Matthew Becomes Major Hurricane

30. September 2016 · Comments Off on Matthew Becomes Major Hurricane · Categories: Fall, Hurricane · Tags:
Hurricane Matthew 11am Update

Hurricane Matthew 11am Update

Matthew is now a category 3 hurricane which is considered major. So why am I blogging about this in a western New Jersey weather blog? Well look at the map above and see which way the National Hurricane Center thinks it will be heading. It looks to move up the east coast of the US next week. The big question is how close does it get to the coast and does it curve away at any point?

My early thoughts are it will continue north to near the North Carolina coast. then a cold front which should be moving east across the country next week will act as a kicker to move it further to the east and not have an impact any further north, other than rough seas of course.

Tropical Storm Matthew Forms

28. September 2016 · Comments Off on Tropical Storm Matthew Forms · Categories: Fall, Hurricane · Tags:

Tropical Storm Mathew

Tropical storm Matthew formed today. The storm will stay south of Puerto Rico as you see in the map above. Beyond that the track gets very interesting. As you can see the National Hurricane Center predicts the storm to turn to the north and approach Cuba.

After that things get interesting. Will the hurricane go near Florida? East Coast? Some of the extended models have it moving up the East Coast next week so we need to keep an eye on it.

New Jersey is no stranger to October Hurricanes. Let’s hope we only get some much needed rain from this and nothing more!

First Day Of Fall Doesn’t Feel Like It, Yet

22. September 2016 · Comments Off on First Day Of Fall Doesn’t Feel Like It, Yet · Categories: Fall · Tags:

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Fall arrives this morning but no one told the jet stream. It’s still on summer vacation in southern Canada. But it will return home over the weekend and we should start to see more seasonable weather then.

7day

After today’s high in the mid 80’s, tomorrow will be a repeat but with more humidity. There is a slight chance of a shower Friday evening as the cold front approaches the area. Saturday will be the transition day with breezy conditions and temperatures in the 70’s. Sunday will finally feel like fall with temperatures staying in the 60’s! This wouldn’t feel as cool as it will if we didn’t have all the unseasonable warmth over the past month or so.

Rainfall Totals

20. September 2016 · Comments Off on Rainfall Totals · Categories: Fall · Tags:
September 19 Rain Totals

September 19, 2016 Rain Totals

1.41″ of much needed rain fell in Stewartsville. Elsewhere in western New Jersey were similar amounts, less to the north.

Look for humid and warm conditions today into the weekend. A cold front will cross the area early Saturday that could bring some rain showers. This front will hopefully bring air temperatures back to normal for this time of year. Believe it or not the normal high temperature is now in the mid 70’s with overnight low’s in the low 50’s!

Much Needed Rain Falling On Area

19. September 2016 · Comments Off on Much Needed Rain Falling On Area · Categories: Fall · Tags: ,

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So far western New Jersey has picked up about 1″ of rain which is much needed!

Look for rain to continue off and on until about mid day. From that point on we should see showers until later in the day.

This week may have the first official day of Fall but it won’t feel like it. Expect daytime highs Tuesday-Friday to be at least 10 degrees above normal with highs in the mid 80’s!

Sunny Saturday; Rain Sunday Into Monday

16. September 2016 · Comments Off on Sunny Saturday; Rain Sunday Into Monday · Categories: Fall · Tags: ,
Rainfall forecast for Sunday into Monday

Rainfall forecast for Sunday into Monday

And boy do we need it. Not only western New Jersey but the entire region is in a drought and very dry. The bulk of this looks to fall Sunday overnight into Monday morning. So if this verifies, the Monday morning commute may not be too fun (not that it ever is).

I just hope we get at least half this rain.

Fair Weather Week Ahead

12. September 2016 · Comments Off on Fair Weather Week Ahead · Categories: Fall · Tags:

7day

Beautiful sleeping weather last night and looks to continue tonight as well. Wednesday will feature a one day return to summer then another nice cool-down that will bring us *closer* to what it should be like this time of year!

