March Comes In Like A Cold Lion

01. March 2019 · Comments Off on March Comes In Like A Cold Lion · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
1.0″ of snow in Stewartsville on March 1, 2019

1″ of new snow was recorded in Stewartsville overnight. This resulted in many schools having a delayed opening this Friday morning.

The snow has moved to our east. Except for some flurries, skies should remain mostly cloudy today and continued below normal temperatures with highs in the 30’s.

NWS snow forecast for Friday overnight

The next fast moving system will waste no time moving into our area. We could see some light snow or snow showers move into western New Jersey this evening. This system will have more snow accumulations to the north. In fact south of our area, should change over to rain at some point. The snow looks to end Saturday morning. My snow forecast for this system is 1-3″ at this time. More to the north and less to the south. I’ll be keeping an eye today on the potential that we could receive more snow from this system. Some of the guidance has been suggesting we could see a little more.

AccuWeather snow forecast for Monday

The other thing I will be keeping an eye on today is the *next* storm system in our parade of systems. This one looks to arrive as early as Sunday afternoon and last into Monday morning. This one looks to be the strongest of the series and has the potential of delivering plowable snow to our area.

Regardless of what happens with this system next week looks COLD! HOpefully it will be winter’s last gasp…

Another Coating Chance Tonight

28. February 2019 · Comments Off on Another Coating Chance Tonight · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: ,
Coating of snow overnight in Stewartsville February 28, 2019

A coating of snow fell overnight in Stewartsville and other surrounding areas in western New Jersey overnight and very early Thursday morning. Today should feature plenty of sunshine. It will be warmer than yesterday but still below normal with high temperatures only in the mid to upper 30’s.

NWS snow forecast for Friday morning

Overnight tonight and tomorrow morning will be almost an exact repeat as this morning. The only difference is today’s system was to our north. Tomorrow’s system will be to our south. So more snow will potentially accumulate to the south and little if any to the north. My forecast is for another coating to 1″.

Active weekend in store

Friday looks to remain mostly cloudy. Then another system will impact us Saturday. This looks to be mainly rain but it will start off of some snow in the morning. Then another break then we turn our attention to a potentially stronger storm Sunday night into Monday morning. This storm will have more moisture to work with. The big question will be precipitation type. Rain, snow, sleet or all of the above. At this point I’m thinking all of the above. If this storm stays on the colder side of us it could give us several inches of snow.

More Chances For Minor Snow Amounts

26. February 2019 · Comments Off on More Chances For Minor Snow Amounts · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: ,
NWS snow forecast for Wednesday night

Hopefully everyone survived the wind and still have power. We actually lost power here in Stewartsville/Bloomsbury area for about an hour yesterday afternoon but thankfully came back on. I know many are still without power.

Today and tomorrow will be chilly days with high temperatures below our normal of 43f for this time of year. Look for high temperatures in the 30’s most of this week. Winds still be brisk but nothing like yesterday. We will still see some gusts to near 30 mph.

A weak system will approach our area from the north later on Wednesday. We should be cold enough to have all light snow arrive at night. The snow should be over before Thursday morning. Right now it looks like a light event that will have more snow to the north where most of the storm is passing.

My forecast is for a coating to 1″ with more to the north.

We look to have two more weak systems later this week into the weekend. They look weak and temperatures look to remain below normal for the next 10 days. But after that, can that be spring around the corner??!!

Snow Scheduled To Arrive Around Midday

20. February 2019 · Comments Off on Snow Scheduled To Arrive Around Midday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: , ,
radar as of 10:30 Wednesday morning

Everything is still on track with the snow for today. As we mentioned, we are seeing snow showing up on the radar yet it’s not reaching the ground yet. This will continue to be the case today until the snow wins out over the very dry air. Right now my dew point in Stewartsville is 13f with my air temperature of 27f. That’s really dry.

But the snow will win out and mess up everyone’s afternoon commute if you unfortunately had to go to school or work today.

We then need to keep an eye on how fast sleet starts to mix in with the snow and eventually change over to plain rain. I would not be surprised to see sleet start in southern sections by early evening if not before.

