5 pm advisory from the National Hurricane center has shifted the forecast track of Joaquin more to the west. This is no surprise given the number of computer models that continue to show landfall in the outer banks or mid Atlantic area of the east coast.

If this track turn into reality and the storm goes to our south and west its effect in western New Jersey will still be felt with rain and breezy conditions.

There is one important computer model that still shows the hurricane going out to sea. This has been two runs in a row now. It will be important to see if the overnight run continues this or if it starts to show the westward trend