Extended outlook has a chance of showers on Sunday but given how dry is has been lately, I wouldn’t worry about them at this point.

Heat Advisory Until Saturday 7pm

09. September 2016 · Comments Off on Heat Advisory Until Saturday 7pm · Categories: Summer · Tags: ,

The NWS has just issued a heat advisory for southern sections of western New Jersey thru most of the day on Saturday. We will hopefully see some relief from the heat and the humidity starting Sunday afternoon.

Some of the short range computer models are starting to hint there could be scattered thundershowers this afternoon starting as early as 3 pm. Be on the lookout for those if the skies turn stormy. We need all the rain we can get!

3pm Forecast radar HRRR

3 pm Forecast radar HRRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1208 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...MID SUMMER LIKE HEAT WAVE WITH RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
PARTS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... NEW JERSEY... AND THE DELMARVA
THROUGH SATURDAY...

.THE MID SUMMER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH
WIDESPREAD RECORD TEMPERATURES LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND NEAR
RECORD SATURDAY. IT WILL BE A BIT COOLER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT
BUT TEMPERATURES WILL JUMP RIGHT BACK UP INTO THE 90S TOMORROW.

WHILE THE ADVISORY OFFICIALLY ENDS SATURDAY EVENING...IT WILL STILL
BE QUITE WARM ALL OF SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SIGNIFICANT RELIEF NOT
EASILY NOTICED UNTIL MIDDAY SUNDAY.



NJZ009-010-012-013-020-027-100515-
/O.EXB.KPHI.HT.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-160910T2300Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...JACKSON...WHARTON STATE FOREST
1208 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CENTRAL AND MUCH OF COASTAL NORTHERN NEW
  JERSEY.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 103 BOTH AFTERNOONS DUE TO TEMPERATURES
  IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S...AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S.

* OUTLOOK...COOLER WEATHER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY ARRIVES SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE HEAT WILL LEAD TO INCREASED RISK FOR HEAT RELATED
  ILLNESS ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE WHO WORK OUTSIDE OR WHO DO NOT HAVE
  AIR CONDITIONING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS...IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

Hot Dry Weather To Continue

07. September 2016 · Comments Off on Hot Dry Weather To Continue · Categories: Fall · Tags: ,

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Now that Hermine is sorta, kinda out of here, let’s talk about the July like heat in September. And its also very dry in not only western New Jersey but a large portion of the area as seen in the map above.

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Unfortunately it looks to continue in the near term. The 8-14 day outlook has continued below normal precipitation for our area.

We will hopefully see some much needed showers and thundershowers later Saturday into Sunday morning but I’m sure those areas that do receive something it will be less than 1/2″

north-temperature720-1

Speaking of heat we do have plenty of that. Upper 80’s are common in western New Jersey today. Look for more of the same tomorrow with even a few more degrees hotter and, wait for it, more humidity! Yay! Not.

Hermine Tuesday Morning And Hot Week Ahead

06. September 2016 · Comments Off on Hermine Tuesday Morning And Hot Week Ahead · Categories: Fall, Summer · Tags: ,

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Hermine continued her westward track in the past day and looks to continue today. There are some scattered very light showers in New Jersey and it’s not out of the question to see a few light showers pop up today. There will be more clouds but sunshine will still be seen.

As previously advertised, we knew Hermine would still be impacting the region today. What impresses me most is IF this storm behaved as originally thought and didn’t go out as far east as it did, just image how much closer it would be today impacting our region!

vis-animated

Above is a satellite loop showing the proximity of the storm.

7day

And now the heat builds. I already had to break down and turn my AC back on. Even thought it not all that humid yet, it will get so especially on Thursday. Look for high temperatures in the upper 80’s to low 90’s for the remainder of the week. I’m sure the back to school kids will really love it 🙁

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