03. March 2019 · Comments Off on Here We Snow Again · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

In what could be the biggest snowfall of the season will get underway later this afternoon. Today will see increasing clouds and somewhat mild temperatures, especially compared to the upcoming week, with pleasant temperatures. The temperatures may result in the precipitation starting off as some light rain or mix of rain and snow briefly. Once the precipitation starts to get heavier and nightfall approaches any mixed precipitation will go over to all snow.

NWS snow forecast

Timing: Look for snow or mixed precipitation to start around 3-4 pm from SW to NE.

Peak: Look for the heaviest snow, perhaps approaching 1″ per hour, from around 7 pm to 1 am.

End: Snow should finish before sunrise

Western New Jersey is in the bullseye of heaviest snow for this storm. Some areas just to the south and east of us may actually see some enhancement from thunderstorm or two. If you hear or see this, you will automatically know your in a bonus snow area and can add on a few inches of snow!

My forecast remains 4-8″ for most areas with locally higher amounts where the heavy snow bands setup.

NWS watches and warning

Winter Storm Warning is in place for all areas of western New Jersey.

After this storm passes, much colder and breezy weather will be in store for the new week. Look at the forecast low temperatures in the single digits Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday mornings!

Make sure you remove any snow from areas that need to have it removed or else it will be frozen solid in place for most of the upcoming week.

Any I hope no one put away the winter coats, scarfs and boot – you will need them this week!

02. March 2019 · Comments Off on Another One Down, A Bigger One To Go · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , ,
Stewartsville, NJ Saturday March 2, 2019

4.3″ of new snow fell overnight in Stewartsville and surrounding areas overnight. The snow started around midnight give or take and tapered off to flurries around 9 am.

My Spring-time flag didn’t ward off the snow

Our Winter WEather Advisory expired at 9 am this morning. But it will be soon replaced with a Winter Storm Watch that will go in effect at 1 pm Sunday afternoon.

NWS snow forecast for Sunday into Monday morning

The next storm looks to begin in our area Sunday afternoon. This storm will be the biggest and last of the series. For our area this appears to be an all snow at this time. The same areas that received the most snow today look to repeat tomorrow. The good news is the worse of the storm will be Sunday night and early Monday morning before sun-up. I anticipate schools will be closed and traveled delayed for a while Monday morning.

Based an what I’m seeing now I’m going to forecast 4-8″ of snow for the Sunday-Monday storm. The real question is will this be the biggest snow of the season for us? We received over 7″ back in November.

1 year ago today

As we are too aware, March is turning into a new extended winter season for us. The above photo was taken on this date last year. There have been several March’s in the past few years that have been cold and snowy. We certainly will have the cold part next week but I’m anticipating a return to normal and maybe even a warm up starting in around 10 days.

01. March 2019 · Comments Off on March Comes In Like A Cold Lion · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
1.0″ of snow in Stewartsville on March 1, 2019

1″ of new snow was recorded in Stewartsville overnight. This resulted in many schools having a delayed opening this Friday morning.

The snow has moved to our east. Except for some flurries, skies should remain mostly cloudy today and continued below normal temperatures with highs in the 30’s.

NWS snow forecast for Friday overnight

The next fast moving system will waste no time moving into our area. We could see some light snow or snow showers move into western New Jersey this evening. This system will have more snow accumulations to the north. In fact south of our area, should change over to rain at some point. The snow looks to end Saturday morning. My snow forecast for this system is 1-3″ at this time. More to the north and less to the south. I’ll be keeping an eye today on the potential that we could receive more snow from this system. Some of the guidance has been suggesting we could see a little more.

AccuWeather snow forecast for Monday

The other thing I will be keeping an eye on today is the *next* storm system in our parade of systems. This one looks to arrive as early as Sunday afternoon and last into Monday morning. This one looks to be the strongest of the series and has the potential of delivering plowable snow to our area.

Regardless of what happens with this system next week looks COLD! HOpefully it will be winter’s last gasp…

28. February 2019 · Comments Off on Another Coating Chance Tonight · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: ,
Coating of snow overnight in Stewartsville February 28, 2019

A coating of snow fell overnight in Stewartsville and other surrounding areas in western New Jersey overnight and very early Thursday morning. Today should feature plenty of sunshine. It will be warmer than yesterday but still below normal with high temperatures only in the mid to upper 30’s.

