01. February 2015 · Comments Off on Storm Update · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags: , ,

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I have limited time today due to photography and a big football game tonight Smile. I’ll post an update this evening if warranted.

We are starting off our Sunday morning in western New Jersey already cloudy. Snow light snow that is probably not reaching the ground is already falling in portions of western PA. Look for some light snow or snow showers to arrive by late afternoon or early evening. It should be snowing everywhere before the “big game” is over.

We will start off as all snow. Snow will become moderate to perhaps heavy at times late at night into the early morning hours. This is when I expect most of the accumulating snow to fall. I agree with the NWS map above. For western New Jersey my forecast is 3-6” of snow. More snow will fall in northern sections where the snow does not mix as much with sleet and freezing rain.

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A growing concern with the storm is an extended period of sleet and freezing rain. I expect them to start mixing in our area in the early morning hours on Monday with a complete changeover before sunrise. It’s not out of the question that some part of our area could changeover to all rain at some point. This will primarily be southern and eastern sections.

The above map is a forecasted ice amount from the NWS. I agree with the amounts here. Even though warmer air will be moving into the area and will be responsible for changing our snow to frozen precipitation, we have been cold lately and untreated surfaces will remain below freezing for a while if not the entire duration of the storm.

There is a chance the mixed precipitation could mix back with snow and perhaps change back to all snow on Monday before the storm ends.

18. January 2015 · Comments Off on Sunday Mid-Day Weather Update · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , , ,

Most sections of western New Hersey have changed over from freezing rain to rain as of 1pm. There might be some pockets of colder surfaces where rain is still freezing on contact or might be slippery.

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the mid day weather map above shows the coastal storm developing nicely. A warm front is stretched from near Philadelphia to New York City up to eastern CT and Massachusetts. East of the front temperatures are nearing 50 degrees! West of the warm front temperatures are struggling in the 30’s. The rain from the coastal storm will continue to move north east and should start to taper off by later in the afternoon. Rain will be heavy at times. There is a flood advisory to our south and east.

A cold front to our west above will push through the area later today. This will bring an end to the rain and usher in some colder weather to start the work week.

18. January 2015 · Comments Off on Freezing Rain Sunday · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , ,

If you’re reading this in the morning, do not go outside and drive or walk until it warms up! There are MANY accidents and reports of people slipping and falling and breaking things!

Freezing rain advisory this morning until 1pm. Rain will be heavy at times until mid afternoon.

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17. January 2015 · Comments Off on Cold Sunny Saturday Then Soggy Sunday · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , , ,

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Cold start this Saturday with early morning lows in the upper single digits in western new jersey. Today will be a partly sunny day (clouds increasing in the afternoon) with highs in the mid to upper 20’s. Enjoy the sunshine while it lasts. Clouds are already starting to increase to our west and south west from tomorrows rain maker. Look for temperatures to drop early this evening into the teens then slowly rise overnight to the mid to upper 20’s by day break.

As you can see above in the maps Sunday will be wet. More rain will fall to our east. Western new jersey will be on the western fringe of the rainfall. Expect rain to start on Sunday by mid morning and end by mid afternoon. It may start off as a little sleet or snow in the beginning but then go over to rain. I’m expecting 1/4” to 1/2” in this area. Over 1” of rain will fall in eastern new jersey near the shore.

Our next chance of precipitation will be a clipper on late Tuesday into Wednesday. Right now it looks to stay to our north which will put us on the warm side. We could see some light snow over to light rain. More details as we get closer. Enjoy a cold Saturday!

07. December 2014 · Comments Off on Coastal Storm Tuesday · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: ,

Sunday’s weather looks to be much improved today over Saturday. In the last 24 hours we picked up just over 1/2” of rain and the storm total was just under 1” of rain.

Sunday will feature partly sunny skies but brisk with highs in the 30’s and breezy if not windy conditions. Monday will be similar but less wind and increasing clouds.

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Map above is the forecast for Wednesday morning. You can see a strong coastal storm nearby. This will bring out area mostly a heavy wind driven rain. We will receive another 1-2” of rain. There could be some wet snow mixed in at times and a slush coating is not out of the question. I will have more on that as we get closer to the event.

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