28. December 2017 · Comments Off on Bitter Cold Weather Remains; Light Snow For Saturday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:
NWS snow forecast for Saturday

NWS snow forecast for Saturday

This cold weather period has been quite impressive. Most areas of western New Jersey did not get out of the teens for high temperatures today! Furthermore the New Year Eve weather looks to be the coldest since the 1960’s!

The cold weather looks to remain at least for another week. The only positive note is there will be times when it won’t be as windy which should make it *feel* warmer at least. Tomorrow, Friday is one of those less windy days.

Saturday doesn’t look too wind either. But we should have some periods of light snow to deal with. The system doesn’t look that impressive for western New Jersey. At this time I’m thinking coating to 1-2″ max. If it wasn’t so cold I would forecast less but since it is so cold the snow will be light and fluffy.

Then back into the windy freezer on Sunday and Monday. Some of the long range computer models are hinting at a possible coastal snow storm by the middle of next week. I’m not biting yet since several days ago they showed this Saturday’s storm for us being significant of which it won’t be – for us.

Stay warm!

14. December 2016 · Comments Off on Polar Plunge Pending · Categories: winter · Tags:

Coldest air of the season to arrive tonight

The cold front ushering in very cold air will pass through western New Jersey later today and tonight. You will notice winds picking up a bit and will remain brisk into Friday morning. Expect wind chills near 0 most of Thursday into Friday morning. Winds should hopefully calm down a bit on Friday as the center of the cold dome of high pressure move near us.

We will see an increase in clouds on Friday with snow arriving late at night or early Saturday morning. Early indications look for this to be a snow to mix to rain storm similar to the ones we’ve seen already this early winter. The exception will be we have the potential for several inches of snow before the changeover. Much warmer air will arrive later Saturday and Sunday could be near 50!

More on the snow tomorrow.

10. February 2016 · Comments Off on Coldest Air Of the Winter This Weekend · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

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Stewartsville received 2″ of new snow from both yesterday morning and overnight last night. Other areas in western New Jersey received about the same. More to the south and less to the north.

7day

The next weather headline is that very cold air is on the way for this weekend. We have a good chance of going to zero or below Sunday morning. Saturday will be very blustery. All this will start with the arrival of another arctic cold front Friday during the day. This may be accompanied by some snow showers or snow squalls.

Bundle up and plan accordingly!

18. January 2016 · Comments Off on Cold Air Returns · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,

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The light snow that fell yesterday afternoon certainly over performed in western New Jersey. Stewartsville received about 1/4.” additional reading from other areas are listed below.

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Cold weather continues today and tomorrow. It will remain at or below normal most of the week. Then our attention turns to a storm potential for Friday into Saturday. Computer weather models have been consistent in showing this storm for Friday into Saturday. The overnight models continue to show this potential. right now the storm is north of Hawaii so it still has to travel a long way. If the storm reaches its potential in our area we could receive a heavy snow. There’s a chance it could move further away and we receive only a little or it could move closer to us and we go from snow to rain. I will continue to monitor the storm potential.

Here are additional snow reports from yesterday and overnight:

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 7
hours for the weather system that has been affecting our region.
Appreciation is extended to cooperative observers, Skywarn spotters,
the general public and the media for these reports. This summary is
also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/phi

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location          storm total     time/date   comments                   
                     snowfall           of 
                     /inches/   measurement

Delaware

...New Castle County...
   New Castle County Ai   0.8   700 PM  1/17  ASOS                    
   New Castle             0.7   420 PM  1/17  social media            
   Newark                 0.3   400 PM  1/17  cocorahs                

...Sussex County...
   Delmar                 2.8   234 PM  1/17  social media            
   Milton                 0.5   635 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

Maryland

...Queen Annes County...
   Barclay                0.5   325 PM  1/17  social media            

New Jersey

...Atlantic County...
   Atlantic City Intl a   2.8   700 PM  1/17  ASOS                    
   Estell Manor           2.5   615 PM  1/17  co-op observer          
   Mays Landing           2.3   600 PM  1/17  social media            
   Bargaintown            2.0   532 PM  1/17  social media            
   Absecon                1.5   550 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Burlington County...
   Mount Holly WFO        0.8   700 PM  1/17  NWS office              
   Florence               0.8   700 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Fort Dix               0.7   532 PM  1/17  social media            
   Delran TWP             0.6   545 PM  1/17  NWS employee            
   Hainesport             0.5   515 PM  1/17  social media            
   Mount Laurel           0.5   358 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Cinnaminson            0.3   401 PM  1/17  social media            

