09. January 2017 · Comments Off on Arctic Cold Leaving But Not Without Issues · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: , , , ,

Brrr! Most locations in western New Jersey woke up to single digit temperatures. Some areas further to the north were below zero! Certainly nothing unexpected for January weather but still cold none the less.

Today will remain cold but at least there will not be as much wind as yesterday making it feel a little more comfortable.

Our next weather system will be moving to our north and west. This will put us on the eventual warm side of the storm. Eventual is the key word. There is a good amount of cold air and snow covered ground over western New Jersey right now. It will take a while for it to all be pushed out by warmer winds. This will result in Tuesday, main in the afternoon, of another snow to sleet to freezing rain day before it eventually turns to rain. Before that changeover I’m forecasting a coating to 1″ followed by some ice on untreated surfaces. To make matters worse this should still be happening by the afternoon rush.

This will be relatively light precipitation but it doesn’t take much to make things slippery. The only good news is there is a tremendous amount of salt on area roads so hopefully they will not be too bad.

08. January 2017 · Comments Off on The Big Chill · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , ,

The combination of some snow on the grounds, brisk winds and January will make today a downright chilly if not bitterly cold day. Wind chills will not get about the single digits while actual air temperatures don’t make it out of the low to mid 20’s.

Stewartsville received 1.1″ of new snow yesterday. There was less to the north and more to the south and east as expected.

The cold won’t last forever. Look for us to go above freezing on Tuesday and high temperatures look to remain above normal mid to late week. There are even signs of a January thaw on the weather map!

07. January 2017 · Comments Off on Updated Snow Forecast · Categories: snow · Tags: , ,

Updated snow forecast from the NWS

I agree with the above. Since I have nearly 1″ in Stewartsville already (0.9″) I think a 1-3″ forecast is safe – again the higher numbers will be the the south and east and lower numbers to the north and west.

07. January 2017 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory For Hunterdon and Morris · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

The NWS sees the westward shift of the precipitation shield and has issued a Winter Weather advisory for Hunterdon and Morris counties. Their forecast for these areas is now 2-4″. I agree with that and think the 2″ will be the the north and west with the 4″ mark in the south and east sections.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1110 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017

...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON...

.LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. THE AXIS OF
HEAVIER SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED TO ALSO IMPACT AREAS AS FAR WEST AS THE NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE.

NJZ008>010-072300-/O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170107T2300Z/
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE
1110 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...MORRIS...HUNTERDON AND SOMERSET COUNTIES IN   NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPE...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY   TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE
  SNOW MAY BE MODERATE AT TIME THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...THE SNOW WILL CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON AREA  ROADWAYS.

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOW 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE...POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY
FACEBOOK PAGE OR USING TWITTER.

SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS FOR THIS STORM ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

&&

$$
07. January 2017 · Comments Off on Fringe Flakes · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

Living on the edge. Most locations of western New Jersey will be on the outer edge of snow courtesy of a coastal storm to our south and east on Saturday. Flurries have just started falling in Stewartsville and will continue on and off today. I sill like the idea of a coasting to 1″ with the potential of more to the south and east. Some locations in southern Hunterdon county could see closer to 2″.

One thing is certain today and tomorrow” it will be cold. Temperatures will remain in the 20’s today and the wind will come back Sunday making it feel even colder!

NWS snow forecast map for our area. Note how much more will fall from this storm to our south and east!

06. January 2017 · Comments Off on Next Storm A Close Call · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , ,

Stewartsville, NJ received just under 1″ of snow on January 6, 2017

Most areas received a dusting overnight in western New Jersey. Friday will remain a cold day with temperatures just barely climbing to near freezing.

The next storm will come up from the south and try to turn north and go up the coast. But it will have this cold dome of high pressure that doesn’t want to move. So it will be a squeeze play. I expect some snow showers over most of western New Jersey that could result in a coating to perhaps 1″ further to the east and south. As you you can see from the NWS snowfall forecast map above, most of the snow will fall to our south and east. Further south some areas of Virginia and NC will receive 6-12″ of snow.

04. January 2017 · Comments Off on Light Snow Friday Morning · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

After today’s milder weather it’s back to reality. A storm system moving to our south should come north enough to give western New Jersey some light snow late Thursday into Friday morning. The timing doesn’t look good for the morning rush. the roads are pre-treated well.

I agree with the NWS map above and believe western New Jersey will receive a coating to 1″ with more to the south and east for a change.

Then the big story is we are back to winter temperatures until Tuesday of next week so bundle up!

30. December 2016 · Comments Off on Snow Showers and Squalls Possible Today · Categories: snow · Tags: ,
Snow showers to impact western New Jersey this afternoon and early evening

Snow showers to impact western New Jersey this afternoon and early evening

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Monroe-
Including the cities of...Newton...Washington...Morristown...Stroudsburg
144 PM EST Fri Dec 30 2016

...Snow showers and possible snow squalls...

A band of snow showers with embedded snow squalls may extend from the Great Lakes into parts of the Pocono Region in Pennsylvania and parts of 
northern New Jersey during the late afternoon and evening hours. The time period of concern is from about 3:00 PM until 8:00 PM.

The snow showers and squalls may quickly reduce the visibility making for hazardous travel conditions. Also, a period of moderate
to heavy snowfall could leave a quick accumulation of an inch or two with locally higher amounts. Roads and walkways may become
snow covered and slippery.

If you will be traveling in Monroe County in Pennsylvania or in the New Jersey counties of Sussex, Warren and Morris be prepared
for hazardous travel. The area includes parts of Interstate 80, Intestate 380 and Interstate 287.
28. December 2016 · Comments Off on Another Snow To Rain on Thursday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , , ,

As has been the pattern with storms so far this cold season, we will get another snow to rain event on Thursday. Look for light snow to overspread western New Jersey around rush hour time – certainly by mid morning. Then, as has been the case this year, the snow will start mixing with and then change to rain. The difference this time I don’t expect much in the way of sleet or freezing rain. There is not a lot of colder air near the surface.

As far as accumulation I expect a coating to 1″ for most areas of southern Warren and Hunterdon counties with a little bit more further to the north as well as in the Poconos.

This will turn into a very big storm – for northeastern New England. Some areas will receive over a foot of snow from this storm!

Much colder air will usher in as the storm passes. Friday will be quite windy and there could be some snow squalls.

The next event to keep an eye on in New Years Eve into New Years Day. More on that as we get closer.

 

27. December 2016 · Comments Off on First Thoughts on Thursday Snow Potential · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: ,

My initial thoughts a few days ago for late Wednesday into Thursday was another wet snow to rain event for western New Jersey. The interesting part this time is the computer models have been trending slightly colder with each new run. If this continues we could see a minor wet snow accumulation.

The above map is from the NWS and shows the most likely snowfall for our area for Thursday. At this point I’m in agreement with this as it shows 1-2″ in most locations of western New Jersey. There is the potential for a few more inches, especially up north.

Today’s rain showers should be over my mid day and some sunshine should return. It will be a very mild day by late December standards. It will turn colder tomorrow but nothing too severe.

After the late Wednesday night/Thursday event there is another possibility of mixed precipitation unfortunately on New Year’s Eve. More on that as we get closer.

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