First Look At How Much Snow For Saturday

15. January 2020 · Comments Off on First Look At How Much Snow For Saturday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:

The National Weather Service (NWS) released its initial snow accumulation map for the Saturday system. After looking at model trends today and other data, I’m in agreement with this map. I’m expecting 2-4″ in our area with higher amounts to the far north and west.

There will be plenty of warm air moving in with this system – so much so that it could actually end as some light rain or drizzle. I expect the snow to start midday Saturday. At some point, it will transition to a mix with sleet from south to north. If, when and where this happens will be studied in the days ahead.

The thought of snow is still hard to believe for many after this past weekend’s unusual warmth. Even today was a mostly sunny day with high temperatures in the low 50’s. But it’s not unusual to receive an accumulating snowfall after so much warmth. Besides, it’s mid-January.

Another One Down, A Bigger One To Go

02. March 2019 · Comments Off on Another One Down, A Bigger One To Go · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , ,
Stewartsville, NJ Saturday March 2, 2019

4.3″ of new snow fell overnight in Stewartsville and surrounding areas overnight. The snow started around midnight give or take and tapered off to flurries around 9 am.

My Spring-time flag didn’t ward off the snow

Our Winter WEather Advisory expired at 9 am this morning. But it will be soon replaced with a Winter Storm Watch that will go in effect at 1 pm Sunday afternoon.

NWS snow forecast for Sunday into Monday morning

The next storm looks to begin in our area Sunday afternoon. This storm will be the biggest and last of the series. For our area this appears to be an all snow at this time. The same areas that received the most snow today look to repeat tomorrow. The good news is the worse of the storm will be Sunday night and early Monday morning before sun-up. I anticipate schools will be closed and traveled delayed for a while Monday morning.

Based an what I’m seeing now I’m going to forecast 4-8″ of snow for the Sunday-Monday storm. The real question is will this be the biggest snow of the season for us? We received over 7″ back in November.

1 year ago today

As we are too aware, March is turning into a new extended winter season for us. The above photo was taken on this date last year. There have been several March’s in the past few years that have been cold and snowy. We certainly will have the cold part next week but I’m anticipating a return to normal and maybe even a warm up starting in around 10 days.

Winter Weather Advisory For Hunterdon and Morris

07. January 2017 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory For Hunterdon and Morris · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

The NWS sees the westward shift of the precipitation shield and has issued a Winter Weather advisory for Hunterdon and Morris counties. Their forecast for these areas is now 2-4″. I agree with that and think the 2″ will be the the north and west with the 4″ mark in the south and east sections.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1110 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017

...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON...

.LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. THE AXIS OF
HEAVIER SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED TO ALSO IMPACT AREAS AS FAR WEST AS THE NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE.

NJZ008>010-072300-/O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170107T2300Z/
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE
1110 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...MORRIS...HUNTERDON AND SOMERSET COUNTIES IN   NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPE...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY   TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE
  SNOW MAY BE MODERATE AT TIME THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...THE SNOW WILL CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON AREA  ROADWAYS.

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOW 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE...POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY
FACEBOOK PAGE OR USING TWITTER.

SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS FOR THIS STORM ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

&&

$$

Fringe Flakes

07. January 2017 · Comments Off on Fringe Flakes · Categories: snow · Tags: ,

Living on the edge. Most locations of western New Jersey will be on the outer edge of snow courtesy of a coastal storm to our south and east on Saturday. Flurries have just started falling in Stewartsville and will continue on and off today. I sill like the idea of a coasting to 1″ with the potential of more to the south and east. Some locations in southern Hunterdon county could see closer to 2″.

One thing is certain today and tomorrow” it will be cold. Temperatures will remain in the 20’s today and the wind will come back Sunday making it feel even colder!

NWS snow forecast map for our area. Note how much more will fall from this storm to our south and east!

Next Storm A Close Call

06. January 2017 · Comments Off on Next Storm A Close Call · Categories: snow, winter · Tags: , , ,

Stewartsville, NJ received just under 1″ of snow on January 6, 2017

Most areas received a dusting overnight in western New Jersey. Friday will remain a cold day with temperatures just barely climbing to near freezing.

The next storm will come up from the south and try to turn north and go up the coast. But it will have this cold dome of high pressure that doesn’t want to move. So it will be a squeeze play. I expect some snow showers over most of western New Jersey that could result in a coating to perhaps 1″ further to the east and south. As you you can see from the NWS snowfall forecast map above, most of the snow will fall to our south and east. Further south some areas of Virginia and NC will receive 6-12″ of snow.

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