...Camden County...
   Sicklerville           1.0   335 PM  1/17  NWS employee            
   Haddon Heights         0.7   550 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Lindenwold             0.4   510 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Cape May County...
   Dennisville            2.2   734 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Belleplain             2.0   845 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Cape May Court House   2.0   845 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Seaville               1.8   700 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   2 NW Cape May          1.5   846 PM  1/17  co-op observer          
   Green Creek            1.0   700 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Goshen                 0.7   845 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Cumberland County...
   Newport                1.1   830 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Vineland               1.0   600 PM  1/17  social media            

...Gloucester County...
   Washington TWP         0.6   613 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Williamstown           0.5   330 PM  1/17  amateur radio           

...Hunterdon County...
   Flemington             0.3   324 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Mercer County...
   2 WSW Robbinsville     0.8   500 PM  1/17  cocorahs                
   Ewing                  0.7   500 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Lawrence TWP           0.6   533 PM  1/17  social media            

...Middlesex County...
   Cheesequake            1.0   800 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   East Brunswick         0.4   533 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Monmouth County...
   Manalapan              1.0   640 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   1 E Colts Neck         0.9   600 PM  1/17  cocorahs                
   Howell TWP             0.9   510 PM  1/17  social media            

...Morris County...
   2 E Randolph TWP       0.4   635 PM  1/17  cocorahs                

...Ocean County...
   Waretown               2.0   630 PM  1/17  social media            
   Forked River           1.5   700 PM  1/17  social media            
   brick TWP              1.0   712 PM  1/17  social media            
   Lakewood               1.0   715 PM  1/17  social media            
   Bayville               0.1   500 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Somerset County...
   5 ESE Hillsborough     0.8   700 PM  1/17  cocorahs                
   Basking Ridge          0.6   536 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Sussex County...
   Highland Lakes         0.3   500 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Warren County...
   Blairstown             0.1   743 PM  1/17  social media            
   Stewartsville            T   808 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

Pennsylvania

...Berks County...
   Huffs Church           0.3   356 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Bucks County...
   Furlong                0.6   539 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Hilltown TWP           0.3   355 PM  1/17  NWS employee            

...Delaware County...
   Chadds Ford            0.5   806 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Lehigh County...
   Heidelberg TWP         0.8   425 PM  1/17  social media            
   Lehigh Valley Intl a   0.1   700 PM  1/17  ASOS                    

...Montgomery County...
   Wynnewood              0.4   500 PM  1/17  trained spotter         
   Gilbertsville          0.3   400 PM  1/17  trained spotter         

...Philadelphia County...
   Philadelphia Intl Ai   0.5   700 PM  1/17  ASOS

 

23. February 2015 · Comments Off on Back Into The Freezer · Categories: weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: ,

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How beautiful was the weather Sunday afternoon??!! Most locations in western New Jersey over performed on temperature and reached the low to mid 40’s! My weather station in Stewartsville was 44. Felt even nicer with light winds and mostly sunny skies. Believe it or not that was close to what should be normal for this time of year. Now that we are in late February, the sun is getting higher in the sky and we have more daylight hours. All of this allows for gradual warming.

But not this week for us. An arctic front passed by early this morning. As a result temperatures should pretty much not go up anymore today and slowly start falling. Tonight may be another record breaking night as far as low temperatures are concerned. We are forecasted to go below zero again. With fresh snow cover and winds becoming light after midnight we have a chance of bottoming out at near five below zero.

image

Tuesday will be another chilly day with highs in the mid to upper teens. Clouds should increase Tuesday night and Wednesday as a storm passes to our south. This is something we need to monitor as computer models have been showing this storm moving north a little and may impact southern New Jersey and the Delmarva area.

Once that storm passes another shot of cold air arrives to finish the week. Good news is it doesn’t appear to be as brutally cold as the one we are experiencing right now. There is a chance for another warm up for a day or two next week this time. We also need to monitor a storm for next weekend and into the following week.

20. February 2015 · Comments Off on Frigid Friday Forecast · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

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Western New Jersey residence woke up to temperatures below zero again this morning. This is at least the second time this happened this winter season. Stewartsville recorded –3. What struck me the most was how the winds picked up late yesterday afternoon/early evening and made the cold even colder. It goes right through you.

Even with sunshine on Friday we will remain in the teens for high temperatures. Keep in mind our normal high temperature this time of year should be 41 degrees! I think if we hit 41 today people would be taking off their shirts in the street! lol

image

The winds overnight will lighten up and allow our low temperature to drop to near zero again. We will also have increasing clouds which will help keep the temperatures from dropping out too much. Saturday will feature snow arriving as early as late morning. It should start off light and intermittent. The steadiest snow will start in mid to late afternoon. Keep in mind the storm responsible for this precipitation is going to our west and as such is bringing up warmer air. The warmer air will not only be at the surface but aloft too. Saturday will see high temperatures increasing as the day goes on – in the upper 20’s. Then sometime on Saturday evening I anticipate sleet and freezing rain to start mixing in with the snow. We will switch entirely to a wintry mix during the late evening or early overnight hours. We may even end up switching completely to rain on Sunday morning as Sunday’s high temperatures will be in the upper 30’s. But I anticipate precipitation (rain) ending early Sunday morning.

