Tuesday Weather Update On Next Storm

06. February 2018 · Comments Off on Tuesday Weather Update On Next Storm · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:
NWS Snow Total Wednesday

NWS Snow Total Wednesday

There are some very light flurries falling in part of western New Jersey this morning that will not amount to much if anything. Partly sunny skies should return later today and we will inch above freezing with a high in the mid 30’s.

Clouds will increase tonight and western New Jersey will see snow arriving in the 5-7 am time-frame. This storm will be similar to Sunday’s except we should get more snow on the front-end. Warmer air will be transported into the storm and the snow will mix with, then change to sleet and eventually rain as the day goes on. How fast the mix starts to happen will impact who gets how much snow. Typically southern areas see the mix and changeover first and then it moves slowly to the north and west.

My forecast for snow is 1-3″ for southern locations of western New Jersey and 2-4″ further north close to I-80 with some 3-6″ possible further to the north and west.

Ice forecast for Wednesday

Ice forecast for Wednesday

Since Wednesday is a snow to sleet/freezing rain then rain, we need to think about ice accumulation potential. The map above shows nicely how there is more risk for this happening further to the north but the entire area will see at least some sleet and possibly freezing rain before the changeover to plain rain.

As of mid Tuesday morning, the only NWS watch, warning or advisory out for our area is to the north in Sussex county. I do expect a winter weather advisory to get issued at least for most of western New Jersey at some point today for Wednesday

Monday Weather Briefing

05. February 2018 · Comments Off on Monday Weather Briefing · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:

Congrats to Eagles!

First off congrats to the Philadelphia Eagles football team and their fans! Well played an engaging game to watch which can’t be said for every Super Bowl.

Temperature drop Monday morning

Temperature drop Monday morning

Most schools are delayed this morning in western New Jersey. Good thing as there was a noticeable temperature drop and winds picked up when a secondary cold front passed through this morning. Temperatures are now below freezing and gusty winds. Stewartsville recorded a wind gust to 30 mph at 7:30 am.

NWS snow forecast for Wednesday

NWS snow forecast for Wednesday

Today and tomorrow will be seasonable cold and breezy days with partly sunny skies. Then we need to turn our attention to Wednesday. It looks to be a repeat of Sunday’s weather with perhaps more snow on the front end. Start time of precipitation looks just before the morning commute. Timing out the changeover times will be key and looked at in the days ahead. My early thoughts are 1-3″ of snow before the changeover with more snow to the north.

Happy Groundhog Day!

02. February 2018 · Comments Off on Happy Groundhog Day! · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags:
Phil Saw His Shadow

Phil Saw His Shadow

The famous groundhog in western PA saw his shadow (it was cloudy out – must have been the TV lights) so according to his folklore, 6 more weeks of winter. Of course if you look at the calendar, it’s 6 more weeks until Spring arrives anyway!

A coating to perhaps a little more of snow was deposited in western New Jersey overnight and early this morning as the rain changed to snow. 0.2″ was recorded in Stewartsville as forecast.

Today will remain a very cold day with brisk winds and steady or falling temperatures in the 20’s. Tonight we will dip down to the upper single digits. Saturday will feel a little bit warmer as the wind won’t be quite as strong.

Weather for Super Sunday continues to look like snow to rain across the area. The system will be a fast mover and could be over before the game ends! Early looks on snow amounts before the changeover are another coating to perhaps an inch or two. Greatest amounts of snow will be north and west where the cold air hangs in the longest. The Poconos look to changeover to rain as well at some point on Sunday. More details as we get closer.

Thursday Weather Briefing

01. February 2018 · Comments Off on Thursday Weather Briefing · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:
5 Day Forecast

5 Day Forecast

Skies will remain cloudy this Thursday with warmer temperatures today. Look for high temperatures in the mid 40’s. If you have anything outdoors to do today is the time before showers arrive later this afternoon and much colder temperatures are forecast for Friday and Saturday.

NWS snow forecast for Friday morning

NWS snow forecast for Friday morning

Tonight’s rain shower will amount to less than 1/4″ of an inch. If the colder air arrives fast enough, it may turn the rain over to some snow before it ends. I’m not expecting much if any accumulation. My forecast is for a coating to 1″

Friday will be a much colder and windy day. Tomorrow may be one of those days where the temperature does not rise much if any and will start to fall further in the afternoon with gusty winds. Saturday will be cold as well but at least the winds will let up some.

