...A line of strong thunderstorms will affect Warren...northern Hunterdon...Sussex...northwestern Somerset...Morris... Northampton... southeastern Monroe and southeastern Carbon counties... At 249 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line extending from near West Milford to near Newton to near Belvidere to near Kunkletown...and moving east at 30 mph. Wind gusts up to 40 mph are possible with these storms. Locations impacted include... Easton...Morristown...Newton.. .Dover...Madison...Hopatcong.. .Forks... East Hanover...Lincoln Park...Kinnelon... Hackettstown...Boonton... Wilson...Butler...Wharton... Washington...Rockaway... Blairstown... Nazareth and Morris Plains. These storms may intensify...so be certain to monitor local radio and TV stations...as well as local cable TV outlets...for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
So as usual, we go from hardly any rain at all to a whole bunch. The next system looks to deposit 1-1.5″ of rain to western New Jersey later Thursday into Friday.
I’ll post updates tomorrow.
...Flash Flood Watch in effect from Thursday evening through Friday evening... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Delaware...northeast Maryland...New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania...including the following areas...in Delaware...Delaware beaches...inland Sussex...Kent and New Castle. In northeast Maryland... Caroline...Cecil...Kent MD...Queen Annes and Talbot. In New Jersey...Atlantic...Atlantic coastal Cape May...Camden...Cape May...coastal ocean...Cumberland...eastern Monmouth... Gloucester...Hunterdon...Mercer...Middlesex... northwestern Burlington...ocean...Salem... Somerset...southeastern Burlington and western Monmouth. In southeast Pennsylvania... Delaware...eastern Chester...eastern Montgomery...lower Bucks...Philadelphia...upper Bucks...western Chester and western Montgomery. * From Thursday evening through Friday evening * periods of showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected Thursday night into Friday. Some of the thunderstorms may contain torrential rainfall and result in a localized flash flood threat. * The axis of heaviest rain remains uncertain at this time. However, the potential for localized rainfall amounts of 2 or more inches in one hour will bring the risk for flash flooding particularly in urban areas. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued.
I expect most active period to be after 4 pm until 7 pm
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
southwest Connecticut
New Jersey
southern New York
Pennsylvania
coastal waters
* effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Summary...multiple bands of strong to severe storms are expected to
spread eastward and southeastward across this area through the
evening hours with strongest storms capable of producing primarily
damaging wind gusts.
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles either side of a line from 25 miles east northeast
of Newark New Jersey to 35 miles west of DuBois Pennsylvania.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (wous64 kwns wou5).
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
Remember...a Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally
do produce tornadoes.
Aviation...a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft
to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm
motion vector 28030.
Severe thunderstorms are occurring in central NY state. Most of these should stay to our north in the short term. Will need to keep an eye to the sky from mid-afternoon on…
With the heat and humidity as well as some lift in the atmosphere comes the chance for some severe weather today. As of right now the best chances for this to happen will be in the evening.
Will this be a no show like last time? It could be. I’ll keep an eye on this today and update as I can.
Areas just to the south of us had some beneficial thunderstorms early this morning.
5:30 pm update:
Based on current radar and satellite, we should see little if anything today. There might be some scattered shower and thundershowers later tonight. Otherwise hot and humid!
With the return of the heat and humidity comes the increased chances of thunderstorms. Looks for storms to appear after 3 pm today.
And no I’m not talking about my social calendar. Both days will feature mid 90’s and plenty of humidity. Sunday there may be some scattered afternoon thunderstorms but Saturday just looks hot at this point.
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. HIGHS ON SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. * HEAT INDEX VALUES...MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON. * OUTLOOK...MONDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE JUST AS HOT AS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED AS WE GET CLOSER. * IMPACTS...THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS. THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT RELATED HEALTH ISSUES WILL BE HIGH... ESPECIALLY FOR THE ELDERLY AND FOR THOSE IN POOR HEALTH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.
336 AM EDT THU JUL 21 2016 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH.
Western New Jersey received some much needed rain yesterday courtesy of the Thunderstorm that moved through late afternoon. Stewartsville picked up 0.56″ of rain.
http://s.lehighvalleylive.com/kUfIZSV
The storms did produce some damage in the area. Another barn in Warren county collapsed. Click on link above for a video of the damage. This was one of the largest barns in the county located in Franklin township. Here is additional information from WFMZ.
Enjoy the small break in the weather mid week. Another heat wave looks to move back into the area starting on Friday and lasting into early next week. Temperatures this time look to climb into the mid 90’s!
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1205 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CONNECTICUT MASSACHUSETTS NORTHERN NEW JERSEY CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA RHODE ISLAND SOUTHERN VERMONT COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1205 PM UNTIL 800 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING OVER CENTRAL NY/PA. THESE STORMS WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON...POSING A THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 155 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF GLENS FALLS NEW YORK TO 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF NEWARK NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
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