01. September 2016 · Comments Off on Hermine Now A Hurricane · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: , ,


Hermine is now a hurricane which is what was expected to happen.

Tropical storm warnings are now up for the east coast of FL up to NC/VA border area. Tropical storm watch is issued north of that up to near NYC which includes the New Jersey shore.

Guidance today has continued the idea of the hurricane remaining east of us when it gets this far north. The storm continues to look like it will slow down when it does get here. Look how little it moves from 1 pm Sunday to 1 pm Tuesday (last three S with circle around them. Keep in mind it probably will not be as strong then as it is now.

If the storm stays on this track, western New Jersey will see less rainfall. The shore continues to look like it will get the most impact from this including beach erosion.

30. September 2015 · Comments Off on Hurricane Joaquin Track Shifts West · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: ,


5 pm advisory from the National Hurricane center has shifted the forecast track of Joaquin more to the west. This is no surprise given the number of computer models that continue to show landfall in the outer banks or mid Atlantic area of the east coast.

If this track turn into reality and the storm goes to our south and west its effect in western New Jersey will still be felt with rain and breezy conditions.

There is one important computer model that still shows the hurricane going out to sea. This has been two runs in a row now. It will be important to see if the overnight run continues this or if it starts to show the westward trend

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