All of the snow we will receive should be on the front end of the storm. So how much for western New Jersey? At this time I’m thinking 2-4”. We could get the amounts the NWS is currently thinking in the map above (4-6). But right now I’m holding them down. Historically warmer air aloft always seems to find its way to southern sections of western NJ. This will result in us changing to a wintry mix and that will keep the snow totals down. For sections further to the north, you could see 4-6”

We turn colder on Monday and could even be at or below zero again next Tuesday morning. But at least the kids will have school on Monday – that hasn’t happened in a while given our storm pattern!

19. February 2015 · Comments Off on Back Into The Freezer For End Of Week · Categories: weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

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Another arctic cold front and air mass moved into the area overnight. Some areas received a dusting of snow and others did not in western New Jersey area. Today will be windy with high temperatures in the mid teens with a biting wind. Friday morning will find us once again in below zero temperatures. I expect 0 to –5 for most of our area. We could dip lower if the winds relax.

Then our attention turns to the weekend. A storm will be approaching the area from the southwest. Saturday will start off sunny but cold. Look for snow to move in later in the day or in the evening. At this time it appears the storm will go to our west which will put us on the warm side. With that being the case our snow will change over to a wintry mix overnight and to plain rain on Sunday as temperatures warm above freezing.

I know many of you are tired of the cold (me too). But don’t look for an early warm up just yet. The just released 8-14 day temperature outlook has us much below normal temperatures until at least March 4th. At lease we’re getting more sunlight each day. The official sunset is now 5:40 pm!

18. February 2015 · Comments Off on Another Arctic Blast On the Way To End The week · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: ,

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Residence of western New Jersey woke up this morning to near zero morning lows. Yet another arctic cold front will pass through western New Jersey this evening. There will be snow showers and even some snow squalls that will develop late this afternoon and continue into the early overnight hours. These can result in a coating to 1” of snow.

image

Thursday and Friday will feature daytime highs in the mid teens with windy conditions. Friday morning lows are forecasted to be 5 to 10 BELOW zero!

Beyond that things get interesting and not necessarily in a good way. Saturday will see increasing clouds with a chance of snow late in the day and night. Then warmer air will invade the area and we will see the snow changeover to a wintry mix Saturday night into Sunday. In fact its even possible for us to receive plain rain on Sunday! Hard to imagine after all this cold. If this does happen let’s hope its not too much so the snow doesn’t either melt too fast and provide floods.

I’ll keep an eye on this and provide updates as usual.

13. February 2015 · Comments Off on Brutally Cold Weather Here To Stay · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:

StormTotalSnowRange (7)

Western new jersey morning low temperatures are in the low single digits this morning courtesy of yesterday’s arctic cold front. We also picked up 1/2” of new snow. Winds will remain brisk today and high temperatures won’t be very high – only in the mid to upper teens!

Tonight thankfully won’t be as cold as this morning. Then our attention turns to Saturday. Another more potent arctic cold front will pass through the area later Saturday afternoon. It will be accompanied by a period of two of light to moderate snow. I do not think we will get as much as the NWS indicates in the map above. My forecast is for 1-3” of snow. More snow can fall to the north and east which will be closer to the energy that will be with the front. Once this front passes, it will generate a fast moving storm off the new jersey coast that will bring near blizzard conditions again to southeastern new england. image

This will all result in a very cold Valentine’s night and Sunday morning. Sunday temperatures will not get too much above 10! Monday morning could be the coldest part with low temperatures at or below zero in most of the area.

Then our attention turns to the next storm for later on Tuesday into Wednesday. This storm looks to have more moisture than the last few so will have to be watched carefully.

12. February 2015 · Comments Off on Snow Showers On Thursday Usher in Colder Air · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:

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Folks in western new jersey that are looking out the window Thursday morning may not believe that they are seeing in some cases moderate snow. Don’t be too alarmed. It should only amount to a coating to 1” and should be over within the hour. Then there will be snow showers as the artic front passes the area this afternoon. This front will usher in very cold air tonight and Friday.

image

Saturday morning will be cold as well then we will see more snow showers or a period of light snow Saturday afternoon and night. We are watching Saturday night carefully. This storm will arrive with the next arctic front and will intensify. The questions is will it intensify around us, or has been the case recently, to our east. Right now I’m thinking it will be to our east but we will keep an eye on it with updates.

Sunday may be the coldest day of this winter with temperatures not getting above 10! Then Monday morning will earn the badge of the coldest morning of the winter with temperatures expected just below zero. Monday won’t recover too much with temperatures remaining in the teens.

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