I’m sticking with my 1-3″ forecast although right now it looks like we’ll be at the higher end of that range.

Updated Snow Forecast for Wednesday

19. February 2019 · Comments Off on Updated Snow Forecast for Wednesday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: ,
NWS snow forecast

Winter Weather Advisory will be in effect for Wednesday. The Winter Storm watch is no longer in effect.

Based on everything I’ve seen today, I’m lowering my snow forecast to 1-3″. There’s even a good chance we could see less than this.

Reasons for the update:

  • not as much cold air available
  • there is no real cold high pressure to the north of us. rather it will be to the east of us and that will help promote the warmup that will take place
  • the air before the storm is very dry. This will prevent any snow accumulation for the first several hours of the storm. At this time I don’t expect snow to start in our area until mid-day or slightly later
  • like so many storms of this winter, we will transition to sleet and freezing rain to rain. I expect us to start this transition wednesday evening

Tuesday Morning Storm Update

12. February 2019 · Comments Off on Tuesday Morning Storm Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
Radar shows sleet approaching from the S and W

Overnight Stewartsville received a coating of snow – about 0.2″ More snow was anticipated on the front end. Further to the west in PA about 1″ of snow has fallen.

Warmer air is already making its move towards our area. Sleet is falling in many locations in PA to our S and W. The bright colored line on the radar image above show where the sleet line is. While it’s possible we may switch back to snow for a bit once the sleet start, I believe any additional snow accumulation should be minimal to a coating to 2″

Now the next threat is how long do we have sleet and/or freezing rain before we go above freezing. I would anticipate several hours of these conditions. In fact it could last most of the daylight day. The southern and eastern locations should be the first to go above freezing and then slowly creep north.

More Snow and Ice Tonight Into Tuesday

11. February 2019 · Comments Off on More Snow and Ice Tonight Into Tuesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,
A coating of snow in Stewartsville on February 11, 2019

The first of two snow threats passed through western New Jersey overnight. Stewartsville received 0.6″ of snow. A little more snow was recorded further to the south. In fact it’s currently still snowing in south Jersey

Watches and Warnings for our area

The next system will have more moisture to work with. Most of New Jersey is under a Winter Weather Advisory tonight and Tuesday. the exception is further up north in Sussex County which is under a Winter Storm watch. Colder weather will hold on longer up there and they will receive more wintry weather.

Look for snow to return to our area later tonight. It could come in as soon as evening but some computer models are suggesting it holds off until after 10 pm. Snow will continue overnight and be moderate to heavy at times.

Then warmer air will start to approach our area like it has done several times already this winter. This will first change/mix the snow to sleet and then freezing rain. We have the potential to receive a good amount of sleet and freezing rain during the day on Tuesday. When the switchover occurs is something I’ll be keeping an eye on and will update accordingly.

I expect we will receive 3-5″ of snow before the changeover.

Eventually the freezing rain and sleet should change over to rain. This will occur first in southern locations and later up north and west. Some of the highest elevations further to the north may not changeover to plain rain at all or until the very end.

The Tuesday storm will give us another 1-1.5″ of total liquid
region wide total snow forecast from NWS

We will be getting another 1-1.5″ of liquid from this storm. Our saturated ground will continue to receive more liquid. Locations further to the north and west will see more snow as seen in the map above

Snowfall Totals From the Area January 29th

29. January 2019 · Comments Off on Snowfall Totals From the Area January 29th · Categories: snow

3.7″ was recorded in Stewartsville, NJ. Here are some other totals in the region:

