Rainfall forecast for Sunday into Monday
And boy do we need it. Not only western New Jersey but the entire region is in a drought and very dry. The bulk of this looks to fall Sunday overnight into Monday morning. So if this verifies, the Monday morning commute may not be too fun (not that it ever is).
I just hope we get at least half this rain.
Western New Jersey received a trace of snow and sleet in the past 24 hours and about 1/3″ of rain.
even though Wednesday has started off raw and drizzling, it won’t finish that way. Warmer air will push into western New Jersey later today raising temperatures considerably.
Wwith this warmer weather will come chances for heavier rain and strong gusty winds.
Frigid start to Valentine’s Day 2016 in western New Jersey
The official low temperature in Stewartsville was 0 this morning. I’m sure there were several stations further north and west in western New Jersey that were -5 to -10 this morning. Brrr!
NWS “most likely” snow forecast for Monday into Monday night before changeover to ice and rain on Tuesday
We will have another cold night tonight but not as bad as last night. Winds have slacked off and will go calm this evening. For the first part of tonight, look for temperatures to fall sharply. They should start to level off as high thin clouds begin to increase as the result of our next weather maker.
Look for light snow to overspread the western New Jersey area by mid day on Monday. Snow should be light to moderate at time Monday afternoon into the evening. At this time I’m forecasting 1-3″ of snow before a change over to ice and rain. Higher numbers will be to the north and west and less to the south and east.
NWS 7 day forecast for western New Jersey
Believe it or not, even with all this frigid air over our area now we are talking about rain on Tuesday. A storm is expected to move up the coast Monday into Tuesday and either go over us or more likely to our West. That will put western New Jersey on the warm side of the storm. Look for snow Monday evening and overnight to first mix with sleet and freezing rain then change completely over to rain before Tuesday morning. rain on Tuesday could be heavy at times with 1-2″ of rain forecast. This could result in some street and river flooding since the ground is so frozen right now.
Looking longer range we warm up a little by the weekend and that will continue into next week but colder weather looks to return the last week of the month
Rainy Sunday morning across western New Jersey this Sunday morning. Good news is it’s warm outside and the steady rain is already over. But there will be showers on and off for the next several hours. Most areas have received about 1″ of rain – some areas more. Stewartsville so far received 0.89″ of rain.
Colder air arrives for the work week as has been advertised before. Daytime highs will be in the 30’s. A fast moving clipper system will visit western New Jersey Tuesday afternoon and evening that will not only usher in another arctic cold front but some light snow. Look for a possible dusting in some areas. More on that as we get closer.
As we look long range there could be a slight warm up by end of next week but a storm is possible around next weekend and even another one after that. Remember: it’s is mid January!
Rain will be moving into western New Jersey after midnight tonight and last to around mid-day Sunday. Winds will pick up and rain could be heavy at times. Winds will remain brisk on Sunday after the rain ends. Temperatures will start to drop and will reach the 30’s by Monday morning. Temperatures should stay in the 30’s during the day for all of next week.
Another arctic front will move through western New Jersey on Tuesday that will give us a period of light snow that may whiten the ground in some areas! More on that as it gets closer.
For now enjoy the near record warmth again on Sunday but keep the winter coats handy!
It’s quite foggy in some section of western New Jersey this Wednesday morning. Not good for anyone with last minute shopping to finish. PLease take your time.
More rain is on the way for this afternoon into the first part of this evening.
I expect western New Jersey to receive anywhere from 1/2″ to 1″ of rain.
Then just in time for Christmas Eve, warm temperatures!
If I don’t get a chance to post again until after Christmas I want to wish all readers a Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays! Thank you for reading my thought on weather for our area.
Periods of rain will continue Wednesday for western New Jersey. So far we’ve received about 1/2″ of rain and we should receive another 1/3 – 1/2″ of rain today and tonight. Fog will continue to be dense at times.
As the system pulls away Thursday, the winds will be strong. Make sure any holiday decorations are secured! Fair and close to seasonable weather arrives Friday through Monday.
As can see in the radar image above western New Jersey is about to get into an area of more steady rain. So far about 1/4″ has fallen.
Before all is said and done we will receive about 1″ of rain through Wednesday evening. Some areas may receive a bit more.
A strong cold front will be crossing western New Jersey on Thursday. Rain from this system could start as early as late tonight or early Thursday morning. The bulk of the rain will be late morning into the afternoon. The worst of it should be over in the evening. Expect 1/2″ – 1″ of rain for the area. Some areas that receive downpours could receive more. As you can see from the graphic above, it will deposit a good amount of rain for the East coast.
Once this system passes we say goodbye to above normal temperatures for a while. Friday will be close to seasonable with highs in the low to mid 50’s. Saturday will be near 50. Then a below normal stretch starts on Sunday into next week with high temperatures only in the 40’s! It will feel cold but it is the second half of November after all.
Western New Jersey has already seen some light rain this morning. Look for more periods of light rain to continue today. As seen in the above radar, some is about to move in from the SW. Look for amounts to be about 1/4″ in general.
This rain is associated with a fast moving cold front. This is tied to the same storm that brought snow to the Rockies. No we’re not going to get snow here – sort of. But it will get real windy on Friday as a result of the front pushing through and the intense storm passing by accompanied by high pressure moving in. Winds could easily gust to 40 mph. Please secure any holiday decorations. As always watch wet leaves on the roadways.
Up in the Poconos and far north west New Jersey on Saturday, there’s a chance of seeing some wet snow showers. Temperatures on Saturday will feel colder than they are due to the wind. Temperatures should stay most of the day in the 40’s and perhaps peeking at 50 for a daytime high. Winds should gradually diminish later on Saturday.
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