01. March 2018 · Comments Off on Nor’Easter Friday into Friday Night · Categories: weather discussion · Tags: , , , , ,

NWS Watches and Warnings

Whenever you see the watches and warnings map above lit up like a Christmas tree, you know something is going on. The Nor’easter that will move into western New Jersey later tonight into Friday looks to be a formidable storm. There is a Flood Watch and a High Wind Watch for western New Jersey. There is a Winter Storm Watch for Sussex county further to the north.

NWS Snow Forecast

the biggest change I want to pass along at this time is the *potential* for more wet snow on Friday. I’m increasing my forecast for 1-3″ of heavy, wet snow that will accumulate mostly on colder surfaces.

Friday is a day where rain will change to wet snow and come down heavy at times as the wind increases. But the temperature will remain above freezing and all of this will occur during the day. There are some computer models suggesting we get closer to 6″ but I don’t see that happening at this point.

Further to the north and in elevated areas, more snow will accumulate – perhaps 3-6″ or more.

Timing: rain will start after 3 pm today. Rain should be light to moderate later this afternoon and the first part of this evening. Rain will then become heavy at times later tonight. Winds will pick up after midnight as well. Rain will gradually change to a wet snow Friday morning and continue off an on all day as winds increase.

What: Heavy rain, wind and wet snow on Friday. 1-2″ of rain. Winds gusting to 50-60 mph on Friday

I’ll continue to monitor and update as things change

01. March 2018 · Comments Off on High Wind Watch for Friday · Categories: winds · Tags:

High Wind Watch for Friday

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 AM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT...

.Low pressure will intensify near the Northeast coast on Friday.
This will bring strong to potentially damaging northwest winds to
the region Friday and Friday night.

NJZ007>010-015-PAZ060>062-070-071-101>106-012100-
/O.EXA.KPHI.HW.A.0001.180302T1200Z-180303T1200Z/
Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Washington, Morristown, Flemington,
Somerville, Trenton, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton,
Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester,
Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale,
Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
340 AM EST Thu Mar 1 2018

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a High
Wind Watch, which is in effect from Friday morning through
Saturday morning.

* WINDS...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will develop during the morning hours
  Friday from south to north across the watch area. Winds will
  peak during the late morning through the early evening hours
  before diminishing somewhat late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Numerous power outages are possible. Additionally, rain may
  change to snow Friday and Friday evening, especially northwest
  of Philadelphia. The snow combined with the wind may produce
  localized whiteout conditions. Travel may become very difficult
  as a result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means there is the potential for a hazardous
high wind event. Sustained winds of at least 40 mph...or gusts of
58 mph or stronger may occur. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.
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