NWS snow forecast for Friday morning

Overnight tonight and tomorrow morning will be almost an exact repeat as this morning. The only difference is today’s system was to our north. Tomorrow’s system will be to our south. So more snow will potentially accumulate to the south and little if any to the north. My forecast is for another coating to 1″.

Active weekend in store

Friday looks to remain mostly cloudy. Then another system will impact us Saturday. This looks to be mainly rain but it will start off of some snow in the morning. Then another break then we turn our attention to a potentially stronger storm Sunday night into Monday morning. This storm will have more moisture to work with. The big question will be precipitation type. Rain, snow, sleet or all of the above. At this point I’m thinking all of the above. If this storm stays on the colder side of us it could give us several inches of snow.

26. February 2019 · Comments Off on More Chances For Minor Snow Amounts · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: ,
NWS snow forecast for Wednesday night

Hopefully everyone survived the wind and still have power. We actually lost power here in Stewartsville/Bloomsbury area for about an hour yesterday afternoon but thankfully came back on. I know many are still without power.

Today and tomorrow will be chilly days with high temperatures below our normal of 43f for this time of year. Look for high temperatures in the 30’s most of this week. Winds still be brisk but nothing like yesterday. We will still see some gusts to near 30 mph.

A weak system will approach our area from the north later on Wednesday. We should be cold enough to have all light snow arrive at night. The snow should be over before Thursday morning. Right now it looks like a light event that will have more snow to the north where most of the storm is passing.

My forecast is for a coating to 1″ with more to the north.

We look to have two more weak systems later this week into the weekend. They look weak and temperatures look to remain below normal for the next 10 days. But after that, can that be spring around the corner??!!

20. February 2019 · Comments Off on Snow Scheduled To Arrive Around Midday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: , ,
radar as of 10:30 Wednesday morning

Everything is still on track with the snow for today. As we mentioned, we are seeing snow showing up on the radar yet it’s not reaching the ground yet. This will continue to be the case today until the snow wins out over the very dry air. Right now my dew point in Stewartsville is 13f with my air temperature of 27f. That’s really dry.

But the snow will win out and mess up everyone’s afternoon commute if you unfortunately had to go to school or work today.

We then need to keep an eye on how fast sleet starts to mix in with the snow and eventually change over to plain rain. I would not be surprised to see sleet start in southern sections by early evening if not before.

I’m sticking with my 1-3″ forecast although right now it looks like we’ll be at the higher end of that range.

19. February 2019 · Comments Off on Updated Snow Forecast for Wednesday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags: ,
NWS snow forecast

Winter Weather Advisory will be in effect for Wednesday. The Winter Storm watch is no longer in effect.

Based on everything I’ve seen today, I’m lowering my snow forecast to 1-3″. There’s even a good chance we could see less than this.

Reasons for the update:

  • not as much cold air available
  • there is no real cold high pressure to the north of us. rather it will be to the east of us and that will help promote the warmup that will take place
  • the air before the storm is very dry. This will prevent any snow accumulation for the first several hours of the storm. At this time I don’t expect snow to start in our area until mid-day or slightly later
  • like so many storms of this winter, we will transition to sleet and freezing rain to rain. I expect us to start this transition wednesday evening
12. February 2019 · Comments Off on Tuesday Morning Storm Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
Radar shows sleet approaching from the S and W

Overnight Stewartsville received a coating of snow – about 0.2″ More snow was anticipated on the front end. Further to the west in PA about 1″ of snow has fallen.

Warmer air is already making its move towards our area. Sleet is falling in many locations in PA to our S and W. The bright colored line on the radar image above show where the sleet line is. While it’s possible we may switch back to snow for a bit once the sleet start, I believe any additional snow accumulation should be minimal to a coating to 2″

Now the next threat is how long do we have sleet and/or freezing rain before we go above freezing. I would anticipate several hours of these conditions. In fact it could last most of the daylight day. The southern and eastern locations should be the first to go above freezing and then slowly creep north.

