17. March 2017 · Comments Off on Snow to Rain to Snow for Weekend · Categories: snow, spring · Tags:
NWS snow forecast for Saturday into Sunday morning

NWS snow forecast for Saturday into Sunday morning

After a beautiful sunny Friday afternoon clouds will increase later on as a warm front approaches western New Jersey. The warm front may give us some snow showers this evening.

Then a weak area of low pressure will form along the front early Saturday morning and move into our area. This will give us some light snow early Saturday morning. In southern sections of western New Jersey this should change to light rain showers as warmer air moves in Saturday mid day and early afternoon. Then colder air will filter back into western New Jersey and change any rain over to light snow. This light snow should continue off and on into Sunday morning.

How much are we talking about from both events? 1-3″ with lower amounts to the south and closer to 3″ (or perhaps a little more) in northern and elevated areas.

Yes technically Spring does arrive Monday morning but it certainly won’t feel or look like it. After colder weather on Sunday, there will be a brief warm up on Monday and Tuesday. But that will be followed by another very cold outbreak for Wednesday.

21. January 2016 · Comments Off on Less Snow For Western New Jersey This Weekend? · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,

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Recent computer models, which weather forecasters use as a tool to forecast weather, have been keeping northern areas of the storm with less snow while maintaining the snow bulls eye near Washington DC. This is in part due to the strong high pressure to the north that is holding its ground and has dry air. If this trend continues I will most likely lower my snow forecast for this weekend to 4-8.” There’s even a chance that is too high but let’s not jump the gun yet. It’s still going to be an impressive storm with wind. Does not look to start until early Saturday morning in western New Jersey area.

21. January 2016 · Comments Off on Latest Snow Forecast For Western New Jersey · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

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I’m in complete agreement with the above map from the National Weather Service in Mt Holly NJ. It shows less snow to the north and more to the south. A general 6-12″ for western New Jersey area with more to the south and less to the north.

The snow will not start until the pre-dawn hours on saturday morning. So by sun up on Saturday there may only be a coating to an inch or so on the ground. Saturday will be when the storm moves in and intensifies as it does so. It will be breezy as well with temperatures not getting above freezing in western New Jersey.

Today and Friday will be great days to prepare for the storm. Unfortunately I heard supermarkets are already busy and shovels and salt are selling like hot cakes on Sunday morning. This of course is to be expected for a January snow storm – especially the first one.

Look for the snow to not end until the early morning hours on Sunday morning. The winds will remain brisk if not full fledged windy so that will make cleanup all the harder.

You may have heard that eastern NJ and NYC has issued a blizzard watch. Why not here? That’s because they are closer to the coast and the winds will be higher. A blizzard does not mean more snow necessarily – it focuses more on reduced visibility from blowing and drifting snow over several hours. There is also blizzard watch in Washington DC area for the same reasons.

If you have any interests along the coast, there will be coastal flooding. Winds will gust to 40-60 mph. There could be some rain or sleet mixed in at times along the shore.

I will update when I have something to share during the day today and tomorrow and throughout the storm on Saturday (provided power and internet cooperate 😉

19. January 2016 · Comments Off on French Toast Watch Now In Effect · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , ,

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Good Tuesday afternoon. Western New Jersey is continuing with winter-like conditions for a change. Blustery and chilly this afternoon with high temperatures once again not going above freezing.

Wednesday will be a little warmer with high temperatures in the 30’s. Thursday could feature some morning flurries but will be another day with high temperatures in the seasonable 30’s

Then our attention turns to the weekend. As discussed yesterday a storm system approaching the west coast will make its way across the US reaching our area later Friday evening into the weekend. Computer models, a tool that meteorologist use to forecast the weather in the future, continue to indicate this storm will impact our area with significance.

So hence forth the french toast watch is not in effect. This could be upgraded to a warning in 1-2 days. So start thinking about gathering your comfort feeds, milk, bread and eggs. I’m sure based on the hype in the media for this storm, the supermarkets will start getting busy on Wednesday and will be full bore crazy on Thursday!

 

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