Steadier Snow on Tuesday Not Until Evening-Overnight

15. January 2018 · Comments Off on Steadier Snow on Tuesday Not Until Evening-Overnight · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:
One computer model suggesting steady snow does not move into western NJ until evening

One computer model suggesting steady snow does not move into western NJ until evening

Last post of this evening. Looking at some data that suggests only flurries or very light snow for western New Jersey tomorrow during the day with the steadier snow holding off until evening/overnight on Tuesday into Wednesday. Further to the west in PA they will see some light snow during the day.

If this verifies, it reduces the chance of schools closing early but might still result in any evening activities being cancelled and certainly a delay on Wednesday morning

Details on Snow for Tuesday Into Wednesday

15. January 2018 · Comments Off on Details on Snow for Tuesday Into Wednesday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
NWS Snow Totals for Tuesday into Wednesday morning

NWS Snow Totals for Tuesday into Wednesday morning

A winter weather advisory has been issued for Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. Computer model guidance has suggested a little more snow is going to fall from this system. The NWS is expecting 3-6″ of snow region wide.

Timing: While some light snow may start tomorrow morning, it should pick up in intensity Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday evening into the overnight is when most of the accumulations should take place. Snow should end early Wednesday morning.

My thoughts on amounts are now 2-4″ for most areas of western New Jersey with amounts closer to 6″ possible further north (mostly north of I-80)

Winter Weather Advisories in most of the region

Winter Weather Advisories in most of the region

Snow start times throughout the region

Snow start times throughout the region

IMPACTS: Tuesday evening commute and Wednesday morning commute

SCHOOL IMPACT: Possible early closings on Tuesday with no after school activities as well as delayed starts on Wednesday AM

 

 

Winter Weather Advisory For Snow Tuesday

15. January 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory For Snow Tuesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: 
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem,
and Easton
313 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions.
  Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northwestern New Jersey and east-central
  and northeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Tuesday and Tuesday night. While light snow or flurries
  will develop tonight causing slippery conditions on untreated
  pavement toward morning, the heaviest snowfall will occur after
  sunset Tuesday through Tuesday night. There may be some melting
  of the snow in the lower elevations during the middle of the day
  Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
  times, especially Tuesday night when snowfall rates may briefly
  approach an inch an hour. Plan for travel delays during the
  evening rush Tuesday. Temperatures following the snow should
  remain generally below freezing Wednesday with a hard freeze
  Wednesday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.
The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Light Snow Tuesday Into Wednesday

15. January 2018 · Comments Off on Light Snow Tuesday Into Wednesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:
NWS snow forecast tuesday into wednesday

NWS snow forecast Tuesday into Wednesday

Another chilly morning across western New Jersey this morning with temperatures in the lower teens and upper single digits. Any morning sunshine will be replaced with increasing clouds with high temperatures in the upper 20’s.

The clouds are from a clipper system that will move in from the west and give us some periods of light snow Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. My forecast is similar to the NWS as seen in the map above and is for 1-3″ of light snow. More snow will fall in the north and less to the south. I’ll have more information on about when the snow will arrive later today or tonight.

Tuesday Snow Discussion

14. January 2018 · Comments Off on Tuesday Snow Discussion · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:

https://www.useloom.com/share/f62670694faa4a398051067f74892242

Elsa Is Back In Town

13. January 2018 · Comments Off on Elsa Is Back In Town · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags:
High temperatures on Friday/early Saturday

High temperatures on Friday/early Saturday

Incredible warmth yesterday and a good amount of rain as well.

Stewartsville recorded 1.51" of rain Friday/Saturday

Stewartsville recorded 1.51″ of rain Friday/Saturday

Most areas of western New Jersey received 1.5-2″ of rain Friday/Saturday

5 day forecast

5 day forecast

Their could be some scattered snow showers today but the big story will be the sharply colder temperatures and breezy conditions. It won’t be as bad as last time but stings just the same after the 60’s yesterday!

There are two chances for light snow next week. One on Tuesday and another potential one on Wednesday. I’ll keep an eye on both but for now find the winter clothing and put it back on!

Winter Weather Advisory Saturday Morning

12. January 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory Saturday Morning · Categories: Ice, winter · Tags:
Winter weather advisory for Warren County & N & W

Winter weather advisory for Warren County & N & W

Rain will continue off an on overnight. Computer models are suggesting another very heavy period of rain around 3 am or so. Then the temperatures will fall sharply and be below freezing by sunrise!

Sussex-Warren-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Reading, Allentown,
Bethlehem, and Easton
925 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. The ice will result in very
  slippery conditions on sidewalks, roads and bridges. Total ice
  accumulations are expected to be under a tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of northern New Jersey and east central
  Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will fall sharply from the 50s
  at midnight to around 30 at 7 am Saturday with icing developing
  rapidly toward daybreak Saturday on gusty north to northwest
  winds.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of freezing rain
will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads.
Slow down and use caution while driving. The latest road
conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by
calling 5 1 1.

More Rain Tonight Then Crashing Down Temperatures

12. January 2018 · Comments Off on More Rain Tonight Then Crashing Down Temperatures · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags: , ,
Radar showing another area of rain to move into western New Jersey

Radar showing another area of rain to move into western New Jersey

Just about 1″ of rain has fallen in Stewartsville so far today. As seen in the radar image above another area of rain is about to move into western New Jersey. This should be somewhat lighter than what we received before.

Look to the far left on that map and you see pink and blue representing mixed precipitation and snow. Yes that’s right while it’s in the low 60’s here, it’s snowing in the far NW part of PA.

NWS Ice Forecast for Saturday AM

NWS Ice Forecast for Saturday AM

Th cold air should arrive in western New Jersey very fast between 1 am and 5 am tomorrow morning. If it’s still raining we could see that change over to some sleet or freezing rain. As such the NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for Warren county and further N&W. The threat should be over by mid morning tomorrow then sharply colder temperatures over the weekend into next week.

Next change of some wintry weather will be on Tuesday and Wednesday. More on that as it approaches.

Rain Continues Friday Mid-day

12. January 2018 · Comments Off on Rain Continues Friday Mid-day · Categories: precipitation · Tags:
Radar at 11:30 am

Radar at 11:30 am

The first round of rain moved in and out of our area this morning. Instead of completely moving out the bottom half is pivoting further west and has started to impact western New Jersey again. I was thinking we would get into the break you see to the west but not yet! This looks to be another hour or two worth of light to moderate rain. So far Stewartsville has received close to 1/2.” And the winds are breezy this morning with a peak gust to 28 mph so far.

Wet and Warm End Of Week

12. January 2018 · Comments Off on Wet and Warm End Of Week · Categories: precipitation, winter · Tags:
Radar Friday morning showing rain in western New Jersey

Radar Friday morning showing rain in western New Jersey

High temperature records have already been broken for some locations in and around western New Jersey this Friday morning. There is also no shortage of rain as seen in the radar image above. But the rain will not be continuous today but rather periods of rain. AS of 8 am Stewartsville received 0.15″ of rain. We should receive 1-2″ total area wide.

Wide look at radar shows periods of rain on the way

Wide look at radar shows periods of rain on the way

A wider look at the radar for the eastern half of the country shows three separate areas of rain. One is over us at the moment then there is a break then more rain in western PA. The another break with more rain in western OH and more to the south.

Enjoy the warm weather today as temperatures will fall sharply this time tomorrow.

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