11. February 2019 · Comments Off on More Snow and Ice Tonight Into Tuesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,
A coating of snow in Stewartsville on February 11, 2019

The first of two snow threats passed through western New Jersey overnight. Stewartsville received 0.6″ of snow. A little more snow was recorded further to the south. In fact it’s currently still snowing in south Jersey

Watches and Warnings for our area

The next system will have more moisture to work with. Most of New Jersey is under a Winter Weather Advisory tonight and Tuesday. the exception is further up north in Sussex County which is under a Winter Storm watch. Colder weather will hold on longer up there and they will receive more wintry weather.

Look for snow to return to our area later tonight. It could come in as soon as evening but some computer models are suggesting it holds off until after 10 pm. Snow will continue overnight and be moderate to heavy at times.

Then warmer air will start to approach our area like it has done several times already this winter. This will first change/mix the snow to sleet and then freezing rain. We have the potential to receive a good amount of sleet and freezing rain during the day on Tuesday. When the switchover occurs is something I’ll be keeping an eye on and will update accordingly.

I expect we will receive 3-5″ of snow before the changeover.

Eventually the freezing rain and sleet should change over to rain. This will occur first in southern locations and later up north and west. Some of the highest elevations further to the north may not changeover to plain rain at all or until the very end.

The Tuesday storm will give us another 1-1.5″ of total liquid
region wide total snow forecast from NWS

We will be getting another 1-1.5″ of liquid from this storm. Our saturated ground will continue to receive more liquid. Locations further to the north and west will see more snow as seen in the map above

29. January 2019 · Comments Off on Snowfall Totals From the Area January 29th · Categories: snow

3.7″ was recorded in Stewartsville, NJ. Here are some other totals in the region:

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
901 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019
…UPDATED SNOWFALL REPORTS FROM THE LATEST STORM…
Location Amount Time/Date Provider
…Delaware…
…New Castle County…
Hockessin 0.2 in 0700 PM 01/29 Mesonet
…New Jersey…
…Morris County…
Succasunna 3.0 in 0825 PM 01/29 Public
…Sussex County…
Newton 4.0 in 0830 PM 01/29 Public
Highland Lakes 4.0 in 0830 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
3 N Pellettown 3.7 in 0735 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Hopatcong 3.0 in 0800 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
…Warren County…
Oxford 5.0 in 0845 PM 01/29 Public
Stewartsville 3.7 in 0830 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Hackettstown 3.3 in 0830 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Blairstown 1.4 in 0425 PM 01/29 Public
…Pennsylvania…
…Berks County…
1 S Temple 5.5 in 0816 PM 01/29 Public
Hamburg 4.8 in 0549 PM 01/29 Public
Fleetwood 4.5 in 0715 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Spring Twp 4.3 in 0800 PM 01/29 Public
Boyertown 4.3 in 0730 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Huffs Church 4.0 in 0620 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
1 S Shillington 3.8 in 0756 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Douglassville 3.3 in 0540 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
…Bucks County…
1 ENE Milford Twp 4.0 in 0730 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Chalfont 1.3 in 0750 PM 01/29 Public
…Carbon County…
Albrightsville 6.0 in 0820 PM 01/29 Public
…Chester County…
West Caln Twp 3.1 in 0751 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
East Nantmeal Twp 2.8 in 0500 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
…Lehigh County…
North Whitehall Twp 5.2 in 0730 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
New Tripoli 5.0 in 0815 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Schnecksville 4.8 in 0700 PM 01/29 Public
1 ESE Upper Saucon Twp 4.0 in 0715 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Zionsville 3.7 in 0800 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Allentown 3.7 in 0700 PM 01/29 ASOS
2 N Emmaus 2.5 in 0500 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
…Monroe County…
East Stroudsburg 5.5 in 0830 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
1 NE Bossardsville 5.4 in 0830 PM 01/29 Public
Tobyhanna 5.0 in 0600 PM 01/29 Dept of Highways
Pocono Summit 3.5 in 0500 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
…Montgomery County…
Gilbertsville 4.0 in 0800 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Pottstown 3.0 in 0651 PM 01/29 Public
Graterford 1.6 in 0800 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
…Northampton County…
Bath 5.0 in 0815 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Danielsville 4.8 in 0830 PM 01/29 Public
Bushkill Twp 4.8 in 0830 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Bethlehem Twp 4.3 in 0830 PM 01/29 Public
Nazareth 4.2 in 0800 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Martins Creek 4.0 in 0825 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Hellertown 3.8 in 0815 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
Beersville 3.5 in 0600 PM 01/29 Trained Spotter
&&
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