. You can see the current National Weather Service (NWS) thinking on the storm of which I agree with.
Going forward we need to keep an eye on the computer models and look for any westward trends.
7 Day Forecast
Then even colder air arrives late week. Look at that high temperature forecast for Friday! Brrrrr! There looks to be a little light at the end of the proverbial tunnel. Not only is the amount of daylight we are receiving each day increasing slowly, our current 8-14 day outlook has normal temperatures returning to our area. Of course if we had high temperatures in the upper 30’s today with no wind everyone would be outside with tee-shirts on!
Brrr! Most locations in western New Jersey woke up to single digit temperatures. Some areas further to the north were below zero! Certainly nothing unexpected for January weather but still cold none the less.
Today will remain cold but at least there will not be as much wind as yesterday making it feel a little more comfortable.
Our next weather system will be moving to our north and west. This will put us on the eventual warm side of the storm. Eventual is the key word. There is a good amount of cold air and snow covered ground over western New Jersey right now. It will take a while for it to all be pushed out by warmer winds. This will result in Tuesday, main in the afternoon, of another snow to sleet to freezing rain day before it eventually turns to rain. Before that changeover I’m forecasting a coating to 1″ followed by some ice on untreated surfaces. To make matters worse this should still be happening by the afternoon rush.
This will be relatively light precipitation but it doesn’t take much to make things slippery. The only good news is there is a tremendous amount of salt on area roads so hopefully they will not be too bad.
Keep in mind we are also under a wind chill advisory. So in other words it’s going to be crazy cold today!
341 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...A POSSIBILITY OF A FEW BROKEN TREE LIMBS AND ASSOCIATED POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.
Last warning: It’s going to be a FRIGID weekend – especially Saturday. Bundle up!
236 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY, A LARGE PORTION OF MARYLAND`S EASTERN SHORE AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND CENTRAL PORTION OF DELAWARE. * WIND CHILL...10 TO 18 BELOW ZERO...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO NEARLY 40 MPH. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN TO DROP TO DANGEROUS LEVELS LATE SATURDAY WITH THE COLDEST VALUES BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE SUNDAY. WIND CHILLS WILL SLOWLY EASE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILL VALUES POTENTIALLY REACHING DANGEROUS LEVELS. THE VERY LOW WIND CHILLS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN HYPOTHERMIA IF CARE IS NOT TAKEN TO STAY WARM AND SHELTERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.
Today is just a preview of what Saturday will be like…
202 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016
…MAJOR OUTBREAK OF ARCTIC AIR THIS WEEKEND…
BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.
* TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL FALL TO
BETWEEN ZERO AND 5 ABOVE IN AND AROUND PHILADELPHIA AND AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST, ZERO TO 5 BELOW IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, AND AS LOW AS 12 BELOW IN THE POCONOS. WIND
CHILL VALUES DURING THIS TIME COULD REACH LIFE THREATENING LEVELS
AS COLD AS 15 TO 30 BELOW ZERO, WITH THE COLDEST IN THE POCONOS.
* HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE TEENS, EXCEPT
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE POCONOS.
* COLD SPELLS OF THIS MAGNITUDE BRING A RISK OF FROSTBITE AND
HYPOTHERMIA FOR ANYONE WHO DOES NOT TAKE PROPER PRECAUTIONS. IN
ADDITION, FROZEN PIPES AND OVERWORKED FURNACES COULD LEAVE YOUR
HOUSE WITHOUT HEAT OR RUNNING WATER, AND CAR BATTERIES RUN THE
RISK OF DYING. IN ADDITION, MAKE SURE YOUR HOME AND CAR HAVE
PLENTY OF FUEL.
* NEVER VENTURE OUTDOORS WITHOUT WEARING GLOVES, A HAT AND SEVERAL
LAYERS OF CLOTHING. WIND CHILL VALUES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING COULD LEAD TO FROSTBITE IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES
IF PROPER PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. CHECK ON YOUR ELDERLY
NEIGHBORS TO BE SURE THEY ARE OKAY.
* RUN WATER AT A TRICKLE AND KEEP CABINET DOORS OPEN TO PREVENT
PIPES FROM FREEZING, ESPECIALLY FOR EXPOSED PIPES AND THOSE ALONG
EXTERIOR WALLS.
* NEVER USE A STOVE OR OVEN TO HEAT YOUR HOME OR USE AN OPEN FLAME
TO MELT FROZEN PIPES. MANY HOUSE FIRES RESULT FROM THESE PRACTICES.
* CHECK TIRE PRESSURE AND YOUR CAR BATTERY. BE SURE YOUR CAR HAS A
WINTER SAFETY KIT THAT INCLUDES A BLANKET, WARM CLOTHES AND GLOVES
IN CASE YOUR CAR BREAKS DOWN OR BECOMES STRANDED.
* TAKE EXTRA STEPS TO KEEP YOUR PETS WARM AND KNOW THEIR LIMITS TO
THE COLD.
Wanted to share the above weather graph from my home weather station in Stewartsville, NJ. Notice the impressive and steady temperature drop from early afternoon which is constant to right now! You can clearly see from the temperature (top) and the pressure (bottom) when the cold front came through. Of course many people in western New Jersey could also see and hear when the cold front came through yesterday! Not only were there impressive clouds and heavy rain squalls but thunder and lightning in some spots too! Quite impressive for January!
A reinforcement of cold air is going to arrive on Tuesday courtesy of a fast moving storm system called a “clipper.” We will see flurries and even some snow showers in western New Jersey tomorrow into tomorrow night. It’s not out of the question that some locations could receive a dusting of snow by Wednesday morning. This is more likely to the north and west but could happen anywhere!
There will be a slight warm up by end of week followed by another storm late weekend into next week then more cold air.
Rainy Sunday morning across western New Jersey this Sunday morning. Good news is it’s warm outside and the steady rain is already over. But there will be showers on and off for the next several hours. Most areas have received about 1″ of rain – some areas more. Stewartsville so far received 0.89″ of rain.
Colder air arrives for the work week as has been advertised before. Daytime highs will be in the 30’s. A fast moving clipper system will visit western New Jersey Tuesday afternoon and evening that will not only usher in another arctic cold front but some light snow. Look for a possible dusting in some areas. More on that as we get closer.
As we look long range there could be a slight warm up by end of next week but a storm is possible around next weekend and even another one after that. Remember: it’s is mid January!
Another cold night in western New Jersey. The cold temperatures were the result of clear skies and calm winds overnight that allowed temperatures to drop near the dew point in spots. With plenty of sunshine today we should have afternoon high temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s.
After that the milder trend continues into the weekend. We should see high temperatures in the low 40’s on Thursday and Friday. There looks to be two chances of rain into the weekend. The first will be late Friday night into Saturday morning. Then again late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Due to the warmer weather this will be rain in our area.
Looking ahead colder weather looks to return next week. This should not be a surprise since it’s January!
Baby it’s cold outside! Map above courtesy of NJweather.org. Tuesday morning low temperatures in western New Jersey are in the single digits. Today will feature plenty of sunshine *and* a little less wind. That should make it slightly more bearable but it will still be cold. A little more relief comes Wednesday.
Thursday is even warmer and back to above normal with high in the 40’s into the weekend.
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