Public Information Statement
 National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
 901 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019
 …UPDATED SNOWFALL REPORTS FROM THE LATEST STORM…
 Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider             
 …Delaware…
 …New Castle County…
 Hockessin                    0.2 in    0700 PM 01/29   Mesonet              
 …New Jersey…
 …Morris County…
 Succasunna                   3.0 in    0825 PM 01/29   Public               
 …Sussex County…
 Newton                       4.0 in    0830 PM 01/29   Public               
 Highland Lakes               4.0 in    0830 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 3 N Pellettown               3.7 in    0735 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Hopatcong                    3.0 in    0800 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 …Warren County…
 Oxford                       5.0 in    0845 PM 01/29   Public               
 Stewartsville                3.7 in    0830 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Hackettstown                 3.3 in    0830 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Blairstown                   1.4 in    0425 PM 01/29   Public               
 …Pennsylvania…
 …Berks County…
 1 S Temple                   5.5 in    0816 PM 01/29   Public               
 Hamburg                      4.8 in    0549 PM 01/29   Public               
 Fleetwood                    4.5 in    0715 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Spring Twp                   4.3 in    0800 PM 01/29   Public               
 Boyertown                    4.3 in    0730 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Huffs Church                 4.0 in    0620 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 1 S Shillington              3.8 in    0756 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Douglassville                3.3 in    0540 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 …Bucks County…
 1 ENE Milford Twp            4.0 in    0730 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Chalfont                     1.3 in    0750 PM 01/29   Public               
 …Carbon County…
 Albrightsville               6.0 in    0820 PM 01/29   Public               
 …Chester County…
 West Caln Twp                3.1 in    0751 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 East Nantmeal Twp            2.8 in    0500 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 …Lehigh County…
 North Whitehall Twp          5.2 in    0730 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 New Tripoli                  5.0 in    0815 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Schnecksville                4.8 in    0700 PM 01/29   Public               
 1 ESE Upper Saucon Twp       4.0 in    0715 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Zionsville                   3.7 in    0800 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Allentown                    3.7 in    0700 PM 01/29   ASOS                 
 2 N Emmaus                   2.5 in    0500 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 …Monroe County…
 East Stroudsburg             5.5 in    0830 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 1 NE Bossardsville           5.4 in    0830 PM 01/29   Public               
 Tobyhanna                    5.0 in    0600 PM 01/29   Dept of Highways     
 Pocono Summit                3.5 in    0500 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 …Montgomery County…
 Gilbertsville                4.0 in    0800 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Pottstown                    3.0 in    0651 PM 01/29   Public               
 Graterford                   1.6 in    0800 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 …Northampton County…
 Bath                         5.0 in    0815 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Danielsville                 4.8 in    0830 PM 01/29   Public               
 Bushkill Twp                 4.8 in    0830 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Bethlehem Twp                4.3 in    0830 PM 01/29   Public               
 Nazareth                     4.2 in    0800 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Martins Creek                4.0 in    0825 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Hellertown                   3.8 in    0815 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 Beersville                   3.5 in    0600 PM 01/29   Trained Spotter      
 &&

Snow Squall With Arctic Front Wednesday

29. January 2019 · Comments Off on Snow Squall With Arctic Front Wednesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , ,
Snow in Greenwich Twp NJ January 29, 2019

Now that the snow is over for today, Tuesday we now turn our attention to the arctic front that will bust into our area tomorrow. Our high temperatures of the mid 30’s will be replaced with mid 20’s tomorrow before the arctic front ushers itself into our area. This is expected to happen from noon until 2 pm.

The squall of heavy snow and wind will move quickly W-E across the region. This will be accompanied by heavy snow, gusty winds and possibly even some thunder and lightening! It will last 30 mins or so but bring heavy snow, poor visibility, quick C-2″ snow, and wind gusts >40mph. Time frame is 12-2 pm

This front will put us in the deep freeze almost as bad as the mid west has been experiencing for the last day or two. Low temperatures Thursday morning will be near or perhaps even below 0. Same for Friday morning. Prepare for the bitter cold!

Back Edge of Snow Approaching

29. January 2019 · Comments Off on Back Edge of Snow Approaching · Categories: snow · Tags:
Radar as of 18:55

Stewartsville recorded 2.8″ of snow as of 6 pm Tuesday evening. The back edge of snow is approaching from the west. It’s the dark green band past Reading now approaching Allentown. It should be one last heavier band of snow. After that we should just see some flurries or snow showers for an hour or two. This should approach between 8 and 9pm. It should be “safe” to start removing the snow after that…

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