A Winter Weather Advisory is up for most of western New Jersey for Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. This will primarily be at an elevation from 1000′ and above but there could also be some in the valley locations. This will eventually change over to all rain. The map above shows the potential amounts of freezing rain ending at 1 pm Thursday
After a very nice recovery in temperatures yesterday (50f high in Stewartsville) today, Friday will be pleasant but not quite as warm. Clouds will be on the increase on Saturday with rain arriving in the late afternoon and early evening. The rain should start off on the light and showery side but will get heavier as the night progresses. This is the same system that will be giving a blizzard to the west of Chicago and also gave snow to the dessert Southwest. But we are on the warm side of this storm and will only see rain.
And we could see a good amount of rain too. At least 1” of rain is forecast at this point. The ground continues to be saturated from the cold weather and all the rain we have received lately. This could result in some minor flooding in the usual places.
As the storm passes the big weather story will be the strong winds that develop Sunday afternoon and evening into Monday. Wind gust will be over 40 mph.
Everything is still on track with the snow for today. As we mentioned, we are seeing snow showing up on the radar yet it’s not reaching the ground yet. This will continue to be the case today until the snow wins out over the very dry air. Right now my dew point in Stewartsville is 13f with my air temperature of 27f. That’s really dry.
But the snow will win out and mess up everyone’s afternoon commute if you unfortunately had to go to school or work today.
We then need to keep an eye on how fast sleet starts to mix in with the snow and eventually change over to plain rain. I would not be surprised to see sleet start in southern sections by early evening if not before.
I’m sticking with my 1-3″ forecast although right now it looks like we’ll be at the higher end of that range.
Stewartsville received 0.4″ of snow yesterday. More snow fell to the extreme north.
Today will be a milder day with high temperatures in the mid 40’s. This should be the warmest day until sometime early next week. A cold front will move through later today and return us to seasonable cold if not a few degrees below normal into and through the weekend.
The chance of snow on Sunday looks minor at this time. there could be a few rain or snow showers today as well as tomorrow. Then it looks like a nice warm up next week with temperatures at least in the 40’s. But with the warm air brings rain.
Let’s see what the ground hog has to say tomorrow regarding the rest of the winter 🙂
Monthly summary for Stewartsville for February 2016
Temperatures will be well above normal in western New Jersey this weekend. Saturday will be the nicer of the two days with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures reaching into the mid to upper 50’s, especially in southern locations
Sunday will be a little cooler with highs only in the lower 50’s with an increase in clouds. The clouds will be from a small storm system that will pass to our south. But we will be on the northern fringe and receive some rain or wet snow overnight Sunday night into Monday morning.
Then out attention turns to what will happen in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame. More seasonable weather will return. Right now the storm systems look to be slowing down a bit so nothing looks to get started until Tuesday night. At this time is looks like western New Jersey will be impacted by two separate waves of low pressure. And it looks like these will track near or even to the west of our area that will give western New Jersey more rain than frozen. Updated details on that as we get closer.
Yes it can happen in February!!
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1229 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... ATLANTIC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... EAST CENTRAL SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... EASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... * UNTIL 115 PM EST * AT 1228 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROYERSFORD TO ELMER TO NEAR LAUREL LAKE...AND MOVING NORTH AT 75 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PHILADELPHIA...TRENTON...CAMDEN...VINELAND...ATLANTIC CITY... MILLVILLE...GLOUCESTER CITY...CUMBERLAND...CHERRY HILL... BENSALEM...EVESHAM...MOUNT LAUREL...EWING...NORRISTOWN...CHESTER... WILLINGBORO...DEPTFORD...VOORHEES...MEDFORD AND WEST DEPTFORD. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THERE IS LITTLE TO NO LIGHTNING WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
| Stewartsville Monthly Weather Observation Summary | ||||||||
| Feb-15 | ||||||||
| DAY | MAX | MIN | MEAN | PRECIP | SNOW | SOG | COMMENTS | |
| 1 | 37.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 0.10 | 1 | 4.5 | 1 | |
| 2 | 35.0 | 14.0 | 24.5 | 0.89 | 3.9 | 7.5 | .75 liquid as of 7 am | |
| 3 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 7 | ||||
| 4 | 36.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 7 | ||||
| 5 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 21.5 | 0.04 | 0.4 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 16.5 | 6 | ||||
| 7 | 40.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 6 | ||||
| 8 | 42.0 | 31.0 | 36.5 | 5.5 | ||||
| 9 | 33.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 0.11 | 0.4 | 5 | rutgers data problems | |
| 10 | 38.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 5 | ||||
| 11 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 26.5 | 5 | ||||
| 12 | 40.0 | 13.0 | 26.5 | 0.04 | 0.5 | 5 | ||
| 13 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 5 | ||||
| 14 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 0.25 | 3.1 | 4.5 | ||
| 15 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.01 | 8 | |||
| 16 | 20.0 | -2.0 | 9.0 | T | T | 8 | ||
| 17 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 18.5 | 0.14 | 3 | 12 | ||
| 18 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | T | 11 | |||
| 19 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 12.5 | T | T | 10.5 | ||
| 20 | 17.0 | -3.0 | 7.0 | 9.5 | ||||
| 21 | 26.0 | -3.0 | 11.5 | 0.25 | 3.2 | 9 | ||
| 22 | 44.0 | 25.0 | 34.5 | 0.07 | 0.9 | 13 | 4.1 storm total | |
| 23 | 35.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 11 | ||||
| 24 | 24.0 | -7.0 | 8.5 | 11 | ||||
| 25 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 23.5 | 11 | ||||
| 26 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | T | T | 10.5 | ||
| 27 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 10.5 | ||||
| 28 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 16.5 | 10.5 | ||||
| 1.90 | 16.40 | |||||||
| Extreme High | 44.0 | Date: | 22-Feb | Seasonal Snow Total: | 37.20 | |||
| Extreme Low | -7.0 | Date: | 24-Feb | |||||
| Mean Max: | 29.6 | |||||||
| Mean Low: | 8.9 | |||||||
| Mean: | 19.2 | |||||||
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