Winter Weather Advisory for Wednesday

06. February 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory for Wednesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:
Winter weather advisory for western NJ

Winter weather advisory for western NJ

Warren-Morris-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Including the cities of Washington, Morristown, Reading,
Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton
337 PM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to one-tenth inch
  are expected.

* WHERE...The Lehigh Valley in Pennsylvania, and Warren and Morris
  Counties in New Jersey.

* WHEN...Precipitation is expected to begin as snow late tonight
  and may become heavy at times during the morning commute on
  Wednesday. Snow will change to a wintry mix of sleet and
  freezing rain late in the morning and continue through the
  afternoon hours. Precipitation may transition to rain late in
  the afternoon and early evening, especially in the warmer
  valleys.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including
  during the morning and evening commutes on Wednesday. Be
  prepared for reduced visibilities at times, especially in the
  morning when snowfall rates of one inch per hour may occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Tuesday Weather Update On Next Storm

06. February 2018 · Comments Off on Tuesday Weather Update On Next Storm · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:
NWS Snow Total Wednesday

NWS Snow Total Wednesday

There are some very light flurries falling in part of western New Jersey this morning that will not amount to much if anything. Partly sunny skies should return later today and we will inch above freezing with a high in the mid 30’s.

Clouds will increase tonight and western New Jersey will see snow arriving in the 5-7 am time-frame. This storm will be similar to Sunday’s except we should get more snow on the front-end. Warmer air will be transported into the storm and the snow will mix with, then change to sleet and eventually rain as the day goes on. How fast the mix starts to happen will impact who gets how much snow. Typically southern areas see the mix and changeover first and then it moves slowly to the north and west.

My forecast for snow is 1-3″ for southern locations of western New Jersey and 2-4″ further north close to I-80 with some 3-6″ possible further to the north and west.

Ice forecast for Wednesday

Ice forecast for Wednesday

Since Wednesday is a snow to sleet/freezing rain then rain, we need to think about ice accumulation potential. The map above shows nicely how there is more risk for this happening further to the north but the entire area will see at least some sleet and possibly freezing rain before the changeover to plain rain.

As of mid Tuesday morning, the only NWS watch, warning or advisory out for our area is to the north in Sussex county. I do expect a winter weather advisory to get issued at least for most of western New Jersey at some point today for Wednesday

Monday Weather Briefing

05. February 2018 · Comments Off on Monday Weather Briefing · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:

Congrats to Eagles!

First off congrats to the Philadelphia Eagles football team and their fans! Well played an engaging game to watch which can’t be said for every Super Bowl.

Temperature drop Monday morning

Temperature drop Monday morning

Most schools are delayed this morning in western New Jersey. Good thing as there was a noticeable temperature drop and winds picked up when a secondary cold front passed through this morning. Temperatures are now below freezing and gusty winds. Stewartsville recorded a wind gust to 30 mph at 7:30 am.

NWS snow forecast for Wednesday

NWS snow forecast for Wednesday

Today and tomorrow will be seasonable cold and breezy days with partly sunny skies. Then we need to turn our attention to Wednesday. It looks to be a repeat of Sunday’s weather with perhaps more snow on the front end. Start time of precipitation looks just before the morning commute. Timing out the changeover times will be key and looked at in the days ahead. My early thoughts are 1-3″ of snow before the changeover with more snow to the north.

Snow Has Started

04. February 2018 · Comments Off on Snow Has Started · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:

Snow has started

Snow has started throughout western New Jersey and has left a coating on the ground. I wanted to point out to anyone that is traveling west today into PA that PA has winter weather advisories up. They have a similar forecast to us except the snow will hold on a touch longer.

Warmer air is already starting to show up on radar and it’s raining in Trenton, NJ. We will switch from snow to rain before the game starts.

NWS Radar as of 1 pm

NWS Radar as of 1 pm

Southern portions of our area will start mixing with sleet and rain within the next hour or two. Trenton and Philly are all rain.

Super Sunday Forecast

04. February 2018 · Comments Off on Super Sunday Forecast · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:

Super Sunday

Today’s the day. Lots of parties going on later today so let’s talk about the weather

NWS Snow Forecast

NWS Snow Forecast

Look for snow or a wintry mix to arrive by late morning today. The snow will accumulate to a coating to 1″ before starting to mix with sleet and rain and then changeover to plain rain. The rain could become moderate to heavy at times around kick off and then taper off before the game ends. Further to the north and west could see an 1″ or slightly more before the changeover to rain.

