Even though parts of our area received rain on August 23rd, that was nearly 2 weeks ago!
Even though our Labor Day weather is featuring filtered sunshine this morning, look for clouds to increase an lower with increasing showers as the day wears on. The rainiest period will be overnight into Tuesday morning
Despite some late afternoon showers yesterday that impacted some outdoor plans (hand raised) our weather pattern continues to be very dry. Stewartsville only recorded 0.04″ of rain yesterday.
The above drought monitor report for NJ shows expanded D0 dry conditions over last week.
A wider look at yesterday’s rain totals include most were less than 1/10 of an inch. Some lucky folks in the far northern part of the state received nearly a 1/3″ of rain.
The forecast for the next 7 days for western New Jersey only includes showers at best. There could be some scattered showers late Saturday into Saturday overnight. Then a few more chances mid next week.
The overall weather pattern looks to change late next week when some much cooler weather is forecast for next weekend. Perhaps this pattern change will introduce some additional rainfall. Until then, dry and becoming very warm once again on Saturday and then again next Tuesday-Wednesday.
Much needed rain received in past 24 hours and forecast for more
Stewartsville received just over 1.5″ of rain in the past 24 hours with more on the way! The top left graphic shows how much rain fell in the past 24 hours. The lower left shows the forecast for today into tonight. In general it looks like western New Jersey will receive 1/2 – 1″ of additional rain.
Rainfall received in the area in the past 24 hours
Now that Hermine is sorta, kinda out of here, let’s talk about the July like heat in September. And its also very dry in not only western New Jersey but a large portion of the area as seen in the map above.
Unfortunately it looks to continue in the near term. The 8-14 day outlook has continued below normal precipitation for our area.
We will hopefully see some much needed showers and thundershowers later Saturday into Sunday morning but I’m sure those areas that do receive something it will be less than 1/2″
Speaking of heat we do have plenty of that. Upper 80’s are common in western New Jersey today. Look for more of the same tomorrow with even a few more degrees hotter and, wait for it, more humidity! Yay! Not.
But like we’ve been seeing a lot lately, we have extremes
We have a drought watch for central and eastern sections of western New Jersey. For all practical purposes it applies for all of the area as it has been bone dry. Last measurable rain was back on the 12th!
As it stands now we have 2 solid chances of rain this week. The first will be Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. This will be from a cold front approaching from the west that will push out the unseasonable warm and humid weather we now have. This will also pull up some of the remaining moisture from the system that’s been to our south for a while. I’m thinking 1″ from this system.
The second chance will be later in the week into Saturday. The cold front that will pass above will stall to our south. Current thinking is tropical depression 11 which is over the SW Atlantic ocean, will get pulled up into this along with some other moisture to our SW. If this all plays out perfectly, we could see a high amount of rain and even gusty winds. Of course this remains to be seen. But we certainly need the rain. The second system has the potential to deposit several inches of rain.
As you can see in the above map, Most of PA and a good part of western New Jersey have the potential for severe thunderstorms later today into the evening and tonight.
We are well below normal on rainfall as seen above. We need between 5-6″ of rain just to get us back to normal. Let’s just hope it all doesn’t come at once!
So how much rain can we get? Quite a bit if you believe the map above. These amounts are for the next 1-3 days total ending Wednesday morning. We are in the brightest red which is 3-4″ of rain.
Recent Comments