Hurricane Jose Stays Offshore; Dangerous Hurricane Maria Approaches Puerto Rico

19. September 2017 · Comments Off on Hurricane Jose Stays Offshore; Dangerous Hurricane Maria Approaches Puerto Rico · Categories: Hurricane · Tags: ,
Hurricane Jose forecast track

Hurricane Jose forecast track

 

With a Cat 1 hurricane sitting off the east coast you would think we would be a little more alarmed. Luckily Jose is behaving himself and transitioning to a nor’easter instead of a tropical system. Most of the impacts will be felt near the shore with rough surf and beach erosion.

 
Some light rain showers could move into portions of western New Jersey today, especially eastern sections. Above normal temperatures and humidity will continue for at least another week. We are 10 degrees above normal believe it or not!
 
Dangerous Cat 5 Hurricane Maria forecast track

Dangerous Cat 5 Hurricane Maria forecast track

 

Dangerous hurricane Maria is in the Caribbean. We will keep an eye on her after she passes over Puerto Rico. Current forecast is for her to gradually curve out to sea next week. She will continue to give us and the entire eastern seaboard rough surf conditions.

Tropical Troubles Continue

17. September 2017 · Comments Off on Tropical Troubles Continue · Categories: Hurricane, Summer · Tags: ,
Hurricane Jose creates high surf at the Jersey shore

Hurricane Jose creates high surf at the Jersey shore

Has the pleasure to enjoy a top 10 summer beach day yesterday afternoon on Long Beach Island. Light wind, warm temperatures and a gentle breeze (and low crowds) made for a really nice late summer visit.

Western New Jersey will see more clouds than sun today into the new week along with warm and humid conditions. A scattered shower can not be ruled out.

Overnight computer guidance shifted Hurricane Jose a little more to the west. If this verifies, we will see some rain and somewhat breezy conditions here on Tuesday. The potential damage at the jersey shore will be much greater with sustained multi-day beach erosion and tropical storm force winds.

A computer model forecast on Hurricane Jose

A computer model forecast on Hurricane Jose

Jose may actually be slow to leave and stay around until the end of the week at least. If he is slow to leave the cooler waters at our latitude should help to weaken the storm and shouldn’t be much more than a low pressure system at the end of its life-cycle.

Soon to be Hurricane Maria forms

Soon to be Hurricane Maria forms

Maria is expected to form and strengthen rapidly and travel over the same areas impacted by Irma which is very unfortunate. She is forecast to become a major hurricane (cat 3) and travel up the east coast offshore to North Carolina area

No Way Jose!

15. September 2017 · Comments Off on No Way Jose! · Categories: Fall, Hurricane · Tags:

NHC Jose Forecast

Even though Jose is downgraded to a tropical storm, a little bit of strengthening is forecast to bring it back to a cat 1 hurricane in the days ahead. As you can see in the map above, the National Hurricane Center is forecasting it to ride up the east coast next week with the greatest threat to Cap Cod and New England.

What’s important here is the trend. The computer models have been trending further and further to the west with most of their runs. If this continues it could have more impact to the east coast.

At this point it doesn’t look like it will strengthen to a major hurricane but could cause issues none the less with beach erosion and flooding of low lying places. The american model had the storm much closer to coast!

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