If you’re driving please drive sober and enjoy the day!

Saturday Weather Briefing

03. February 2018 · Comments Off on Saturday Weather Briefing · Categories: weather discussion · Tags:
5 Day Weather Forecast

5 Day Weather Forecast

Chilly start on Saturday morning with lows in the single digits in many areas. Stewartsville had a low of 12. Today will feature mostly sunny skies with highs near 30. there will be a slight breeze but nothing like yesterday.

Increasing clouds tonight will yield warmer overnight low temperatures. Look for a wintry mix of sleet and snow to develop on Sunday during the day but will quickly turn to rain in southern locations. There a coating to 1″ is possible before the changeover. Further to the north and west could see a little more accumulation

NWS Snow Forecast for Sunday

NWS Snow Forecast for Sunday

Looking long range cooler conditions look to stay around until around mid month and then warm up slightly to normal values. There are some signs after that we may have above normal temperatures but too soon to ell for sure. Let’s hope the groundhog is wrong!

Happy Groundhog Day!

02. February 2018 · Comments Off on Happy Groundhog Day! · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags:
Phil Saw His Shadow

Phil Saw His Shadow

The famous groundhog in western PA saw his shadow (it was cloudy out – must have been the TV lights) so according to his folklore, 6 more weeks of winter. Of course if you look at the calendar, it’s 6 more weeks until Spring arrives anyway!

A coating to perhaps a little more of snow was deposited in western New Jersey overnight and early this morning as the rain changed to snow. 0.2″ was recorded in Stewartsville as forecast.

Today will remain a very cold day with brisk winds and steady or falling temperatures in the 20’s. Tonight we will dip down to the upper single digits. Saturday will feel a little bit warmer as the wind won’t be quite as strong.

Weather for Super Sunday continues to look like snow to rain across the area. The system will be a fast mover and could be over before the game ends! Early looks on snow amounts before the changeover are another coating to perhaps an inch or two. Greatest amounts of snow will be north and west where the cold air hangs in the longest. The Poconos look to changeover to rain as well at some point on Sunday. More details as we get closer.

Light Rain Moving Into Area

01. February 2018 · Comments Off on Light Rain Moving Into Area · Categories: weather discussion · Tags:
NWS Radar showing rain moving into area

NWS Radar showing rain moving into area

Radar is showing periods of light rain moving into western New Jersey. Looks for periods of rain to continue into the evening and overnight and gradually change over to snow (after midnight)

…Icy Friday Morning Commute Possible…

01. February 2018 · Comments Off on …Icy Friday Morning Commute Possible… · Categories: Ice, snow · Tags:
Icy Roads Possible

Icy Roads Possible

420 PM EST Thu Feb 1 2018

...Icy Friday Morning Commute Possible...

A cold front will move across the area tonight. Precipitation with the front will start as rain, but is expected to change to
snow before ending late tonight or early Friday morning. As temperatures fall below freezing by Friday morning, icy
conditions may develop during the morning commute, resulting in
hazardous driving conditions. Anyone planning to drive early
Friday should exercise caution and allow extra time.

Thursday Weather Briefing

01. February 2018 · Comments Off on Thursday Weather Briefing · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:
5 Day Forecast

5 Day Forecast

Skies will remain cloudy this Thursday with warmer temperatures today. Look for high temperatures in the mid 40’s. If you have anything outdoors to do today is the time before showers arrive later this afternoon and much colder temperatures are forecast for Friday and Saturday.

NWS snow forecast for Friday morning

NWS snow forecast for Friday morning

Tonight’s rain shower will amount to less than 1/4″ of an inch. If the colder air arrives fast enough, it may turn the rain over to some snow before it ends. I’m not expecting much if any accumulation. My forecast is for a coating to 1″

Friday will be a much colder and windy day. Tomorrow may be one of those days where the temperature does not rise much if any and will start to fall further in the afternoon with gusty winds. Saturday will be cold as well but at least the winds will let up some.

Sunday into Monday snow to rain

Sunday into Monday snow to rain

Then we turn our attention to Sunday as a storm system looks to impact our area. At this point it looks like a snow to rain event as warmer air will get pulled into our area. Snow could start Sunday morning before changing over to rain by around kickoff time or certainly while the game is being played. There could be an accumulation of snow before the changeover. Too early to forecast today but it may be enough to shovel in spots, especially further north and west. Updates as we get closer.

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