The threat of potential severe weather for our area has been increased from slight to enhanced. I still expect the greatest primary threat to be wind followed by rain. An isolated tornado is not out of the question.
I will be busy this evening with my photography business. I urge everyone to pay attention to the weather and monitor alerts that automatically appear on my weather site!
With all the extra sunshine today, the SPC is considering issuing a severe thunderstorm watch.
The Storms Prediction Center has upgraded our entire area to a slight risk of severe weather later today. Previously the greatest threat of severe weather looked to be in PA.
Even though the dynamics of possible severe weather has increased, it could be a lot worse. The line looks to weaken as it moves east later this afternoon and be a broken line instead of a solid line.
We shouldn’t receive more than a 1/10″ of rain overall today unless you find yourself under one of the heavier cells.
The greatest threat will be from strong gusty winds
An active weather day is on the way for Monday courtesy of the very mild weather we are experiencing. All the warm weather is going to lead to the potential for some severe weather as a cold front approaches the area this evening. The biggest threat will be strong gusty winds.
A line of showers with a few embedded thunderstorms is expected to cross the area late this afternoon into this evening.
Speaking of strong winds, a wind advisory will be in effect this afternoon into this evening. Look for windy SW winds this afternoon that could gust up to 50 mph. When the front goes through this evening, winds will shift into the NW and continue to gust to 50 mph. Look for even high wind gusts if you receive a strong storm!
March is known for its winds and wild temperature swings. Much cooler and more seasonable weather will return starting Tuesday. We could even see some wet snow flakes on Wednesday!
Spring fans remember that this weekend is when we Spring forward our clocks.
The Storms Prediction Center (SPC) has increased the risk for severe weather this afternoon. The threat is greater the further south you go. Note the rare enhanced risk is not that far away.
Look for stormy weather to begin arriving as early as 4-5 pm.
These storms will allow much dryer and pleasant weather to arrive for tomorrow through our upcoming holiday weekend!
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed our entire area in a slight risk for severe weather on Tuesday. Furthermore, southern location and to the south are under an enhanced risk. There are very few times in a year where a portion of our area is in an enhanced risk.
The best time for the storm tomorrow will be the afternoon. It will be another hot and humid day with high temperatures in the upper 80’s
The possible severe weather is a result of a strong cool front that will be moving through. Wednesday looks to be a cooler and less humid day.
Humidity looks to return on Thursday so enjoy it while it lasts!
The low humidity break continued again on Thursday and was beautiful!
Tomorrow, Friday will give us one more day before a return to heat AND humidity starting on Saturday
ALong with the heat and humidity will be the potential threat for some severe weather. Right now the SPC has our entire area in a slight risk for Saturday. We need to keep an eye on this. It’s rare that this far out the SPC places our area in a risk. There’s the potential we might get upgraded to enhanced.
On Saturday, there look to be two periods or rain. the first will be in the morning as the warm front approaches. Then we should see a break and the sun should return with the humidity. Then a chance of showers and thundershowers later in the day and evening perhaps into the overnight.
It’s not too often that our entire area is placed in an enhanced risk for severe weather.
Enhanced is a 3 on a scal of 0 to 5.
Right now it looks like the timeframe is midday on.
I would expect the NWS to issue a severe thunderstorm watch for this afternoon.
Right now the greatest threat appears to be strong gusty winds, heavy rain and hail. You can never rule out a brief tornado spin up in these situation but that appears to be a low risk.
You can see the area of concern is now in western PA and moving in our direction
right now it appears there could be two or more timeframes to watch. The first will be right around midday. The second will be later in the afternoon and early evening.
With all the dynamic weather going on today not surprised to see a tornado watch just issued for our entire area until 6 pm. I think the most active time frame for most areas is 1-3 pm.
It’s important to understand the difference between a watch and a warning. A watch means the potential is there but a warning indicates it is going on somewhere and the threat is imminent.
The SPC has expanded the slight risk area for severe weather for our entire area. The best time for thunderstorms will be early afternoon.
Wind threat will be the entire day with peaks in the thunderstorms.
So far Stewartsville has recorded a peak wind gust of 34 and 1.08″ of rain as of 9 am
Radar shows most of the area soaked. But notice how the rain is moving SW to NE. And there is also a break down by Delaware. This should reach our area soon and result in a slight break in the rain. But don’t worry – there’s more where that cam from
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