Sunday into Monday snow to rain

Sunday into Monday snow to rain

Then we turn our attention to Sunday as a storm system looks to impact our area. At this point it looks like a snow to rain event as warmer air will get pulled into our area. Snow could start Sunday morning before changing over to rain by around kickoff time or certainly while the game is being played. There could be an accumulation of snow before the changeover. Too early to forecast today but it may be enough to shovel in spots, especially further north and west. Updates as we get closer.

Isolated Flurries Possible The Afternoon

31. January 2018 · Comments Off on Isolated Flurries Possible The Afternoon · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:
Radar shows some light snow flurries to the north

Radar shows some light snow flurries to the north

Most of this probably won’t reach the ground but there is a possibility some areas could see some light snow flurries this afternoon as some warmer air moves into the area in the higher levels of the atmosphere.

Falling Temperatures Into Overnight

30. January 2018 · Comments Off on Falling Temperatures Into Overnight · Categories: Ice, snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,
0.9" of new snow was recorded in Stewartsville

0.9″ of new snow was recorded in Stewartsville

Snow is over in western New Jersey except for a few flurries here and there. A coating to 1″ was received in western New Jersey as forecast.

A bigger concern is temperatures are starting to slowly fall this afternoon and are now below freezing in most of the area. Winds will pickup as well and gust 20-30 mph out of the NWS. Any melted snow or puddles could re-freeze later on and tonight if untreated so be careful!

Next system for us will be later on Thursday into Thursday night ending in the pre-dawn hours of Friday. This will be a cold front that will pass and have periods of rain. Depending on how fast the cold air comes in behind the cold front and if/where a low pressure system forms on the cold front will determine who and where any snow will occur. Right now this doesn’t look like a big deal and will be another coating to perhaps a few inches.

After that we need to keep an eye on Super Sunday night for another fast moving system. With lots of folks potentially attending parties, this will need to be watched.

Steadier Snow Making It’s Way In

30. January 2018 · Comments Off on Steadier Snow Making It’s Way In · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:
Radar shows steadier snow brushing into western NJ

Radar shows steadier snow brushing into western NJ

The heavier band of snow seen above is now brushing into our area. But it’s moving south and east so should miss northern areas. Section of eastern PA have been getting more benefits of this snow band.

But temperatures are near or just above freezing in Stewartsville so roads are wet and snow is only sticking on colder/untreated surfaces

Tuesday Morning Weather Update

30. January 2018 · Comments Off on Tuesday Morning Weather Update · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:
Radar showing light snow to our west

Radar showing light snow to our west

Light snow has arrived to sections of eastern PA and is slowly moving in our direction. Look for periods of light snow to arrive in the next 1-2 hours.

NWS Snow Forecast

NWS Snow Forecast

The NWS snow forecast has shifted slightly to the S & W showing most of the snow accumulation in eastern PA especially sections to the West and South. My forecast remains a coating to 1.” Look for the snow to finish by mid afternoon. There will be periods of snow of various intensities. I expect treated roads to be fine

Monday Morning Briefing

29. January 2018 · Comments Off on Monday Morning Briefing · Categories: winter · Tags:
Clouds to the south and east Monday morning

Clouds to the south and east Monday morning

Western New Jersey is in between weather systems on Monday. A weak system running up the east coast was giving us some clouds to the east this morning but they have pushed further to the east as of late morning. We should see a good amount of sunshine today but more clouds will start to increase from the south and west later on for our next system for tomorrow.

NWS Snow Forecast for Tuesday

NWS Snow Forecast for Tuesday

Tomorrow we will see a weakening system approaching western New Jersey from the west and south as it tries to transfer some of it’s energy to the east. This system does not look very impressive. The big question is will the snow arrive before the morning rush. As of right now there are no weather advisories, watches or warnings in the area. Most of the snow appears to stay to our west tomorrow. This system reminds me of the last system when snowed over PA most of the day as it inched closer to NJ.

The snow does look intermittent and light for Tuesday. As of right now my forecast is for a coating to 1″

The rest of the week looks cooler then we turn our attention to a rain chance late Thursday into Friday morning that can end as snow. Then will there be snow on super Sunday?

Light Flurries Possible This Evening

24. January 2018 · Comments Off on Light Flurries Possible This Evening · Categories: winter · Tags: , , 
Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
458 PM EST Wed Jan 24 2018

NJZ007-009-010-012-015-PAZ060>062-103-105-106-242330-
Warren-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Mercer-Berks-Lehigh-
Northampton-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Washington, Flemington, Somerville, 
New Brunswick, Trenton, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, 
Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, 
and Doylestown
458 PM EST Wed Jan 24 2018

.NOW...
Some flurries or brief light snow showers will be around parts of
the region through early this evening. No accumulation is 
expected.
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